Wyckoff volume benchmarking / market profile bt analysis board

[Twilson]

I hope it is in 401k was taking a hit going into Friday down 5.5%

[jxyzobrien]

shutdown avoided
kind of priced in now
shadow thinks move off the bottom was very weak
so he is not super bullish

[jxyzobrien]

this week
mon retail sales
wed fomc no chance of rate change so market will
look at what fed is thinking

th initial claims

[jxyzobrien]

bottom in
shadow
i think so
just in time for fed week

[jxyzobrien]

vote this afternoon
enough votes to pass it so looks ok

[Beerworld]

VIX dropping, they expect no shutdown!?
Anything official is probably a pop and drop

[jxyzobrien]

china stimulus lifts futures
bad news will calm down
market due for sustained rally
10am important consumer confidence
do we get recent sell any gap
when the debt issue settled they will gap market up big time

[Fredddddy]

That’s what he says. You would think at least a sustained multi day bounce of some kind. If nothing more than setting up the next leg down.

[jxyzobrien]

tim ord
everything points to multi week rally
starting soon
https://www.youtube.com/live/ctMGuDN4-4Q

[jxyzobrien]

tim ord
https://www.youtube.com/live/ctMGuDN4-4Q

[jxyzobrien]

agree
hell is coming to breakfast

[Beerworld]

I can only shake my head. If he touches my Social Security I will more than shake my head.

I fear the Supreme Court

[jxyzobrien]

trump
attack greenland speech friday. he claims its on

[Beerworld]

Shutdown looks more likely than not.

[uplata]

I am waiting go long l spx 5500 low
still holding some put in open yesterday.


https://schrts.co/NcwUYVJp

[jxyzobrien]

events to rule
govt shutdown saturday so vote to accept bill rally time
consumer confidence tomorrow
how the market uses these events will tell the tale

[Twilson]

Was away from computer yesterday looking choppy this morning

[jxyzobrien]

sideways balancing
bearish so trade the range
eco data in line
market failed to make new low wants to return to balance high

[uplata]

Sold in open all call bought yesterday..eod go long if hold today's low..
Watch list tsla nvda mstr meta

[jxyzobrien]

vix
down yesterday when market down too
finally vix down market up

bulls need to get above yesterdays high to start rally
i expect next gap up to hold
https://schrts.co/vVXHrYse
https://schrts.co/pnEAxHtS

[jxyzobrien]

inflation tame
pause at highs
https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=5&b=9&g=0&i=p14689420949&a=274626311&r=

[jxyzobrien]

market
rallied to mon vpoc
n dumped

[jxyzobrien]

es 5608 vwap 3rd time
can bulls step
day 2 of lower vpoc
oops

[uplata]

I didn't vote this year, because dot like other too..

[Twilson]

Credit fraud anyone could buy a house

[jxyzobrien]

dont know
who you voted for

[uplata]

Hey, why you said , I never vote him, I don't like him, please this is last time I remind you, I don't like him I told you several time..please

[jxyzobrien]

housing bubble
was for years then the roof fell off
i sold all my houses in 2003-2004

[Twilson]

The housing bubble in 08-09?

[jxyzobrien]

use the 3 day selling rule
your trade should be short bounces
far more money can be made on the down side
the last tariffs were by bush and they were mild producing
a bear market till the tariffs were lifted

is this what you voted for.
not me they are going after my social security if they succeed the board will be closed for sure

[uplata]

I know that but I want play in bounce

[jxyzobrien]

warren buffett
in 2004 he predicted a major economic collapse it happened

now he is saying the same thing
buffett- tariffs are an act of war.
clearly we have abandoned our allies

[jxyzobrien]

oversold not the problem
the market is pricing in a lower economy
still so much unknown
the market will price in the worst

https://schrts.co/epANuQef

[uplata]

Too oversold now.. should rebound, got long yesterday..

At least 200 up spx from here..

[Twilson]

The vix keeps going higher

[jxyzobrien]

bears maybe tired
so market will try and balance in the new value area.

[Twilson]

Investors unloaded the Mag 7

[jxyzobrien]

thing is
economic fundamentals do not matter till they do
they trump TA

dow -1000

[jxyzobrien]

after selling climax
rally sideways means no buyers

[Fredddddy]

We’re at 30 RSI on the daily SPY. We will see if it still holds true in this style market. Should be good for 200 to 400 points over the next 15 trading days or so.

[Twilson]

Dalton was right about lower prices bottom about in for a hard bounce?

[haha11]

$SPY.....15.......60....

15.
https://schrts.co/DsmsRZHE
60.
https://schrts.co/jehIWqRi

[jxyzobrien]

classic technical analysis not working well
the spy daily had a selling climax but no really
during a correction or bear
TA does not worth well
dalton expected lower prices today

https://schrts.co/GdbTyUKq

[Twilson]

This is what Buffet has been waiting on

[jxyzobrien]

dalton this week
dalton trading is about change

[jxyzobrien]

shadow
normally i think yes. weekend news will be important

[uplata]

Is it bottom now or more downside?
Next week we will now.. today's candle I can say bullish..

https://schrts.co/nxafZKIN

[jxyzobrien]

abcd
12 past d point

[jxyzobrien]

tim ord on the wrong side of the trade
clearly bear market action. spots where the short term sellers should buy is not happening
these are longer tern sellers

[jxyzobrien]

algos trade in the value area
red green