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News Focus
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ssc

07/07/13 1:10 PM

#275503 RE: Krombacher #275492

The same argument was made when the market was telling us that the JDZ drilling campaign was a disappointment and the stock was in the .70 area. It told me "gas, not oil" and to sell (which I posted many times while the stock was well above .50) while others said buy and that erhc has proven. The market spoke again telling us the recent offering would be undersubscribed while others insisted Offor would fully participate. Right again.

Now the message is small amount of cash from the LOI if it gets done at all, and huge dilution as cash gets raised via the private placement route. If this were not the case, the price would be much higher. Instead we see those who participated in the offering taking every opportunity to sell those new shares anywhere above the offering price. Reject it if you like, but it sure makes trading much easier from my perspective.
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kingpindg

07/07/13 1:25 PM

#275506 RE: Krombacher #275492

Speaking of analysts following stocks...


Do you, or anyone else know...when an analyst puts out a research report on a company/stock, do they usually get info from the company to help them with their valuation? Or are they limited to using public info that is available to all?

The reason I ask is that, if I'm reading it correctly, in this recent research report on Afren by a Citigroup analyst, the Obo/Enitimi wells are being valued on a total 2P reserve estimate of roughly 5 million barrels.

So, is this a number the analyst would have just pulled out of his wazoo? Or could there be some actual intel behind it?


http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=%22afren%22%2B%26%2B%22citigroup%22%2B%26%2Bfiletype%3Apdf&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&ved=0CC0QFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.shareprophets.com%2Ffile_download%2F21%2FCiti%2Bafrenmarch.pdf&ei=j5jZUajbIo6BqgHekoH4CQ&usg=AFQjCNFWaV2sjRMgB1lQDb4JezTlcZGp4w



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