I have some serious doubts that NIPRD will be able to reproduce Nicosan to standards. Without the original equipment that Dr. Pandey was using to make proper batches of the drug gone and the equipment that Swift had installed obviously unable to make the drug to the proper strength or consistency it could be many, many months before NIPRD could produce anything close to the original.
It can be surmised from all the the evidence that has been presented through various news articles in the Nigerian press and first hand accounts that the potency of the drug was obviously compromised whenever Swift opted for a streamlined production process with different equipment than what Dr. Pandey had used.
NIPRD could takes months if not years to copy Dr. Pandey's formula exactly. They will have to find someone or some entity that has the biochemistry knowledge to cook up exact batches of the product in short order because whatever stockpile is left at Xechem Nigeria is not going to last very long considering that they've probably been working out of the stockpile that was put up prior to and just after Dr. Pandey's ousting for a very long time.
I think it's pretty obvious by now that the rumored locked room at Xechem on the SHESTCO property was housing all of that product that had been produced by the old process. Most likely they were selling what they could out of new stock but when it came time that patients were complaining about potency and NIPRD wanted to inspect they were ushered into a room with repackaged old stock to look at and test.
Just handing this license over to anyone who claims they can reproduce the drug is ridiculous. The idea that NIPRD could produce the drug on their own would require them to purchase a lot of equipment and then find a biochemist with the expertise to duplicate Dr. Pandey's process in time to prevent those on the drug from going without once that stockpile is depleted is almost fanciful. Regardless, selling the license or holding and producing it at SHESTCO will take months and months to accomplish if not longer. Making a plant based drug is an art and not an assembly line at Merk or Baxter. Synthetic drugs are easy to make in comparison.
The only logical choice for the Nigerian government to make at this point in time, if they want to prevent there being a lapse in drug availability to the few thousand that currently have access to it many of which have been taking it for years would be to grant the license back to Dr. Pandey. If they do not do so they run the risk of being either unable to produce a viable product or manufacturing one that does not have the same chemical properties or effect as the original. Does the government really want the liability of producing and distributing a drug that might not work? Even if they farm it out to a major foreign pharmaceutical company it could take many months or longer to duplicate it.
I wonder just how much of that stockpile of old Nicosan is left? Whatever is there only has a few months on the freshness date anyhow.
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