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eastunder

09/17/07 11:26 AM

#4546 RE: Longdriver98 #4545

Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic, there are a few other tropical waves to track. The most notable at this point is a wave south of Hispaniola along 72 west, south of 18 north, tracking westward at about 5 degrees of longitude per day. A disorganized area of heavy thunderstorms is occurring along and east of the wave at the moment, but the thunderstorms are being sheared by the same upper-level, southwesterly winds that are keeping Ingrid in check. However, these winds are weaker over the western Caribbean, which the wave should reach by Tuesday. Some computer models are indicating that development could occur along the wave at this point in time and then track northward into the Gulf as a developing tropical cyclone later in the week.

Two tropical waves are present to the east of Ingrid, one at about 48 west, south of 12 north and the other at about 41 west, south of 17 north. Both are tracking westward at about 5 degrees of longitude per day, but the easternmost wave has been moving a little faster and may catch up to the one at 46 west in time. Both of these waves are producing unorganized thunderstorms over the open Atlantic. ***Although these features will have to be monitored for development over the next few days, it will be slow to occur and any storm that would form in this area would have to contend with the strong, upper-level, southwesterly winds farther west that are currently shearing Ingrid apart; in fact, some westerly shear is already evident on satellite pictures of the area.

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologists Dave Houk and Matt Keefe