Understand what you are saying and agree. You have a point about the media with caveats.
“...but rather I believe when analysts speak or promote as they are only "talking their book"...”
The script of the public microphone held by media is not always the same - the response would not work if the subject Always or Never received “love bombs”. You can only manipulate successfully by behaving in an unpredictable manner.
We proceed and learn. I am reading different tea leaves. Mine are AI driven and present a share price which no analyst could reputably predict for a virtually unknown company.
Your estimation of 5x current price within 18 mos, while probable(!), could never be taken seriously as an analyst target - too much to swallow and would actually interfere with the natural course this stock’s share price is on. But, that does not necessary lead to the conclusion of a short. Quite the contrary. If an analyst really were setting up a fleece - a higher price would seem the way to go about that (such as the example you cited).
The other possibility is a very high price which is on the horizon and needs to be a graduated target. Responsible analysts with a megaphone would understand this as well.
In such a case, an analyst is best served to set many small reachable goals, attain those goals, while gaining a following and reputation for reaching said goals and slowly increase. The incredulity effect of a single step would “shock the fish” one is trying to acclimate to the aquarium environment and subvert the goal.
My tea, my leaves, my opinion. Except for the near term motivation - very in sync with yours. We agree on what is possible with exposure and the many ways it can be utilized.
Always a pleasure to read and discuss with you, Jimmy
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