Replies to post #147472 on Sino Agro Food Inc (fka SIAF)

[RealDutch]

When you speculate as much as I do, then you are bound to get 70% or more wrong. That's still better than the average guy who will get 90% wrong. It comes with the territory when you speculate. But those are not real predictions. They are best guesses.

And when I say "dilution should end soon" then that is not a prediction EITHER. It is usually based on information from management (which is often false) and other bits of information I can collect.

My EPS predictions haven't played out as expected. We all know why that is. Trouble for the beef sector. Start-up problems at the MegaFarm. Although they did make EPS 5.00 in 2016 which we tend to forget.

The hardest part was predicting profit margins for APRAS and ODRAS. Because the whole sector is struggling and they can't get near TRW's results. I have always been on the money about that part.