The markets staged a very impressive open today, gaining anywhere from 2.9 to 3.4% within the first minutes of trading. The impulse up brought us to and above the minimum targets for wave C, the terminal wave of this rally. The reversal mid day breached the wave 1 extreme on all of the major indexes. This indicates that the rally is now over. Expectations were for one more wave up after this morning, but the strength of the reversal indicates that this will not occur. The spike reversal appears very similar to the one that occurred on March 12th, only this time it is in the other direction. The VXN hit levels not seen since April 2002, which marked the beginning of the previous wave 3 down at the same degree. The Put/Call ratio spiked lower this morning down to .54, and closed at .76. This indicates that not much faith was given to the key reversal day. The major cycles (10, 20, 40, and 80 week) are all lining up to the downside. Barring a more complex correction, Wave 3 down appears to be underway. This should be an unbelievable opportunity to profit on the short side, as we make our way back to and below October lows.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.