I take the approarch and have been successful is that none of us can ever really know the ins and outs of a business plan. However, we can understand when we are getting screwed by dilution and insider selling.
When I see closed mouth here, e.g., GXXL, I run for the hills. OTOH, a few like HISC actually cut down o/s, really a gift from management to shareholders, very rare. In the long run, honest management realizes that it helps them as HISC has skyrocketed and should continue to do so, despite some MM games yesterday.