FYI & FWIW
San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, October 03, 2010 1:00 PM EDT
Pick: Take the San Francisco 49ers ATS,
This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the 49ers despite starting the season 0-3 could easily be 2-1 heading into this game if it wasn't for mental mistakes and just plain bad luck. The 49ers turned the ball over 4 times against the Saints while the Saints had no turnovers and yet they still only lost by 3 points. Atlanta is coming off a big win against the Saints because the Saints turned the ball over 3 times. If the 49ers can limit turnovers in this game they will not only cover this number but win the game outright. The Falcons are just 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 games after winning two straight games and they are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after they allowed less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The 49ers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of +3.5 to +10 points and they are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The 49ers come into this game with a huge chip on their shoulders and urgency to get the win. Look for the 49ers to utilize their ground game to manage the clock and to open up some big passing plays over the middle. The 49ers defense will also step up big time in this game just like they did against the Saints potent offense. Take the 49ers as my NFL Free Pick for Week 4.
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Todays FREE WINNER is New York over Buffalo.
The Jets at 2-1 have a great opportunity to take over the AFC East here. They took down division rival Patriots and Dolphins the L2 weeks. QB Mark Sanchez is getting better with each game. In his L2 outings, he has passed for 6 TDs and 0 INTs. The Buffalo “D” is horrible, ranked 31st in the NFL and giving up 29 PPG. They can’t get any pressure on opposing QBs (4 sacks TY). On offense, the Bills showed signs of life LW after inserting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick in a losing effort vs. the Patriots. Fitzpatrick still threw 2 INTs due to a lack of protection by his OL. The OL has given up 8 sacks on the season. Now they must face the devastating “Gang Green” defense that has 5 sacks and only gives up 15.7 PPG. New Yorks defensive numbers are going to pile high here. The road team is 5-0 ATS their L5 meetings. The Jets are 6-1 ATS their L7 road games, 7-2 ATS their L9 vs. the AFC, and 9-3 ATS their L12 overall. The Bills are 5-12 ATS their L17 vs. teams with a winning record, 3-11 ATS their L14 at home, and 1-5 ATS their L6 as a ‘dog. Take New York. Thank you.
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Your Free NFL Pick for Week 4 is on the Indianapolis Colts -7.5 or better. The Colts travel to Jacksonville to take on a the Jaguars on Sunday at 4:05 pm EDT after beating a pretty good Denver Broncos team in the mile high city by 14 points. Since this is the Colts second straight road game one might think that the Jaguars have a shot at an upset here but that would be dead wrong. The Jaguars just lost very badly to an Eagles team that is not near as good as the Colts. The Jaguars are in big trouble offensively after putting up just 3 points in that game against the Eagles and they were only able to pass for 54 yards, that's right just 54 yards. The Colts offense is very potent and can strike quickly so the problem here for the Jaguars is that they will have to try and play catch-up which this Jags offense is not capable of doing. The Colts win in a rout Sunday afternoon and you can bank on it!
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Later, The Team.
"Your Vegas Is Showing"
I've been to Hollywood
I've been to Redwood
I crossed the ocean
for a heart of gold
I've been in my mind,
it's such a fine line
Later, The Team.
