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Friday, 06/11/2010 2:57:20 PM

Friday, June 11, 2010 2:57:20 PM

Post# of 16707
Initial g-Spout catalog sales: $100,000 announced in May, $150,000 announced in June. Even at $150,000 monthly run rate, that $1,800,000 per year. That’s just 1 product, in 1 catalog, no DRTV yet, no retail yet.

Just for kicks: If they’re able to leverage upcoming Rachael Ray appearance of U/S into a few retailers, you get a better sense of the possibilities for TSHO’s business model. Any combination of retailers could easily yield the below run rates from retail alone for 1 product (U/S):

1000 stores: 5 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $1,200,000 in annual retail U/S sales
5000 stores: 5 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $6,000,000 in annual retail U/S sales
10,000 stores: 5 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $12,000,000 in annual retail U/S sales
1000 stores: 10 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $2,400,000 in annual retail U/S sales
5000 stores: 10 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $12,000,000 in annual retail U/S sales
10,000 stores: 10 units per month @ $20 per unit, annualized: $24,000,000 in annual retail U/S sales

What do the above little scenarios mean to potential PPS?

$24,000,000 annualized retail sales from U/S (and remember, retail will help the DRTV success)
$1,800,000 from g-Spout (doesn’t yet include DRTV or retail which could be huge)
$25,800,000 in sales
$6,450,000 net income (25% margins)
$24.2MM O/S
$0.27 EPS
$2.7 PPS @ 10 P/E
$5.4 PPS @ 20 P/E (if TSHO can prove their business model and once they’re uplisted they may be able to support a P/E above 10).

Again, I’m not even factoring in all of the potential sales avenues for G/S & U/S, and this is only preliminary potential for their 1st 2 products.

***disclaimer: please do your own due diligence. These are obviously just projections.***
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