Hi, Ratios....
Those are great questions. First since September 11th, everything has gone wacky in the market. Every stock, almost had something negative about them in 2001. I would look for a stock that has been in existence for several years with three of its last four years fairly good, and its average monthly growth, annualized if need be to be 10% or better. Some months are very tough, especially the summer. You must be flexible. Standards just don't always fit but they do place you in some good company if they do fit. The 10% is not for the quarters total, Ratios, it is for the months. We aim to compound the cash you have as often as possible. You will always be reinvesting the original money. We are possessing some stocks each week that are essentially in fron of the curve. We are not the board that says something after the fact. We are before the fact. If you stood in the center of a highway and watched the cars in the distance coming, you would be able to see the various dips and sways in the road. You could possible determine accurately where to stand for safety and many how fast the car was going. You could see the obstacles in the way. Is there traffic. Should I follow this one, or wait for another of the many coming? The earnings report tells of the previous quarter, I don't think it talks that much about the one your are in. It may tell of forward-looking facts. Or, leave those out and cause your stock to tumble like NTAP. I am still not throwing NTAP out. This stock still tripled its earnings. No real reason to fall.
Do not pay any attention to what the stock did for the quarter. That only counts if you intent on holding it for a quarter. Just the month you are heading into will count. Give me your best stocks right now, for an example and assign each a single month of the year. Any 12 stocks you have either heard of or followed for 5 or 10 years. MSFT, GE, JNJ. You just name them, and tell me which month you want me to prove them on. This will demonstrate maybe your belief systems that may be hidden to you until you can see for yourself what those stocks are really doing. Everything that I do can be verified at your leisure. What 12 stocks make you happy whenever Wall Street big shots talk about them. They will fill your head full of them. They will brag about them doing so well. How well did they really do? Why didn't they talk more on the things they didn't do? Seasonality, Ratios, is an understanding you will adopt and expand on at your own pace. You will change the criteria to suit yourself. But, 10% is what I said for an introduction. You would expect a stock to make 50% growth in five complete years but when I told you that the stock made 61% profit in just five one month period each year, you may open up your understanding to possibly seeing 12 one month periods times five years returning 30,000% total growth. That is just the tip of the iceberg, Ratios. That is just with 10% growth. Most get much more in their good periods. Toss in a few years where the month had 25%, or 50% growth and the total shoots way past a puny 30000% growth in just five years. It goes off of the scale. Work with the concept. You'll see. Just post twelve months with one stock beside each month. I will do the rest. I will research the data for you. I will post the portfolio example in the intro boards vault. It's free, of course. It will be fun and revealing.
ken
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