Opps ABC News
UPDATED Jul. 18, 2024, at 6:09 PM
Latest Polls
Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls?
General election polling average
Who’s ahead in the national polls?
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
April 1, 2024May 1June 1July 10102030405060%Trump 43.2%Biden 40.1%Kennedy 9.1%July 18, 2024 leaderJuly 18, 2024 leaderTrumpTrump+3.1
KEY
ESTIMATE
95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
Sort by date
Dates Samplei Pollster Sponsor Result Net result
President: general election, 2024Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.
July 16-18
2,240 LV
YouGov
CBS News Harris 48%
51%
Trump Trump +3
July 16-18
2,241 LV
YouGov
CBS News Biden 47%
52%
Trump Trump +5
July 17
800 LV
SoCal Research
On Point Politics Harris 44%
52%
Trump Trump +8
July 17
800 LV
SoCal Research
On Point Politics Biden 45%
51%
Trump Trump +6
July 15-17
2,725 LV
RMG Research
Biden 46%
51%
Trump Trump +5
July 15-17
9,414 RV
Morning Consult
Biden 42%
46%
Trump Trump +4
July 15-16
992 RV
Ipsos
Reuters Harris 44%
44%
Trump Even
July 15-16
1,202 A
Ipsos
Reuters Harris 39%
40%
Trump Trump +1
July 15-16
992 RV
Ipsos
Reuters Biden 39%
40%
Trump
Trump +1
July 15-16
1,202 A
Ipsos
Reuters Biden 34%
36%
Trump
Trump +2
July 15-16
1,202 A
Ipsos
Reuters Biden 36%
39%
Trump Trump +3
July 15-16
992 RV
Ipsos
Reuters Biden 41%
43%
Trump Trump +2
July 15-16
2,000 RV
Emerson College
Democrats for the Next Generation (super PAC) Biden 38%
44%
Trump
Trump +6
July 15-16
2,000 RV
Emerson College
Democrats for the Next Generation (super PAC) Biden 42%
46%
Trump Trump +5
July 13-16
1,404 RV
YouGov
The Economist Harris 39%
44%
Trump
Trump +5
July 13-16
1,404 RV
YouGov
The Economist Biden 41%
43%
Trump
Trump +2
July 15
2,621 LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Biden 42%
43%
Trump
Trump +1
July 15
2,045 RV
Morning Consult
Harris 45%
46%
Trump Trump +1
July 15
2,045 RV
Morning Consult
Biden 45%
46%
Trump Trump +1
July 13-15
1,918 RV
HarrisX
Forbes Harris 48%
52%
Trump Trump +4
July 13-15
1,918 RV
HarrisX
Forbes Biden 39%
43%
Trump
Trump +4
July 13-15
1,918 RV
HarrisX
Forbes Biden 40%
44%
Trump
Trump +4
July 13-15
1,918 RV
HarrisX
Forbes Biden 49%
51%
Trump Trump +2
July 12-15
1,098 LV
SurveyUSA
Joe Cassidy Newsom 35%
46%
Trump Trump +11
July 12-15
1,098 LV
SurveyUSA
Joe Cassidy M. Obama 45%
45%
Trump Even
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