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Tuesday, 02/13/2007 10:37:17 AM

Tuesday, February 13, 2007 10:37:17 AM

Post# of 35
Re: Archtop @ 5 TCF Upside Potential?

Pothole Dodger's post 5411 from TMR Investor Village message board is intriguing:

"Archtop Number's Game

A while back I stated to the effect that it would be foolish to try to put reserve numbers on Archtop. Since I'm foolish ...

TMR says the structure is 14,400 acres and there is 8000' of vertical prospective section. Now, where within that 8000 feet reservoir sands might occur (if at all), or how thick they might be, is anyone's guess ... there's no nearby well control to offer a clue. Suppose 1% of that 8000 ft has reservoir quality sand ... and that sand's loaded up. Also suppose you can recover 2000 mcf/ acre-foot of reservoir.

14,400 acres x 80 ft. x 2000 mcf/ac-ft = 2.304 TCF Hmmmm....

Now, suppose 2% of the section is productive and the recovery is 10% more optimistic:

14,400 acres x 160 ft. x 2200 mcf/ac-ft = 5.069 TCF.

Now, suppose ...”

Source: Pothole Dodger's post 5411 from TMR Investor Village message board