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Wednesday, 08/03/2022 7:36:34 PM

Wednesday, August 03, 2022 7:36:34 PM

Post# of 201449
Fun with Numbers,

We have discussed the potential share price discussion ad nauseum, but I have to keep coming back to it because it keeps me grounded in LWLG's potential. It also seems to release my endorphins after a hard day at the office and reviewing my kids' college tuition bills. While Vein and Pitcook are seemingly the Eeyores of this board, they are absolutely spot on in that it must be DEAL TIME for guesses to stop and shift into reality as Lebby provides revenue guidance once foundry deals are signed. For me, it is all about the pace at which mass commercialization drives revenue growth near-term on our way to ubiquity (when it rolls it is going to roll). I have no idea what price this product will command in the marketplace or how long it will take to achieve ubiquity so I use Lebby's TAM slide. I conservatively used 2022 TAM for % of TAM and assuming ubiquity does not occur in 2023. Regardless, the numbers still quickly get out of hand. Can this be true? If I am totally off-base, please rein me in. I still do not believe it every time I punch the numbers into the calculator.
Sorry, I cannot get my Excel table to paste properly.

Profit Margin
Projected 2023 Revenue % of TAM 30% 40% 50%
Share Price
$500,000,000 2.5% $67 $89 $112
$1,000,000,000 5% $134 $179 $223
$2,000,000,000 10% $268 $357 $446
$4,000,000,000 20% $536 $714 $893

P/E Ratio = 50
Target Market = Green Verticals (slide 16) from June 2022 Presentation
2022 $20B
2030 $113B

Profit Margins - Total SWAG based on Technology Transfer/Licensing model
Shares Outstanding 112,000,000

Do your own DD and also use the mega DD thread. This remains a very speculative investment until we get confirmation of DEAL TIME!!
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