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Re: None

Monday, 04/26/2021 10:37:05 AM

Monday, April 26, 2021 10:37:05 AM

Post# of 5495
"...first instinct won out in the end."

http://www.pretzelcharts.com/

"Last update noted that SPX and COMPQ had both reached support and could bounce directly... while in the forum, I mentioned that my first instinct was that Thursday's high was a b-wave (suggesting that the decline was wave c of an expanded flat, and thus that the market would rally back beyond Thursday's high). And while the ferocity of the decline on Thursday made it a little less certain, the market rallied from the open on Friday, and first instinct won out in the end.:



"Where we are now is either in the midst of a third wave up from last week's low, or in the process of forming a more complex flat. If we're in the middle of a third wave, then bulls have the ball and won't look back for a while. If the market is going to form a more complex flat (unpredictable, but would work well here), then SPX would top soon (may or may not need another slight new high) and head back below 4118. A typical retrace would be 110-117 points off the prevailing high; in other words, if the current high of 4194 were to begin a flat, then 4070-80ish would be the typical target zone.

COMPQ would perform in a similar way:"



"In conclusion, no big surprises on Friday, and now the market has a couple options. For greatest confusion, it could opt for the expanded flat, but that type of correction is largely unpredictable at this stage. On a side note, I'm going to take my wife's birthday (Wednesday) off from the updates, so I'll return on Friday. Trade safe."

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