Thought I'd post an update as its been so quiet for so long on the board.
The original web pages are lost to the internet void as is the moderators account. But despite this the No Lose concept and practical aspect lives on.
I thought I'd post a summary of the more recent years performance - the last 4 years.
In summary the UK's FT100 is up from the Jan 2003 lows of 3464 to the current 6200 levels of November 2006, around 20% p.a. average when 4% or so dividends are included.
No Lose? Well not as good, but still a respectable 16% p.a. average gain.
Taking the Jan 2000 to Jan 2003 period, whilst the No Lose did as it said - didn't lose, ending effectively with £100 for every £100 invested in Jan 2003, a buy and hold approach over the same period saw a decline of £100 down to £64 including dividends. The subsequent 20% p.a. that buy and hold has achieved has therefore lifted that £64 back to a positive gain of 34%, £134 over the Jan 2000 to Nov 2006 period, or around 4.8% p.a.
The No Lose in contrast, is up at £181 levels, 81% up from Jan 2000, or 10.4% p.a.
So the buy and hold has to still catch up a surplus 35% to get to level pegging with No Lose, so even at the current 4% p.a. bettering of No Lose its going to take 8 years. And with prices generally starting to look a little on the high side, I'd doubt whether the buy and hold will sustain the level of gains seen over the last couple of years.
Should another correction or decline occur, well again the gap will widen in No Lose's favour.
Pushed as to whether by 2010 which will be the decades winner, and I'd bet on No Lose - but then again I don't gamble - as I don't like losing.
