Friday, July 13, 2018 11:02:11 PM
www.edisoninvestmentresearch.com/?ACT=18&ID=20716&LANG=
Bekinda - Ph II-IBS-D
Licensing deal in 2018 after the ongoing Ph II; $53m upfront, $249m in milestones (average of two deals in IBS area over past five years)
? Target population of c 1.2 million: population prevalence of around 11%; around 30% of all patients will consult a doctor, around half will have IBS-D. Assumed that severe patients (10%) will be most accessible to BEKINDA.
Assumed 10% penetration due to highly fragmented market with branded and generic drugs.
? Pricing*: $1,260 on average per eight-week treatment, implies 50% premium to generic orally disintegrating ondansetron (only half dose as in gastritis case). Peak sales reached in seven years.
? R&D cost estimate: $4.4m for remainder Phase II (full top-line results in mid-2017), then out-licensed
? Rights: see above for licensing information. Last patent expiry date 2035
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