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S&P 500 - for Monday, April 16, 2018

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trader53 Member Level  Monday, 04/16/18 07:37:28 AM
Re: trader53 post# 150886
Post # of 163586 
S&P 500 - for Monday, April 16, 2018


https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Weekend Update

Posted on April 14, 2018

_________________________________________________________________


The Kick-Off Months in the OTC - Jan/Feb - Jun/Jul
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=137701925

____________________________________________________________


LONG TERM: Uptrend

A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway

We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+
in the next 2 to 4 years


____________________________________________________________


In March 2009 the great recession and SC2 ended.

From that low, a new 70-80 year SC3 began.

The first bull market of SC3 was 2009-2015,
and first bear market 2015-2016.


We have labeled them as Primary waves I and II.

The bull market currently underway
is part of Primary III.


We are counting it as Major wave 1



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LONG TERM: Uptrend


MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend may have bottomed


SHORT TERM: The rally from the Minor 2 low looks like a leading diagonal triangle to SPX 2665


As noted last weekend,
the Minor wave 1 rally
looked quite impulsive.

Minor wave 2 was steep,
but most second waves
have been steep in this bull market.

The rally from the Minor 2 low
looks like a leading diagonal triangle

to SPX 2665.

After that
the rest of the week was quite sloppy:

pullback to 2639,
three waves to 2680,
now another pullback to 2645.

A decline to SPX 2639
would make that three days
looks like an irregular flat.

Lower, an irregular zigzag.

Much lower,
and the entire advance from SPX 2586

starts looking corrective.


We posted
a tentative Minor waves 1 and 2
at 2672 and 2586
respectively.

This would suggest Minor wave 3 is now underway.




GOLD - Now in an Uptrend


____________________________________________________________


Best to your trading!

Trade what’s in front of you!

_________________________________________________________________


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USD - Futures Charts (Hourly)



GOLD - Futures Charts (Hourly)



S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly)



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USD - Futures Charts (Daily)



GOLD - Futures Charts (Daily)



S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily)



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In March 2009 the great recession and SC2 ended.

From that low a new 70-80 year SC3 began.

The first bull market of SC3 was 2009-2015,
and first bear market 2015-2016.


We have labeled them as Primary waves I and II.

The bull market currently underway
is part of Primary III.


We are counting it as Major wave 1












Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037

Quote:
LONG TERM: uptrend

This week let’s look at the big picture.
The very big picture.


While published data on the US stock market
only began in the year 1885,

we have been able to piece together,
using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles,
how the US market would have looked
from the early 1700’s.

As an emerging growth economy
the US would have not looked anything like
the European markets
that do have stock market data going back that far.
That data was not considered.

From around the year 1700 to 1929
the US experienced a 200+ year
grand super cycle bull market GSC 1

The 1929-1932 crash,
when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value,
ended GSC 2

While short in time
the crash made up for it in price damage.


A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low.

Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately:
SC1 1700-1770
SC2 1770-1776
SC3 1776-1850
SC4 1850-1857
SC5 1857-1929


Within the current GSC 3
there have been two completed super cycles,
with the third underway:
SC1 1932-2007
SC2 2007-2009
SC3 2009-xxxx


Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.


Within each super cycle bull market
there are five Cycle waves.

SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows:
C1 1932-1937
C2 1937-1942
C3 1942-1973
C4 1973-1974
C5 1974-2007


Notice the Cycle wave bull markets
can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years.


Also note, no matter the wave degree
the bear markets are always much shorter in time
than the bull markets.




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Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.


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http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1









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