S&P 500 - for Monday, April 16, 2018 https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ Weekend Update Posted on April 14, 2018 _________________________________________________________________ The Kick-Off Months in the OTC - Jan/Feb - Jun/Jul https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=137701925 ____________________________________________________________ LONG TERM: Uptrend A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+ in the next 2 to 4 years ____________________________________________________________ In March 2009 the great recession and SC2 ended . From that low, a new 70-80 year SC3 began. The first bull market of SC3 was 2009-2015, and first bear market 2015-2016. We have labeled them as Primary waves I and II. The bull market currently underway is part of Primary III. We are counting it as Major wave 1 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p39807715936&a=336994741&r=697 ____________________________________________________________ LONG TERM: Uptrend MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend may have bottomed SHORT TERM: The rally from the Minor 2 low looks like a leading diagonal triangle to SPX 2665 As noted last weekend, the Minor wave 1 rally looked quite impulsive. Minor wave 2 was steep, but most second waves have been steep in this bull market. The rally from the Minor 2 low looks like a leading diagonal triangle to SPX 2665. After that the rest of the week was quite sloppy: pullback to 2639, three waves to 2680, now another pullback to 2645. A decline to SPX 2639 would make that three days looks like an irregular flat . Lower, an irregular zigzag . Much lower, and the entire advance from SPX 2586 starts looking corrective. We posted a tentative Minor waves 1 and 2 at 2672 and 2586 respectively. This would suggest Minor wave 3 is now underway. GOLD - Now in an Uptrend ____________________________________________________________ Best to your trading! Trade what’s in front of you! _________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24INDU&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p73044918089&a=67199589&r=145 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24INDU&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p63870525915&a=67200084&r=513 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24COMPQ&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p81832879082&a=67199751&r=624 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24COMPQ&p=W&st=2008-12-29&en=today&id=p41812966202&a=477010691&r=723 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p45549968059&a=67199594&r=845 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p87854783623&a=67199592&r=116 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SILVER&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p89645425630&a=162802799&r=576 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p11621680044&a=67199587&r=783 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=h1&rev=636367234663755526 GOLD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=h1&rev=636365508250614299 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=h1&rev=635709018989210743 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=d1&rev=636367234866528712 GOLD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=d1&rev=636365509921887362 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=d1&rev=635706094042193689 ________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p24579542957&a=213338132&r=101 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 _________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p77937833857&r=1446541369256 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 In March 2009 the great recession and SC2 ended. From that low a new 70-80 year SC3 began. The first bull market of SC3 was 2009-2015, and first bear market 2015-2016. We have labeled them as Primary waves I and II. The bull market currently underway is part of Primary III. We are counting it as Major wave 1 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p39807715936&a=336994741&r=697 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037 LONG TERM: uptrend This week let’s look at the big picture. The very big picture. While published data on the US stock market only began in the year 1885, we have been able to piece together, using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles, how the US market would have looked from the early 1700’s. As an emerging growth economy the US would have not looked anything like the European markets that do have stock market data going back that far. That data was not considered. From around the year 1700 to 1929 the US experienced a 200+ year grand super cycle bull market GSC 1 The 1929-1932 crash, when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value, ended GSC 2 While short in time the crash made up for it in price damage. A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low. Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately: SC1 1700-1770 SC2 1770-1776 SC3 1776-1850 SC4 1850-1857 SC5 1857-1929 Within the current GSC 3 there have been two completed super cycles, with the third underway: SC1 1932-2007 SC2 2007-2009 SC3 2009-xxxx Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . Within each super cycle bull market there are five Cycle waves. SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows: C1 1932-1937 C2 1937-1942 C3 1942-1973 C4 1973-1974 C5 1974-2007 Notice the Cycle wave bull markets can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years. Also note, no matter the wave degree the bear markets are always much shorter in time than the bull markets. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2017/04/gsc3.png?w=640&h=528 Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=m1&rev=636365517037664961 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=m1&rev=636365516759361065 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=m1&rev=636365516285727249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=W&st=2000-07-01&en=(today)&id=p05112412233&a=67200086&r=919 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=GDX&p=W&b=1&g=0&id=p41872830988&a=237829033&r=249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 https://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=w1&rev=635682916163163656 https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDX&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDXJ&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l