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Friday, April 13, 2018 11:01:53 AM
You've made some astute observations that international markets have geopolitical risk. I'm focusing only on the stock chart, not trying to psychoanalyze the situation or leaders of countries or anticipate their governments. Those inputs are not valid in my trading model and I do not consider them.
If authorities consider it necessary to remove everyone's access to MTL or other tickers then they can do that with any symbol really. So why bother worrying about it. If the symbols are still trade-able then they must not have determined concerns to be important. And nobody is doing anything wrong or should feel as such. Why should people feel ashamed to make money. The authorities they're not with one hand out for your money with punishment for you in the other on tax day.
Looking around the world there are many things people can get worked up or outraged about and currently this behavior is in vogue after a recent major election. Of all the other things people can wear their frown face about in the world we don't see exchange authorities targeting and removing securities listings because of it so I would not be so concerned. What are they going to do close down the ETFs or change indexes no...So lets pretend they do remove some symbols and how are they going to refund everyone unwitting. How would they prevent people from realizing some stock they just removed does behave just like some other one they left on and using that one instead. It becomes a moot point. Of all the problems in the middle east has anyone removed oil trading because they need to make a statement for all to see etc....
And in fact investing and trading is really near the center of a free market capitalist economy. Perhaps in reality they would want to see that continue to grow and spread to help people. It would help people become more prosperous and add stability and liquidity to markets around the world. This is similar to one of the basic ideas of insurance where more people spread the risk and enjoy the benefits. We already saw similar situations with bitcoin being used in Africa as a economic safety net when the local economies had serious problems.
So the probablility of your concerns in my opinion are good to realize but very low. The costs and efforts to implement far outweigh the benefit. Ultimately if one keeps a portfolio of many different things this shouldn't matter at all. And that's for everyone and anyone really.
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