Home > Boards > Free Zone > Penny Trading - Technical > Triple 000 and Sub-penny Chart Plays

S&P 500 - The Long-Term Picture

Public Reply | Private Reply | Keep | Last ReadPost New MsgReplies (2) | Next 10 | Previous | Next
trader53 Member Profile
Member Level 
Followed By 4,090
Posts 154,715
Boards Moderated 4
Alias Born 06/04/09
160x600 placeholder
trader53 Member Level  Friday, 11/10/17 02:28:40 AM
Re: trader53 post# 131591
Post # of 176327 
S&P 500 - The Long-Term Picture

for Friday, November 10, 2017


Thursday Update

Posted on November 9, 2017


Saturday, 08/05/2017
MARKET SNAPSHOT: The Stock Market's
Historically Worst 2 Months Are Dead Ahead.
Time To Worry?


Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC

June is among the worst months for stocks

Saturday, 06/03/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stock Market Bracing
For Potentially The Most Explosive Stretch
Of Trading This Year


Sunday, 05/07/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: "Sell in May and Go Away"


Jan/Feb and Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC.


LONG TERM: Uptrend

A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway

We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+
in the next 2 to 4 years



Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets

LONG TERM: uptrend

This week let’s look at the big picture.
The very big picture.

While published data on the US stock market
only began in the year 1885,

we have been able to piece together,
using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles,
how the US market would have looked
from the early 1700’s.

As an emerging growth economy
the US would have not looked anything like
the European markets
that do have stock market data going back that far.
That data was not considered.

From around the year 1700 to 1929
the US experienced a 200+ year
grand super cycle bull market GSC 1

The 1929-1932 crash,
when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value,
ended GSC 2

While short in time
the crash made up for it in price damage.

A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low.

Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately:
SC1 1700-1770
SC2 1770-1776
SC3 1776-1850
SC4 1850-1857
SC5 1857-1929

Within the current GSC 3
there have been two completed super cycles,
with the third underway:
SC1 1932-2007
SC2 2007-2009
SC3 2009-xxxx

Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.

Within each super cycle bull market
there are five Cycle waves.

SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows:
C1 1932-1937
C2 1937-1942
C3 1942-1973
C4 1973-1974
C5 1974-2007

Notice the Cycle wave bull markets
can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years.

Also note, no matter the wave degree
the bear markets are always much shorter in time
than the bull markets.


Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.






Public Reply | Private Reply | Keep | Last ReadPost New MsgReplies (2) | Next 10 | Previous | Next
Follow Board Follow Board Keyboard Shortcuts Report TOS Violation
Current Price
Detailed Quote - Discussion Board
Intraday Chart
+/- to Watchlist