Monday, October 02, 2017 4:39:27 PM
You're funny.
I'm still underwater but only by $3.5K. I added six thousand units just prior to the launching of this leg moving higher. For months now, I've expected things to warm up around here in October and continue moving higher through February and into March of 2018. Against this backdrop, I have no worries as the plan is quickly coming together.
$12 and under in NGL remains a solid buy in my opinion. Just a few weeks from now we will be hearing from the Board about the next quarterly payout. I expect it to be consistent with company-led guidance already in place. Also, coverage has been a steady 1.2 times to 1.3 times so I'm not seeing cause for concern.
When the gloom and doom segment of the investment community finds NGL is about to pay 39 cents again as projected, that, plus very positive write-ups from notable analysts, should easily catapult our stock's units to something in the $14-$15 range, I'm figuring. Let's take the lower amount of $14 for the sake of conservative consideration:
We're still talking about a yield of 11.14% and I'm not bothering with compounding on an annualized basis. For my own purposes I'd be looking at 11.30% or thereabouts. I say this because this quarter's payout, if left intact, will be compounding over the next three consecutive quarters, thus increasing the next distribution value on a quarterly basis for three quarters based on a 4 quarter year.
My prediction is that when people see they've been frightened into putting their cash into other picks because newsletter writers steered them away from NGL--- they'll realize they've been had---aka misled through the use of fear and projections of inaccurate dire gloom ahead.
Those of us on this board for at least a few months are most likely well into the money. I'm close, myself, And most important of all is that I'm more positive than ever that I'll be closing out this year with a hefty gain in NGL. Based on today's close---a December trading finish in NGL will hand me another $41,100 I don't yet have. It will be a $38,000 gain for the year in this one stock. And, mind you, I'm expecting more than a $14 per unit finish.
Now, we need to look beyond this year's conclusion. My plan and pete807's has been based on projections including February and March of the coming year. We are both of the belief that $15/unit is a foregone conclusion with anything from $15-$20 likely. I know it's a big spread but I'm not ready to refine the number at this point. I will do so for anybody interested---shortly.
For now, let's love this moment. It's not been an easy road for sure. But those who have persevered deserve a slap on the back for numerous reasons.
Happy hunting!
Recent NGL News
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces the Payment of All Outstanding Distribution Arrearages for Class B, Class C and Class D Preferred Units as of Payment Date April 25, 2024 • Business Wire • 04/09/2024 09:15:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Sale of the New Mexico Ranches • Business Wire • 04/05/2024 04:46:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Cash Distribution of 55.4% of Outstanding Arrearages for Class B, Class C and Class D Preferred Units • Business Wire • 04/04/2024 10:26:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Status of Investor Tax Packages • Business Wire • 03/04/2024 09:45:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Third Quarter Fiscal 2024 Financial Results • Business Wire • 02/08/2024 09:33:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Cash Distribution of 50% of Outstanding Arrearages for Class B, Class C and Class D Preferred Units • Business Wire • 02/06/2024 10:33:00 PM
- NGL Closes $2.9 Billion Debt Refinancing Transactions and Amends and Extends Asset-Based Revolving Credit Facility • Business Wire • 02/02/2024 05:55:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners Announces Earnings Call • Business Wire • 01/30/2024 09:45:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Pricing of $2.2 Billion Offering of Senior Secured Notes • Business Wire • 01/25/2024 09:58:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces $2.1 Billion Offering of Senior Secured Notes • Business Wire • 01/23/2024 09:35:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces LEX II Large Diameter Pipeline Supported by New MVC and Extension of Acreage Dedication • Business Wire • 01/22/2024 11:30:00 AM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces $700 Million Senior Secured Term Loan Facility and Provides Financial Update • Business Wire • 01/17/2024 10:48:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces 2023 Open Season for Grand Mesa Pipeline Starting December 6, 2023 • Business Wire • 12/06/2023 11:30:00 AM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2024 Financial Results • Business Wire • 11/09/2023 09:23:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners Announces Earnings Call • Business Wire • 10/20/2023 10:30:00 AM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Financial Results • Business Wire • 08/09/2023 08:39:00 PM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Availability of its 2022 Schedule K-3s • Business Wire • 08/01/2023 10:30:00 AM
- NGL Energy Partners Announces Earnings Call • Business Wire • 07/19/2023 10:30:00 AM
- NGL Energy Partners LP Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2023 Financial Results; Guidance for Fiscal 2024 • Business Wire • 05/31/2023 08:37:00 PM
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