Amfil Technologies Inc (FUNN)

[SeatonBM]

MY CRYSTAL BALL, New numbers...

First and foremost, the numbers are fluid... Brief background on how this works... The 5 pictures below (red, blue, green, yellow, grey) all tell a story.

Red tells a story that shows the Previous consolidation period behavior, each individual day's opening prices, high of day price, low of day price, and closing price. It then reflects the number of days the consolidation period lasted at the bottom, the average opening price of the entire period, average high of day price for the entire period, average low of day price for the entire period, average closing price for the entire period, the absolute high price for the entire period, and the absolute low price for the entire period.



Blue tells a story similar to red, but it reflects the Current consolidation period behavior as it happens. Obviously I have to update this one each market day with the latest information upon the market closing for the day. Otherwise it reflects each individual day's opening prices, high of day price, low of day price, and closing price. It then reflects the number of days the consolidation period has lasted so far at the bottom, the average opening price of the entire period so far, average high of day price for the entire period so far, average low of day price for the entire period so far, average closing price for the entire period so far, the absolute high price for the entire period so far, and the absolute low price for the entire period so far.



Green takes the red prices (average open, average high, average low, average close, absolute high, absolute low), and divides them into the same price figures for the blue. This creates 6 different "ratios" that compare each price figure. Then it takes the average ratio of all 6 ratios, which allows me to compare the red figures to the blue ones proportionately. It then also compares the high end, low end, and different milestones of the 2 previous consolidation period to that of the current consolidation period. The low end of the previous consolidation period was $0.058, the high end was $0.0954, and the milestones use were $0.058, $0.06, $0.065, $0.07, $0.075, $0.08, $0.085, $0.09, and $0.0954. Then it multiplies those milestones by the average ratio to create hypothetical milestones for the current consolidation period that are proportionate to the previous consolidation period. It also figures for theactual average price of the current consolidation period, and reflects the hypothetically what the average should be based the ratio multiplied by the average of the previous consolidation period. Lastly, the green picture compares the current price AMFE is current at to where it would sit proportionately if we were currently in the previous consolidation period.



Yellow Takes each individual day of the red/ previous consolidation period, and multiplies each price figure (open, high, low, close) by the average ratio to give a hypothetical look at where the price should sit currently in comparison to the previous consolidation period. It also gives the hypothetical average and absolute price figures below as well.



Lastly, Grey takes the figures from the yellow, and compares them the the same figures of the blue, to give an idea how accurate this whole prediction system has been working. At the bottom of the grey picture, it shows on average how accurate it has been in predicting each field.



VERY IMPORTANT
These numbers are fluid, this is not a perfect science, there are a lot of moving parts and outside factors that can change how AMFE really moves, and the truth is it is all really unpredictable. this system just helps to give a reference idea... News and any of the major catalysts for example...

Also Note Worthy
Because the numbers are fluid, each time I update the charts with new information, all the data like the ratios will change. That is because it takes the average of the current and fluid data and divides it by the fixed numbers of the old data to provide ratios. And when the ratios change, the predictions using them change. In theory, they should not change too drastically at any given time unless AMFE makes a sudden and sharp movement, or observes several days of movements eventually weighing in on the results of the data. Because it works by averaging numbers, the more numbers you have to average (the more days that past add to each average), the less each individual number impacts the average as a whole. So eventually the numbers should settle down and the adjustments become lesser and lesser. Until then, bear with it, it shouldn't be too crazy of changes.

AS OF CLOSE, AUGUST 28th, 2017
The average ratio used to make these predictions changed from 2.51 to 2.4911, not too crazy of a movement, as explained above, this is expected.

Using the 2.51 ratio, predictions for today were:
Open at $0.1631
High of $0.1631
Low of $0.1456
Close at $0.1531

Noteworthy Comments
Interesting though the hypotheticals were a little off, 2 key pieces of information stands out to me...
1.) The open and high are the same.

2.) The closed is above the low, that low was in theory expected to be the bottom of the consolidation period... We'll see about that.

In reality the ACTUAL figures were:
Open at $0.1729
High of $0.1729
Low of $0.1521
Close at $0.1531

We will use the 2.4911 ratio to predict tomorrow.

Comparing Figures

Ok so the numbers did match exactly, they were never expected to per se... Again, we cannot expect an exact carbon copy movement, this isn't THAT predictable...

What this tool is being used for is to predict TRENDS...

Notable Points
So one thing that stuck out to me, is this... Today was the 13th day of the current consolidation period... The opening price and the high price were the same price today, the same thing occurred on the 13th day of the previous consolidation period, which is why the hypothetical predicted that to be the case too...

We challenged and looks like we possibly could have even broken through the bottom Bollinger Band, which signals for a bullish movement.

Tomorrows hypothetical figures support a bullish movement.

As FastMny recently pointed out, the predicted hypothetical figures predicted a close of $0.1531, and if not for a last second painting of the share price (which I was the responsible party for that painting, see picture below), we would have closed at $0.153, pretty close...

The low of $0.1521 may end up actually being our floor, though I still believe $0.145 will actually play a significant role at some point... We'll see...

Here is my share price paint job last seconds of today



Tomorrow's Prediction
Tomorrow, August 29th, 2017 will be the 14th day of the current consolidation period.



My Crystal Ball predicts:
Open: $0.1619
High: $0.1843
Low: $0.1619
Close $0.1843

Key Trends
A reversal... Not the prediction claims the open and the low this time will actually match... That may or may not occur, but ultimately tomorrow should in theory begin our climb back towards the 20 day Moving Average at very least... that should happen at some point tomorrow if this holds true, doesn't have to necessarily occur right at the opening bell as the crystal ball projects... And again, it isn't necessarily an exact science, we can potentially have another red day before making that climb, especially considering we haven't touched $0.145 that my gut says will play a role...

But we will see!!!

Chart:



New Moving Averages