U appears to have been a head fake

D appears headed upwards bound


cc

Today appears to me to be day trading movement
We are in a downward movement

If ur day trading hope u do well
At doctors visit today....won’t be trading
Following the trade

cc

Have u looked at the short interest on UGAZ


cc

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Reports

http://americanoilman.homestead.com/gasstorage.html




cc

appear could take it on down
D up in AH

....edit
currently below support area
appears 3.08 could be support area
today low was 3.06
if this keeps up we could be below GAP tomorrow morning



cc

3.08s falling





cc

can give you forcast for mild winter as well as colder than normal winter
appears all you can rely on is a couple weeks out

Nov 21st cold gone.....weather appears not that cold
appears algos could be pushing natty down
remember we are trading futures contracts

can give you forcast for mild winter as well as colder than normal winter
appears all you can rely on is a couple weeks out


19th....cold weahter


20th cold blowing out of area


21st cold pretty much gone


22nd....kinda stays like this next couple days....little warmer than this map across country


cc

Know what u mean
Natty is a beast
Will look when get home...on the job right now
Hope ur doing well...green that is
Need look at weather...turns on u from day to day

cc

U.S. natural gas supply - Gas Week: (10/26/17 - 11/1/17)

Total supply
81.4.....this week
80.4.....last week
77.2.....last year




cc

My....hope understand what ur looking for
would research last year days u are interested in
say 11-11-16 tru 11-18-16
and
11-11-17 tru 11-18-17

1....temps last year for those days
2....last year lng storage for same days
3....this year temp predictions for those days
4.... you could get close to storage predictions
5.... look back and see what CASH was on those days

EIA and NOAH may be able to help on that

hope that helps getting what u want


cc

2 days of cool weather on 19 and 20 then back to warmer weather
according to European maps

at first appears as though we were to have cold weather coming on 19th
now European maps show warm weather back on 21 st for another week

appears algos could be moving natty right now

cc

thought winter coming Friday
now warmer weather appears could be coming back
shall see how wind blows

wend.....Nov.


Friday.... Nov 17th


Sunday....Nov 19 th....cool for 2 days....back to warmer weather



Tues....Nov....21....back to warmer weather


Thursday.....Nov....23 rd....semi coll weather





cc

rinse....wash...repeat
they washed out their stake in U
had to get rid of them....so
they held it up till they sold off
began shorting
look at the long red candles on the 1 hr chart
lots of selling off of U.....shorting

2.735 would love to see it


cc

UGAZ....Short Positions

Short Percent......Total volume.....Short Volume......Short percentage
11-13-2017........... 3,856,942........... 9,057,797......... 42.58%
11-10-2017........... 2,279,892........... 8,576,089......... 26.58%




cc

who knows for sure....Gap at 3.00




cc

printing Jan contract Monday
we just hit high of Jan contract
we are still printing downward motions of chart
trying break tru my 3.15 mark

chart moving fast
could we hit 2.85 ish the way it'z moving

cold weather doesn't hit til around 19th
next Sunday





cc

printing Jan contract Monday
we just hit high of Jan contract
we are still printing downward motions of chart
3.15 hitting.....trying break tru

chart moving fast
2.85 ish possibility the way it'z moving

cold weather doesn't hit til around 19th
next Sunday






cc

dollar nice pics

my father died in 2010 and
was in 4 different services
at 16 he went in the Merchant Marines
at 17 he went into the Coast Guard
18 he enlisted in the Navy and became a deep Sea Diver...10 years
....he welded up the ships during War Time
he got out of Navy and enlisted in the Air Force...11 years
....ran a 125 man Welding crew for Air force

got out of the Air Force
taught Welding at local High School for 20 years
retired
he had a great career

thanks 4 your service
assuming you were in wervice

cc

Short Volume Chart....Daily
Gas Weighted Degree Days (CONUS)


http://volumebot.com/?s=UGAZ


HDD 30Y Diff

https://truewx.com/energy/ecmwfens/



cc

Has it begun
Needs break below 3.15

wondering if we hit 3.10


cc

Speaking of these ETFs, UGAZ continues its rollover process into January 2018 contracts, which closed at $3.30/MMBTU, a modest 10 cent contango. Through Thursday, UGAZ holds 60% of its funds in January 2018 contracts and 40% in December 2017 contracts. The fund will likely conclude the rollover on Monday. UNG holds only December 2017 contracts and will not begin its rollover for another week or so. Since bottoming at $2.85/MMBTU on October 18, the front month contract has rallied an impressive 12.2%. Even with the rally, however, natural gas is still undervalued according to my Fair Price Model, trading at a 7.4% undervaluation to a $3.47/MMBTU Fair Price based on current inventories alone (or a 4.9% undervaluation using January 2018 pricing). And thanks to a large late-winter backwardation in futures contracts and expectations that the storage deficit will continue to build, the commodity is undervalued by an average of 16% based on the next 8 months of projections. However, with natural gas approaching overbought technical territory and temperatures expected to at least temporarily moderate next week, it would not be surprising to see the commodity pull back near-term, though the underlying bullish fundamentals will remain intact.




cc

could there be some gaps to fill before natty big push upward
for winter
but
appears warmer weather coming
3 weeks form now Cold Weather trying to come back
Wend Nov 22nd Cold back on Eastern SeaBoard

could there be some gaps to fill before natty big push upward
for winter
but
appears warmer weather coming
3 weeks form now Cold Weather trying to come back
Wend Nov 22nd Cold back on Eastern SeaBoard

:) .....feeling better





cc

holding





cc

Short Volume Chart....Daily
compare Short chart to DGAZ movements
Short Chart near 10 to 18 DGAZ runs
now Short Chart @ 10



http://volumebot.com/?s=UGAZ






cc

Short Volume Chart....Daily


http://volumebot.com/?s=UGAZ


cc

Short Volume Chart....Daily
compare Short chart to DGAZ movements
Short Chart near 10 to 18 DGAZ runs
now Short Chart @ 10


http://volumebot.com/?s=UGAZ






cc

U.S. natural gas supply - Gas Week: (10/19/17 - 10/25/17)


Total supply.....Average daily values (Bcf/d):
80.4....this week
79.4....last week
76.8....year ago

U.S. natural gas consumption - Gas Week: (10/19/17 - 10/25/17)

Total demand
69.9....this week
70.6...last week
67.6....last year







cc

Got some D @ 23.32 and 23.20



cc

Got some D @ 23.32 and 23.20






cc

Near-Record-Cold Temperatures to Invade the Northeast Late Week as Winter Makes a Brief Visit
Cold this week end....short lived......back to warmer weather




https://weather.com/forecast/regional/news/2017-11-07-record-cold-temperatures-northeast-winter-chill

cc

U.S. natural gas supply - Gas Week: (10/19/17 - 10/25/17)


Total supply.....Average daily values (Bcf/d):
80.4....this week
79.4....last week
76.8....year ago

U.S. natural gas consumption - Gas Week: (10/19/17 - 10/25/17)

Total demand
69.9....this week
70.6...last week
67.6....last year







cc

Sabine Pass Train 4 reaches substantial completion

The recently announced expansion of the Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, will add to the rapid growth expected in LNG export capacity for the United States under construction through 2019. The fourth natural gas liquefaction unit—referred to in the industry as a train—at the Sabine Pass LNG terminal is substantially completed, according to an October 13 announcement by Cheniere Energy, Inc., which owns and operates the facility. Train 4 has the capacity to liquefy 0.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day (Bcf/d). Cheniere expects to begin commercial deliveries from Train 4 in March 2018.

All of Train 4’s capacity has been contracted under 20-year long-term contracts: 0.5 Bcf/d to India’s state-run natural gas company, GAIL (India) Limited, and the remaining volumes to Shell and Cheniere’s global portfolios for trading in the spot LNG markets. GAIL is one of India’s largest LNG importers, with 1.1 Bcf/d of LNG imports in 2017 (44% of India’s total LNG imports).

GAIL’s contract with Cheniere for off-take volumes from Train 4 includes a swap agreement with Swiss trading company Gunvor Group Ltd. Under this agreement, GAIL will purchase 15 LNG cargoes from Gunvor in 2017 for delivery to India, and Gunvor will purchase 10 cargoes from GAIL in 2018 from GAIL’s off-take volume from Sabine Pass Train 4 for trading in the global spot markets. In a form of commercial agreements typical at Sabine Pass, GAIL will pay between $3.00 per million British thermal unit (MMBtu) and $3.50/MMBtu plus 115% of the final settlement price for the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) Henry Hub natural gas futures contract price for the month in which the cargo is scheduled for delivery.

The Sabine Pass LNG terminal began export operations in February 2016 and currently has five trains in service or under construction, each with a capacity of about 0.7 Bcf/d. Trains 1-3 are fully operational, Train 4 is preparing to enter service as announced, and Train 5 is under construction and expected to enter service in August 2019. Train 6 has been approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), but has not yet reached a Final Investment Decision and is not yet under construction.




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MY should have bought D last night
chart said buy but I didn't
knew today was not able to watch and trade it
woulda made bank this morning if had bought last night
n sold today

did not buy this evening
will be in Jena on a gutter job where will make good bank off gutter job

quite a few lower gaps to fill
I woulda bought this evening but was tied up with show and getting ready for these events

natty got close to 3.30 ish
that appeared to me to be near top
shall see tomorrow how it turns out

in cash 4 now

cc

D didn't get that low
cancelled buy order
will wait till morning and see where goes before buying



cc

may consider latter this evening
have a buy order in for D @ 24.30
will see if fills latter this evening

have to go to my grandsons indoctrination
he is 9 yers old and being inducted into the Beta society
he is very smart



cc

I was worried this morning you had held DGAZ
was hoping u had sold

great job....taking Friday loss was better than taking todays potential loss

am in cash for now
so u think tomorrow will be up
was thinking of entering D this evening
will let u know if i do


edit.....only thing got me concerned is the gap in D @ around 22.00

cc

nice prediction...hit 3.095.....link back for MY's prediction
hope you were in UGAZ