not sure
about cash prediction

chart it and trade the chart

figure all that is melted into the chart


cc

see a posability
3.13 first hurdle
then.....3.165....good bit of resistance there
would love to see it hit 3.165
then
3.288

edit.....am holding....not trading
front months kick off could hit hard

if breaks tru 3.29
could see possible..... 3.625......dreaming here

looking at temp maps
supplied by myself

On the lower pic of weather..... 13 th
the ocean appears to be getting colder in bigger areas.... growing

Wonder if
This could possibly affect us next week and push colder weather towards Eastern Sea Board

friday... 8 th


.... 13 th


cc

see a posability
3.13 first hurdle
then.....3.165....good bit of resistance there
would love to see it hit 3.165
then
3.288

edit....
will be holding...front months kick off no telling where we land


if breaks tru 3.29
could see possible..... 3.625......dreaming here

looking at temp maps
supplied by myself.... a poster

On the lower pic of weather..... 13 th
the ocean appears to be getting colder in bigger areas.... growing

Wonder if
This could possibly affect us next week and push colder weather towards Eastern Sea Board

friday... 8 th


.... 13 th


cc
Previous | Next

would be liking to see front months increasing
driving current months upward bound

Jan and Feb contracts need to be increasing and we get our run
I think





cc

Not at computer
On road with phone


cc

Am picking up my signs
Today ....tomorrow an Wednesday
Will try and look at chart on computer this evening
Think has good chance of hitting around 11.00

Out on the road at a drive in burger place on side of road
Got me a hot fudge Sunday
Haven’t eaten one of them in ages
Place called 4 Acres
sure is good....ha

edit....

Kinda like the old A & W rootbeer places

cc

On the lower pic of weather
the ocean appears to be getting colder in bigger areas
Wonder if
This could possibly affect us next week and push colder weather towards Eastern Sea Board


cc

interesting natty move this morning
could be we have a reverse
off the 50 / 50 reverse algos

shall see how it goes


cc

appears forward months closing
Jan and Feb slowing down....spread closing
less spread
does that mean about to turn around.....?????


2.81


2.92


2.929



2.91



cc

Natty most of the time does it’s own thing
Charting is difficult at times because of roll overs
If u notice it always comes back to the 30
Some times buying an holding is only option
when u buy near bottom

Bottoms could be either 100 or 200 ma
Hope they hold up n we get our bounce
edit....

European models Show spotted winter/summer/winter
But
Exports to Canada...South America ...etc are looking good for natty
Last week there were like 7 ships left Sabine port


cc

an interesting perspective







cc

Got some 2.76


cc

picked up some U .... 8.38


wondering if we see 7 's

have a Reverse H & S formation
on 5 min chart

cc

Happy Thanksgiving to all
to you and family

cc

Natural Gas Storage Figures For This Week

Summary

We expect a -50 Bcf change in the storage report for the week ended Nov. 17.

A storage report of -50 Bcf would be compared to +2 Bcf last year and -26 Bcf for the five-year average.

No cold risk in any of the weather models in the 11-15 day outlook.

We expect a -50 Bcf change in the storage report for the week ended Nov. 17. A storage report of -50 Bcf would be compared to +2 Bcf last year and -26 Bcf for the five-year average.

We revised higher our storage draw expectations from -47 Bcf last Friday to -50 Bcf. Our estimate is currently 3 Bcf higher than the ICE settlement report.

Natural gas continues to move lower today with weather for the first-week of December looking very bearish. (See our article from yesterday.)

What everyone is focused on in the 11-15 day outlook is that there is no cold spell risk present in any of the models. There's been a strong agreement that the cold spells are being seen in Asia and Europe, and US would be lucky to just have "normal" temps for the first-week of December now.

That's not the bullish start the bulls want, but that's also not the end of this winter. January and February are the most crucial months. Last year, December was unbelievably cold, while a really warm January and February pushed total heating degree days over the winter to one of the lowest on record.

Over the last two days, the price drop is reflected also in our storage forecasts. In total, storage was revised higher by 47 Bcf since last Friday.

Thanks for reading. If you would like to start receiving must-read daily updates on natural gas fundamentals and trader commentary, sign up for HFI Research Natural Gas, a dedicated natural gas publication based on our years of research in the space and regular talks with traders in the industry. In preparation for the winter season and 2018, we are offering readers a chance to lock in our legacy rates, before prices change on January 1, 2018. Check it out and join us today, before winter arrives!

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4126929-natural-gas-storage-figures-week?


cc

Natural Gas Storage Figures For This Week

Summary

We expect a -50 Bcf change in the storage report for the week ended Nov. 17.

A storage report of -50 Bcf would be compared to +2 Bcf last year and -26 Bcf for the five-year average.

No cold risk in any of the weather models in the 11-15 day outlook.

We expect a -50 Bcf change in the storage report for the week ended Nov. 17. A storage report of -50 Bcf would be compared to +2 Bcf last year and -26 Bcf for the five-year average.

We revised higher our storage draw expectations from -47 Bcf last Friday to -50 Bcf. Our estimate is currently 3 Bcf higher than the ICE settlement report.

Natural gas continues to move lower today with weather for the first-week of December looking very bearish. (See our article from yesterday.)

What everyone is focused on in the 11-15 day outlook is that there is no cold spell risk present in any of the models. There's been a strong agreement that the cold spells are being seen in Asia and Europe, and US would be lucky to just have "normal" temps for the first-week of December now.

That's not the bullish start the bulls want, but that's also not the end of this winter. January and February are the most crucial months. Last year, December was unbelievably cold, while a really warm January and February pushed total heating degree days over the winter to one of the lowest on record.

Over the last two days, the price drop is reflected also in our storage forecasts. In total, storage was revised higher by 47 Bcf since last Friday.

Thanks for reading. If you would like to start receiving must-read daily updates on natural gas fundamentals and trader commentary, sign up for HFI Research Natural Gas, a dedicated natural gas publication based on our years of research in the space and regular talks with traders in the industry. In preparation for the winter season and 2018, we are offering readers a chance to lock in our legacy rates, before prices change on January 1, 2018. Check it out and join us today, before winter arrives!

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4126929-natural-gas-storage-figures-week?


cc

Short .....Volumne


http://volumebot.com/?s=UGAZ

https://shortpainbot.com/?s=ugaz


cc

on daily chart it is at mid bollie area
if you chart it that way

could go south from here or north
2.99 could be possible from here
good bit of noise there
does it go lower.....not sure
may need to churn a bit more if goes lower

chart wise appears going south
shall see



cc

am doing fine.....thanks for asking

just ranting
don't u love it when a group leads sheep along to slaughter
don't know
swapping one leader to another....group therapy
proclaiming todays leader is king
then
bam.......it goes South
they are right for a while
then
suck others in and they make a wrong move.....
on purpose....can't say 4 suree


feel sorry for them
not talking about me or anyone here or on D board
but see it all the time
bunch of pumpers
why before u trade anything u better know what ur doing
or
u could loose it all

just ranting
hope all is going well with you



cc

all your hooping an hollaring about being right
3 rd wave, 4th wave, 5th wave counting and fib lines are useless when trading ETF's like natty
useless

remember this.....rinse....wash....repeat
I predicted it would go lower wihtout all your lines and scribbles

Grant your chart was way off.....because those scenarios don't work on natty
from one leader to another
cheer leaders
leading the sheep to slaughter
indicators tell you where it has been
not where it is going

why in the world would natty go that high when you have coal.....natty...wind...and nuclear energy

prices have to say low enough so we can sell to other countries
have to be compeatative

we now have an abundance of natty
if they tell you otherwise....it is in the ground waiting to get out
turn the spicket on when needed

Austraillia....China....Russia...Africa...to name a few
there are to many countries selling natty

cc

Should have held my DGAZ


cc

That gives me a headache
Can u add them together and come up with consensus

Or just say
Market expecting upward and they drop it on everyone because they can
They have to make money

I expect market to drop
I am in cash


cc

LSU = 30 ..... Tenn = 10


cc

got out of D today
don't have time for it

am snowed under with getting show ready

best of luck next week my friend

happy turkey day

cc

tried selling my D yesterday near top
never pulled the trigger in time
around 25.98 but didn't
was looking at getting back in U last night for pop this morning

back in D today


another day




cc

go in near top of run
so
am ok with little volatility
may sell off today
won't have time to watch next week
gun show preperation all next week

nice going on your trade






cc

Still in D

Nice play


cc

GAP does it get fill
today
tomorrow

shall see


cc

Injection -18

Working gas in storage was 3,772 Bcf as of Friday, November 10, 2017, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decrease of 18 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 271 Bcf less than last year at this time and 101 Bcf below the five-year average of 3,873 Bcf. At 3,772 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.

Celsius projection was -17



cc

Working gas in storage was 3,772 Bcf as of Friday, November 10, 2017, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decrease of 18 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 271 Bcf less than last year at this time and 101 Bcf below the five-year average of 3,873 Bcf. At 3,772 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range.

Celsius projection was -17



cc

selling of pops since around 6 am
with lower volume last hour



cc

Economic Calendar....natty weekly projection

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Official storage report

http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html


cc

10:30 USD Natural Gas Storage

projection...... -14B
Previous.............. 15B




cc

GFS maps....cold air keeps trying to come down
gets knocked around and split up and blown out
is warm weather king......shall see

Nov 25.....warm weather



Nov 27......warm weather in US



Nov 28.....warm weather



Nov 30



Dec 2....warm air from South splits up cold air trying push against it









cc

depends on who's map you look at
cold air keeps trying to come down
gets knocked around and split up and blown out

Nov 25.....warm weather



Nov 27......warm weather in highly populated areas
cold in less populated areas



Nov 28.....warm weather



Nov 30



Dec 2....









cc

cc

European models vs GFS weather map models

The GFS weather map models show cool weather coming

The European map models show warm weather coming
with spotted cool weather
Warm weather most of this month
Into Dec of 2017

Who is correct..

From what I’ve read
.More rely on European model than GFS
More reliable over longer time frames

To each his own

cc

This morning was a shake n bake time.....
R we headed up in D...appears so
Who can tell for sure
Weather changes on u every week or so
No way to trade out very far
Can give u a site showing colder than normal
Give u a site saying weather will be warmer than normal this winter

The only weather guy I know who got it right every time
is a local guy who NEVER got it right
If he said bring ur umbrella it was gonna rain....no rain in sight
If he said no rain... it rained hard

So most of them can’t get it right

Trade well...hope u trades r green

cc

Appears got a head fake on U
Appears Natty is in downward movement

Does it fill the gap
Holding to my convictions of where chart says to go
Fills gap
Does it go lower
Possibly...shall see

cc