Re: Powell & the Fed

I'm honestly thinking we are screwed either way. At this point i see 2 outcomes both very bad. The Debt /GDP ratio is 150+% after the stimulus bill gets passed.

If The Fed wants to save the value of the American Dollar. they have to raise interest rates. The problem with this is the government can't afford it. a 4% interest rate is 1.2 trillion dollars on 30 trillion. Spending will have to be cut drastically. and if the government raises taxes to the point of California their will be a mass exodus of the Producers that will leave the country.

If they want to keep interest rates low they will have to keep buying bonds and be a backstop. This will cause inflation to skyrocket. imo. The cost of commodities will go through the roof and people that do have savings will get absolutely destroyed.

Either way i see a financial disaster coming in the next 3 to 6 months.

I equate this to if you ever have credit card debt and you keep buying beyond your means but you are always able to make the minimum payment with insane interest on time to the bank . Until eventually you spend so much you can not even afford that monthly minimum payment

the SEC probably just checked breakout boards on IHUB haha. alot of those names look familiar on here

AVNW & CRNT are good examples of very similar companies with the same market cap that are both in the same sector 5G that could be headed in 2 different directs

AVNW has good earnings and is less of a growth play
CRNT has negatives earnings but supposedly has the better technology and higher future growth

Today was a good example with the implied rise in interest rates that you don’t want to be in a high growth negative earnings play.
AVNW will more
Likely trade flat with higher interest rates as CRNT will continue the struggle to the downside

no comment on this its a fight we can't win

1 year update. Back in 2017 my account went to $241 basically losing $10,000. That money sat there until Feb 24th of 2020 when i decided to deposit $5,000. From FEb 25th my starting balance was $5,241. Today it is $30,658.41. a 600% gain but i still feel like i missed opportunities

Honestly i am still gambling. Until i build it to a certain point i am still going basically all in on 1 stock at a time. Is that smart? HELL NO

Have i learned to take profits and not get swept away in the hype and fall in love and marry stocks. Yes that is something i am way better at than in previous years.

CTHR- I am piggybacking off you again Hweb. I added 13,000 shares at an average of $2.23.

Did my research and i think this is just like an AVNW play when it was in the mid 30s(yes 2 totally different companies in different sectors)

Both have new Ceo's that have improved the bottom line and executed so far.
CTHR is in a growing sector but is also a value play at the moment just like AVNW. I think the Millennials and Gen Z are more "ethical conscious" from just my anecdotal point of view.

And the seeking alpha guy is right more weddings will be happening once Covid is over and that could be a short term boom. ...... Fake Diamond hands ..... For The Win.

Opinions? Do you guys think market sentiment has changed to the point that the announcement of the 1.9 trillion $ stimulus would actually be bad news

Avnw dropped to $56 damn..... wish I was quicker. Oh well.

I have to work lol

AVNW unlike most of the tech sector. It is more of a value play than a growth play

AVNW ..... I just timed it a couple hours off yesterday.... I guess I was right

Down 14% ..

Should I wait for the market to settle or buy now that is the question

LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE FALLING TODAY!

AVNW I am an idiot up 7%

AVNW i sold in the premarket at 65.43 I still love the company.
I feel like a big market correction is coming but i have been wrong every time before this past year

I made 77% profit . Thank you Hweb for posting on the board.

If AVNW has any significant sell off im buying back in. If the market does not sell off i think AVNW will reach the mid 70s before the next earnings.

I'm actually starting to think from a broader market perspective that a 1.9 trillion stimulus would be bad news for the market

Also something that is weird.. The trade cleared on my end and in my account but the volume is not showing on the stock

are you still following this closely? LAst earnings where somewhat disappointing i was actually hoping for more of a sell off.

I still like the long term play here but i don't see the stock doing much over the next 6 months. probably just flatlines

alot of missed opportunity by not buying here over the past year....

figure i try to give new life into the message board

i don't trust management here anymore.... the CEO has been there forever and seems lackluster.....i might buy back in for a swing trade if it has a big red day

AVNW this thing trades like clock work ... down 8% today
It pulled back from $45 to $38
$53 to $46
$60 to $52
Now $67 and I’m guessing going to be $60 ish

AVNW: honestly i have no idea...... i would ask hweb he has been following longer.

I bought in the mid 30s piggybacking off Hweb lol... New management has executed flawlessly since taking over last winter.

My personal opinion is that in the mid 30s AVNW was extremely undervalued considering all the rural 5g funding going on in the U.S. I think they should easily do $4 EPS for full year going forward . and i put my fair value on the stock at $75.....

AVNW up 24% on all time record volume
It never really dipped today just a steady incline all day

Yea this is what is crazy about this market .i don’t remember real companies being traded like this
In the past. This kind of trading was all centered around scammy penny stocks

I actually agree with you.

And unlike online poker or sports betting.

The stock market is legal in every state.......

AVNW more good news they announced more business with LTD broadband that has a 1.3 billion grant in federal funding from the government to deploy 5g in rural networks in the https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ltd-broadband-taps-aviat-networks-140200961.html?.tsrc=fin-srch

a good UCAAS play is ATGN

LUVU posted a huge 1.45 million in net income for the quarter..........

But at closer look they had a one time profit

And the real net income from operations was $457k on 5.7 million in Revs

Which is still good but not amazing

Also stockholder equity turned positive for the first time in like forever .

It was (900k) it is now positive 500k

AVNW good news for shareholders.
Bad news for employees.

New management is really taking control of the company and moving it in a positive direction for shareholders

10 year treasury is almost up 5% today

LUVU might be worth a buy today before earnings..... just because it should post great numbers and it might be taken over by the pump crowd because its a love stock for valentines day haha

AVNW yea TTM P/E ratio is less than 20 for a 5g growth play. By far the most undervalued in the industry.

This does not even take into account better Qs to come

AVNW down 7% CRNT up 10%... i guess his is due to ARK invest increasing share purchases in CRNT

outdated post....... RCMT now trading at 11.75 haha

5G stocks? haha

LUVU I was hoping it would slowly go back down to below .10 cents before earnings but to my surprise it has held well in the .12

I think this Past Q will be great with ceo saying they where doing 100k in sales a day before the holidays . But I put my fair value of LUVU of around .15.

Management does not have a proven track record.

It feels like a
Major sell off is coming today .....

LUVU should be reporting soon. Their numbers should be great according to the investors micro cap conference a month ago.

The stock actually has held up very well considering it’s past . I sold my initial 110k shares and 0.095 cents at .14 and then bought another 40k shares at .115 and sold at .12.

AVNW yea it pulled back 3 times
$43 to 37
$53 to $46
$60 to $52

It’s been a great hold but if you can time it it’s been even a better trade

Some huge block trades today

AVNW yea it pulled back 3 times
$43 to 37
$53 to $46
$60 to $52

It’s been a great hold but if you can time it it’s been even a better trade

Some huge block trades today

I agree with you lol. The market likes CRNT better for what it’s worth

AVNW & CRNT..... I was reading Seeking ALpha comments. And it seems like the consensus is that CRNT has the better technology and that is what Investors are betting on...

The thing is AVNW has better current numbers in every category. and still trades at a 50% discount to CRNT.

KOSS article below I’m kinda of glad the family became rich off this crazy https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/04/koss-family-executives-cash-in-44-million-in-stock-during-short-squeeze-rally.html?&qsearchterm=koss

I am a 30 year old and I only pay for internet.
The only ads I watch are the 15 second YouTube ones or I listen. To the ads on podcasts