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FYI, SQ (Block Inc.) formerly Square is now XYZ ticker.
Hi H,
I think for a multi month trade/posistion Small and Mid caps are undervalued compared to large caps.
Im looking to add in my LT accts.
Swing trade I will keep doing what Im doing (SPXL/TQQQ/FNGU) BUT...keep eye on TNA
Maybe on Thur if I get confirming signals. need LH/LL
Using the BOIL chart but would go long KOLD
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I went fully long of Fri. This is not a market I want to miss out on.
3 month rolling ave return on CMA's
FLOT 6.24% Annual rate
MINT 5.16%
GSY 4.88%
SGOV 4.60%
BIL 4.52%
as of 15Jan25 close
note: SGOV is ideal for daily sweeping of accts
1 mo 4.32% but as of this AM last 10 trading days rose to 4.56%
EDIT: my math is inacurate on the last 10 trading days, probably higher. SC had return of 0.19% during those 10days. My main point is that SGOV return is RISING!
MINT is somewhat liquid in the early part of AH trading.
the Q's and SPY have busted the UTL, will see if can hold.
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I agree! what goes up must come down. The BOIL ship has sailed....I dont do very well swimming after sailed ships. So yeah, KOLD on watch list.
OILU vs GUSH. i just compared the two. I entered 23Dec in GUSH at Fri close I am up 19.97% on a 2X product. Same time period OILU is up 18.86% and it is 3X.
So bust em down to 1X to compare, 9.98% GUSH vs 6.29% OILU. There some serious decay going on in OILU
Seem like the old pair NRGU/D tracked better.
Like I said before, I added 50% to pos to get the 3X $ return effect. Yes I need to factor in lost CMA income but that is negligable on a short-term trade.
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I havent taken any signals on the pair since mid-Dec. Ive been trading GUSH at 1.5 pos to make up for the 2X. I tried OILU but it didnt correlate well, I might try again next signal.
Buy signal negated by 3bar. No trade.
I had a buy signal on the Q's 60m H1 chart(trading FNGU) on the 2bar (2pm) but no followthru. If we dont rally by close then we got more down I think.
Except for GUSH, I am in cash/CMA @ 5%+
Potential bull count. Bear bias until upper TL breach.
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Thx!
Still riding it. GUSH
added SOXL and LABU last Fri 3Jan
On sidelines with big3.
see NQ reply
I had a good 1st half for the pair, but 2nd half was killer and gave most of it back. Currently mostly cash/CMA in my TA (trading acct)
Do have 9% pos in GUSH up 14.1% so far.
Happy 2025 yourself and all on this board!
Have Merry Christmas All!
I dont have any advice specifically but I do know my spread sheets start slowing down on inputs sometimes. I will try rebooting to see if that is problem next time I notice it. I do know that TOS can cause memory to get used up and rebooting will fix that.
Maybe screen shot a before and after on "task manager" to see what uses up memory by what and how much is cleaned out when rebooted.
Hope you are right. Bgt some BOIL and GUSH at the buzzer Y.
I am also long TQQQ, SPXL 2pos and AAPL
Good summary.
Int expense steady as you say, they are replacing the old ST debt with slightly lower new ST debt, No?
I went in too early so I bailed on this move up. I am going to keep watching though.
We have 1/2 day Market hours on Friday?
You as well!
NQ Here's a wildhair trade, I shorted Tesla. TSLZ. we see how it goes.
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I missed the last buy signal on BOIL, so on sidelines. I did get on last GUSH buy, currently +20%
Watching LABU, overreaction to RFKJr I think.
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TGT sure got a smack-down -20%. NVDA I dont know what to think of it. It is in an upward trend on daily chart but these dang EReports are coin flippers.
Option markets say 8% move EITHER direction>> Yahoo Finance article
CMA check.
Last 2 weeks MINT 5.85% annual rate SGOV 4.56%
Last 1mo FLOT 6.80% nothing even close SGOV 4.85%
Last 2mo FLOT 6.13% MINT close SGOV 4.94%
Last 3mo FLOT again 6.72% SGOV 5.12%
Even though SGOV is paying lower, it is still my choice for "sweep accts"
It is also very liquid AH with only 1c spread.
Anything longer I like FLOT or MINT, need to transistion out of the GSY I have.
Data from Stockcharts which includes div payouts
1mo
OK, no surprise, 25 basis pts as expected, Thats part 1
Now for part 2.....the D&P at 2:30
If Fed surprises with a 50 basis cut, Im watching NAIL DRN TMF, or even the expected 25 basis cut
Great report! If Im not mistaken, once interest payments hit 28% or so of revenues, it will be a place where no govt has ever survived in its current form. Maybe GDP is denominator? I need to look. either way, this is not good.
Totally forgot until now, FED decision today 2pm
SC is having a buy 12mo get 4mo free promo. This equals the deal they usually give on cyber Monday. Hmmmm I wonder if cyber Monday better? I will wait, my sub is good thru Jan '26
I front ran the BOIL 60m chart and bought EOD on Tue, and Wed daily confirmed. Playing daily chart rules now.
Front running got me over 3% boost.
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Lot of men dont want to go to doctor for fear of what might turn up. Youre no wimp.
I primarily use a daily chart, sometimes front run with the 60m.
Signals;
1. StoRSI move from <20 to >80 one day best but can take longer. 0 to 100 optimal
2. SlowSto >20 Move out of green zone, or be out of green zone.
3. 3MA moves above 8MA or is very close and other indicators agree
4. MACD 12/26/1 signal line is rising or flat.
5. Prior signal takes precedence, especially if established.
6. Look at trendlines and wait for reversal against trend
7. Need HHHL or if all else good, a bullish engulfing candle
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Youre ultimately right about OILU being the preferred ETF as long as we get near 3X return. The low volume is causing erratic behavior for now. I might try it next signal.
Depends on my cash posisiton. If lots of cash then GUSH pos X 1.5 to equal 3X.
Currently long CURE NAIL COST NVDA KOLD
I was in and out the big 3 for an aggregate slight gain near BE.
OILU doesnt track very good compred to GUSH.
GUSH 2X OILU 3X
Today GUSH up +6.67%
OILU +5.30% ??? This happens alot and is why I dropped OILU.
I add more $ to GUSH pos.
Ive been trading GUSH. I know only 2X but is working for me. I sold for gain on 25th and rebought 30Sep. I sold all my TQQQ SPXL thru a 50%ProfitStop.
50PS made 5-9% each pos. Rebought about half of what I had (of TQQQ/SPXL) EOD Y. Also Bgt COST and NVDA EOD
GOOGL bgt back on 13Sep and still open trade.
MMF check. 1mo/2mo/3mo Total returns @ annual rate.
These are not true MMF funds but I call these ETFs that since they are a good alternative.
GSY the Kingdaddy for longer term cash MMF(week or more)
SGOV is the choice for "sweeping daily" leftover cash.
SGOV after hours liguidity - 1c Bid/ask spread is the choice for sweeping.
ETF 1mo/2mo/3mo
SGOV 5.64%/5.64/5.40
GSY 7.68%/8.22/7.76
3mo chart shown below.
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