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didnt catch the exact bottom but up about 130 pts, Yup that easy,,,, whipsaw ahead?
back to work
still closed 40 points off the overnight low. Wish I had time to trade these next few weeks.
Few years back talked of the 2-3AM swing, here it happens again. Very important with our projections but does give some credit to our late March/Early
April warning which was posted weeks in advance. The next key point will likely be doubly important.
back to work
the last key point was short lived but well within the time parameters. Next one is very key, Might be a third if I have the swings right but maybe more of a nuisance TWT on this
markers still working despite mondays fast peak
so we had a lower hi at the last key date and broke last weeks low. I've mentioned many times news will fit the cycles .
2 more key dates to watch then let er' go. Markers continue to work
So for those that had it, the Easter turned worked great. The key now is will the next key point be a higher hi or a lower hi and the next pivot is also important in how we come out of it. and last weeks lo is also important. Lots of info in the symmetry alone.
Tomorrow it's back to the workshop.
GL
Using real world data works, sure the goal posts are being moved as I type. yawn
PMs another easy trade should soon turn into more of a s/t traders theme until the next major pivot.
Early March talked of a shuttle change coming and it has been on going. But since no comments were made from me answering the last questions, details remain for those that work together.
Rather interesting and foretelling when you watch CD rates, and annuities as they work together. One area I've invested in heavily the past couple months with money I should have no need for several years, likely an inheritance to whomever.
Trading is great but after nearly 55 years I'm slowly backing off and going to more big pic plays again..
I get more reward in working with those that show some effort.
going to miss trading these whipsaws, almost time for me to get back to my equipment
late Feb said whipsawing will continue, oh ya far from done, follow the markers if ya got em'
Dont recall exactly when, but several months ago said many issues would be puzzling and it would become evident by late Jan. Oil up, PMs up, dollar up gn market etc. Something seldom seen
last Oct I said watch for the break.. oh ya baby while everyone was worried and moving goal posts out. shesh
Had a few hours to dig into the underlying issues and intermediate cycles. We now have 2 more POIs that could setup a correction worth being ready for.... If you've been active or are on the insiders list you'll get this info after Easter.
When I hear someone say "Hope" in reference to the markets doing something, the first thing I think, is that person on the wrong side of things or are they missing out? Brings to mind a poem from I think the name is Pope, an essay on man where he talks of hope springs eternal.
We work with real world data and no perma anything. Working with the underlying indicators, timing and price movement is 95% of the battle. Seldom try to force a trade but wait for things to line and go for it.
Ya sometimes I might say I'd like to see or that but it's to confirm a few things. One thing we dont do is hope but have confidence in our work. Hope springs eternal is rather fitting
I'll release some of what I've told my crew in mid Jan......... At that time I felt if late Jan didn't give me a signal and Feb didn't see anything more than chop we'd hold up into April. Doesn't mean going to the moon but overall sideways to up, which so far is working. We are getting some serious divergences, SnP running flat, tech lower highs etc. Energy n copper issues helping the spooz
Late April for a hi worth talking about? I do have some POIs in that area. But Symmetry says earlier. Looking at how March has played out, right now I'd likely give late this week or next Mon. and the March jobs report some serious scrutiny for a point where everyone will get excited again,,,, if we hold up into then.
Have no clue what the underlying issues are saying, haven't looked at them for 2 weeks. I've been busy with other projects and playing these whips pretty hard since early Feb. has distracted me from doing my big pic work.... Now I'm getting called out of the office for about a week to look at some equipment I've wanted..
symmetry is amazing, following the POIs very well for nearly 2 months. But when this goes sideways,,,,,,,,,,,
Ya still looking for 20% down? Curious
oil remains the easy trade since mid Dec. So called cycles experts that keep moving the goal posts had no clue
Basic materials, what can I say? Cycle is getting close.
So again I responded to a question with no response! hm yup
Good luck with your trades.
Not only basic materials are out perfoming,,,,,,,,,, but utilities too, one I didnt share as I felt no one would believe it, nice multi week play oh ya,,,,,,,,,,,
Made a typo so redoing.
20% would take us to 4K. I have a wave count that supports something close but certain things must happen over the next few months for it to occur. I give it low odds at this time but see the possibilities.
I'm not the type to say never but I will always say anything is possible. I was bearish in mid Feb 2020 and the degree of that drop surprised me but that was news driven. Could the same happen again? Sure but when I do wave projections I don't/can't take things like this into consideration. Yet I have always said news will many times fit the cycles. Ya ya there are guys out there calling for black swan events. Always noise for bulls and bears. so,,,,,,,,,,
Right now I'm more bull than bear, bigger picture. But coming into Feb I was expecting chop and it's happening. We have 4 upcoming POIs that should give us final confirmation of our L/T projections. If the projections stay on the track the 1-3 day swings should morf into weekly and soon multi week swings which is perfect for me and my gunslingers.
While I took a more relaxed method of trading in late 2022, I always take a few days to a few weeks depending on the seasons, here and there to stay sharp and keep the ole six gun greased.
interesting how PMs and basic materials finally working together. Might have to scale out, soon.
Ya I didn't say anything about PMs too many chickened out the last time and some didn't follow my warning signal either so why bother.
Per the generals when the current I/T cycle runs out it could be very telling and confirm our bigger pic outlook for the next several months. Those that work together earn together.
Underlying issues doing what they need to do and market action is confirming more of what was seen going into July as thought a week ago.
Will now be sending out the next 3-4 month outlook
Basic materials continues to outperform as suggested a few weeks ago.
Got our next easy money play lining up for those that work together.
GL.
Again, talked about oil and mid Dec. Has for months been the easiest sector trade.
Still working on my l/t deficit project. Hope to have most of it done before spring planting. So be patient. Between s/t trading and doing this it is almost a full time endeavor.
Most have no clue what it takes for fiscal stimulus to cycle through the economy. Add in debit that is used as stimulus and the waters get murky. But I was able to nail the last 3 major peaks to within a couple months well in advance of those highs so I'm working on it again.
Deflation is the problem that follows. Most recent case was 2007 that teased me a while... The 2000 top was an easy one. 68 I had some help with.
who knows, when I get done with this it might mean nothing.
as suggested basic materials continues to scream,
last freebie for a while
gotta love the gunslinger moves this past month. This move could give us confirmation of our counts going into July. Next few weeks should settle it.
whipsaw setups just keep coming, probably will for several weeks as was suggested a few weeks ago. Probably stop laying gunslinger about the time for spring chores. POIs are lined up.
Several months ago I was asked about the national debt and how it would/could effect the markets, if ever. My response then was I had not worked on the idea but felt it would be a cyclical event. Yup sure looks that way.......... Contributors and those that work with me are getting these thoughts as I finalize them...... So again it pays to work together.
I'm sure some will take this the wrong way.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, but since no one wants to talk markets or only get what they can for doing nothing...........................
All processes involved including manufacturing, mining, processing, construction of an EV infrastructure, EV devices, and EV vehicles should derive its energy source solely from solar and wind generation. anything else is hypocritical.
In reality I'm looking to buy an EV SUV later this year. Don't do much distance driving, it would be something I'll probably die with. Every home here including my shop has solar to some extent.
Around the farms I use a horse.
basic materials continue to out perform, probably will for a while, the next dump should be telling.
NG *might* be setting up.
As expected, when we got into Feb things would get whippy and my schedule allowed me to do some gun slinger moves. After the next dip, which should last several days we will soon know if the drop is impulsive or corrective. The gang knows my thoughts as to which it'll be and will know for sure at the next POI.. Regardless I'll soon go back to more easy/slow money trades again and enjoy life while others try to copy work from a few hit and missers..
another nice whipsaw trade. Doubt if few would have believed if I told them what was coming, or will as contributors get the whole scoop, why when what ,,,,,,, ya
they wont believe it if I told em' but,,,,,,,,,,,,.
Find it very revealing, some will ask a question but no follow up or thanks to any response. That behavior has no interest with me and is part of the reason why I use hints and riddles, which a few days ago I made a big one..
But if I just give the trades what have you learned? nothing!!
copper, BASIC MATERIALS POW pays to work together. s/t trading the past few weeks has been great
For those that try to follow hit or miss cycle EXperts, this is a condensed writing from a guy I worked with for several years. He learned like many the hard way until it was realized that hard work pays off.......
.Cycle analysis has taught me that there are no fixed cycles that always come to a trough or crest in an exact, repetitive, and timely fashion. It’s like our own daily cycle in life. I do not always wake up at the same time. Permanent cycles have a specific range in which they peak or bottom out, but their actual length can vary. These cycles can expand, contract, or invert, and some cycles are more susceptible to these changes than other. I have learned that permanent cycles may peak and bottom only at certain times…
So I agree with most of it. The inversion idea I don't. We have been able to find with 80% accuracy where these (inversions) flip. There is a cadence there too.
I'm done harping on this. Again, I'll share some things if interest and contributions are shown. The private group knows the important time periods to be watching 3- 4 months in advance.
Copying what others think will teach you nothing. It's a wasted effort and does nothing to increase your knowledge. Working together however, can be very rewarding.