We’ll see $0.70 this month up to a potential $1.45. The TTM revenue continues to grow, and the 100MM revenue guidance is being supported by lots of growth deals and the future growth rates will support a 10x-20x multiple on TTM revenue numbers which are growing each month.

We should see a nice climb based on renewed interest. More investors coming, more research, more news, more revenue. It’s heating up.

All we need is for traders to believe this is worth 100MM revenue and a 10x growth factor or 1BN market cap. Belief is king in pink sheets. There are so many pumps that show how much belief matters before confirmation of reporting. Reports are great though.

10x 100MM / 404MM is $2.47

We just need people to believe this can grow 100% beyond the 100MM mark. The deal today should support that.

Trip, what I love about the summary is that it focuses on all the business drivers. This is not just about “hey, to the moon for this ticker”, because wow you must love the letters SIRC, but the business drivers which are making this a revenue making company.

Not to mention people are wanting to join their sales team because they see such potential to sell solar, but not just solar- everything a home could want as a big ticker energy item. A recurring item for repairs and maintenance. One number to call to have all your big ticket items addresses as the smart energy home of the future.

What’s amazing is they are setting themselves up as the resource to call for home based EV charging across the country, home based solar, HVAC, roofing, rebuild after storms, and battery storage, and hopefully generators one day to help with any brown out, black outs, power outages etc. this is especially helpful for people in rural areas who get power last.

There are a lot of rural roofers who would love to have assistance generating sales and new business.

RoofCON was up to 2000 attendees the last I saw. That’s a very nice turnout.

September revenue needs to be 12MM or higher to confirm a few statements on recent calls. Dave’s comments about growing 50% a month seems like a misstatement until I see some confirmation. Even 50% per quarter would be nice to have. Also Pablo mentioned not even a full report from USA solar networks and that it should have been higher. Plus all the deals being inked.

Sales would have to be in the 14MM range to have the 20% covered.

October needs to be $14MM-$15MM as they need to hit $50MM per quarter to get to their goals of 200MM run rate before February. There may be small growth during the mid winter months. But I expect growth still.

GLTA

Are you expecting a buy back from the float? Open market shares? If so how many and when?

Yes QB is definitely needed, and we will get there. Patience is hard to come by, but as we will see there will be a trend that follows the trailing 12 months of revenue. That is a slow process. The TTM does not change quickly. A 20MM monthly run rate takes 10 months to add up to 200MM if you start at 0.

Our numbers are still good. 5MM, 4.3MM, 8.3MM and $25MM I believe is where we are today with $25MM quarterly or higher for the coming quarters.

So approximately $43MM TTM growing about $10MM per month and hopefully soon $15MM per month.

We should get a 7x multiple on this TTM or higher with the growth rate of 100% and higher year over year.

That should put us at 0.75 from a value perspective and industry comparison and based on growth rate. We really should be hitting 10x on the TTM based on the high growth. And as TTM keeps growing quickly month after month we likely will hit a 10x number and conservatively keep a 4-5x multiple.

With TTM growing 10MM per month, we will be at $54MM and a 7x multiple on that is $0.93

So about 1 cent per day for 20 trading days from the $0.75 we should be at today.

The trend is already trying to reach our bottom of the fundamentals price. And 25% increases per month can be expected for a few months until we exceed out trend line once we hit $0.70 from 0.57 to 0.75 is close to 50% so as we reach the grove of our trend it should increase based on TTM growth percentage with added growth based on demand if it stays low longer and more investors come.

Thanks Mercutos for pointing out the word I should have used.

To state with a slight clarification….

The best time to apply to Nasdaq is when the fundamentals support the price, not at the time we are in a speculation run in advance that could correct during the review period.

What we want is a sustainable price over $3 for a period of time with more growth and news keeping it firm over $3. QB can help that by giving buying pressure.

Just my thoughts.

The best way to apply to Nasdaq is when the fundamentals support the price, not a speculation run in advance that could correct during the review period. What we want is a sustainable price over $3 for a period of time with more growth and news keeping it firm over $3. QB can help that by giving buying pressure.

Just my thoughts.

Yep. Time to just chill out a bit. Sit back and check in every few days. If you have cash waiting just put the order in and if it fills, great, otherwise just enjoy the show.

Get some popcorn.

This is why speculation is a good thing once the real data comes out and people can analyze it and say OMG look at this company I found at $2…. It’s going to $10 and I’m so smart for finding the audited financials and spotting this before NASDAQ.

And they go tell 50 friends and all of them read the reports and think OMG no one knows about this, only about 1600 people have ever heard of this company. Im glad I’m getting in before it goes to $5 as they buy it at $3.50 and they go tell 20 friends who look at the reports and growing revenue and recent uplist to NASDAQ and they think OMG a penny stock under $5 I bet this could get me 50% returns this year. And they tell 2 friends.

And it keeps growing to $10 and everyone lives happily ever after.

That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

Remember, traders love volatility. Up and Down. The rougher the water the more money is flowing for the same price.

Same question for me. Like, do I dare sell anything on a run hoping to buy a dip? I think the only time I would sell now is just to put some back in cash just in case but without expecting a dip. So I would have to keep enough to be happy if it just keeps running.

For me it depends on how hot it goes and what revenue they are posting. We almost hit 30x forward looking revenue last time. That’s quite a spike and I bet many of us would sell something if it spiked that high as that would be about $12-$15 per share if Sirc buys back any.

Before, I was going to sell at $.80 and all the holders on this board gave me reasonable discussion about holding longer.

This time I was planning to start selling at $1.67 but now that I see the new revenue guidance, I am rethinking my strategy. I know anything can happen. But they could really pull off a series of big items in the next few months that will bring investors and put buying pressure in place.

I dare say many investors who come next will buy and hold for 10 years. And so the float will get locked up.

So if it gets locked at $1 and there are limited shares, the revenue numbers will drive price faster up through $3 and onto NASDAQ where it could keep running to $10 until some of us start selling.

Who knows. It seems this could get to $10 in 1 year.

Thoughts?

I love seeing new people joining the board and bringing their enthusiasm for a $12 price target.

My penny per day estimates were wrong. And hopefully will stay wrong until $3…

$12.00

What I’m amazed at is the $50MM per quarter they believe they could hit in the near future. I mean, that’s some confidence to double revenue in one quarter. From an already large increase quarter over quarter.
4.3MM to 8.3MM to 25MM to 50MM… am I following the quarters correctly here?

Even if they don’t hit 50MM even getting 50MM in sales as a quarterly goal is some serious $$$$.

I remember when they were touting 5MM per quarter and it ran to $3 and they are hoping for 50MM per quarter. That’s 10x the revenue on 2.5x the shares… if we did the same type of hyped run, that would be $12 which is what trip is saying.

Could they really go 26x price to sales again on a 200MM forward looking revenue?

If they did, oh man. I hope I’m not watching that day and come in the next day and see $12 a share. I think I would faint. Seriously faint.

I would believe $35MM because they are in a slower part of the season in some places. And they were hitting 10MM months. But $16MM monthly is a whole other thing.

If they start posting $16MM sales numbers before end of year, this will blow up in a good way.

Such amazing potential. This could see a large spike when word gets to the traders that it is time. The revenue numbers support a future $8 price. So this could spike all the way to $8 before a correction, but I doubt it. I’m thinking a spike to $2 comes first. This is the big unknown. It depends on who gets in, what news is in play, and how things come together. We are at a market cap of $200MM on a company who expects a $50MM sales quarter in the near future. That’s a 1x multiple on forward looking revenue. The industry sees 10x as viable because of growth potential.

Let that sink in. And everyone reading this is there at $0.50 deciding to buy or not.

A 1x price to sales multiple is a good buy for nearly any stock.

It only takes time.

When this hits $4 on Nasdaq it will still be considered a penny stock. People who buy it at $4 and see it grow to $10 will be very pleased with their investment. 50% return per year for multiple years and 20% return per year for another decade…. With spikes and valleys to allow traders to gain even more.

Yes. It. Is. I’ve been thinking of the real forward looking potential even within 5 years. A 10x multiple is valid for a company growing 100% per year. Revenue potential of $400MM is very possible over time. That’s a 4 billion market cap. And a stock price of $10.

I’ve gone in heavy for me. If I had more guts I might have gone 100% in. When this hits Nasdaq and $3 I’ll have more options to buy another $50,000 and I’m damn tempted. That account I just want 10% gains per year. This company will be gaining so much more for the next decade.

They have built the potential to be a $1bn revenue company within 10 years. Anyone buying today and holding for 10 years will tell their kids how they paid for their college tuition and the how they could buy the next big thing. How they were able to buy the house with solar, ev, generator, and handle the big power outages.

For some here who have been accumulating 500,000 shares and more over the last few years, including me, this can be life changing.

This reminds me of the board when we had the buck board and the $5 board. And people came, bought and stayed to join the party.

It’s time to do it again.

The first time I barely reached the buck board. With 180k shares.

My initial investment of $9000 could actually hit $5MM if I hold for 4years. That is staggering to think about. But it is very reasonable to believe,

People investing $10,000 at $0.50 have the potential of 2000% return on investment in 4 years. Or sooner if this spikes hard on Nasdaq.

That is the vision potential I see. With just $400MM yearly revenue. Not even the potential of 1BN revenue.

The 10 year vision of 1BN revenue still supports a $4bn market cap easily. After any correction of high spikes. Which is $10 per share. If they hit $1BN revenue they will likely still grow 10%-20% per year. That’s just mind blowing that we are here to watch this unfold.

If you have not gone in deep yet, maybe you will. And there are 1000’s of investors coming.

I’m guessing $1.27 by October 30. Some think $5 by end of year and trip keeps posting $12.00 which will likely happen, but when?

What is your guess for hitting $12.00?

And are you going to have any shares when it does?

The speed they can grow sales reps is impressive. The products they offer are impressive, and they listen to the customers. What they want, they get options. They are scooping up business because timing is right. They seem to know how to build the pieces. Interesting how FHP works closely with the San Diego companies.

That’s one city. And they are branching out. The potential for grants to expand into the EV space that is taking off.

They are selling like crazy and installing faster. They have a lot of core leaders moving this forward fast.

It’s just winding up. This could actually get crazy growth.

People are home more and uninterruptible power is critical for working from home.

Battery backup, solar and generators potentially. Can you imagine if it was a big name generator company?

With high heat driving up usage, EV cars, work from home, appliances and all the computers….

And power disruption from storms, fires, heat waves, etc.

This is a perfect storm of opportunity.

As this ramps up, I’ll adjust my guesses to match the rate of growth.

$50MM sales per quarter eventually means $200MM per year, and they are growing fast.

They could really hit $400MM per year in 2 years or less. Can you imagine $80MM per quarter?

Potentially $50 million in sales in Q3. That’s over $15MM per month. Sales reps making 6 figures per quarter selling their butts off. Opening new cities in CA and FL growing sales quickly.

50MM per quarter or 15MM per month versus 2MM per month 1 year ago. That means TTM revenue goes up 13MM per month.

That’s a potential stock price increase of $0.16 to 0.32 per month. Sustainable based on revenue.

We’re right about 5x multiple on the TTM now, down a little from that. As historical revenue is posted and we become profitable each quarter, growth numbers are even more able to find the top end of the track.

From $0.52 to 0.68 for end of September is totally acceptable. And sustainable.

This could run at any time, but if it runs hot and comes back in line, just keep charting the valuation trend. Increase it as sales increase each month.

I’m not trading this one, just holding on now for the ride. Expectations of $1.27 by end of year on the low end. Anything could happen on the high end. Valuations are just a guess, but based on educational inputs. Industry valuations and price to sales multiples, and historical research of companies and how price is elevated on fast growth companies.

My numbers are conservative because I do believe demand pressure is coming for the cheap shares. Once we hit $0.75 if it is tomorrow, I expect it to go up and down for a while before more revenue reports come out.

These are just opinions. Yours are just as valid as mine.

getting cash to buy shares close to $0.50 is a smart move for the potential to issue them later for $3 each. 600% return on investment

So we’re at 404MM outstanding now I guess, but they want to pull back 50MM shares as a goal. I hope they get them fairly cheap. And with more people buying, the demand pressure increases. As they prepare for uplist investment will go up more. We might not get to $3 this month… but I like the trend upwards.

Yeah I might be. It might take two weeks or a month. Either way, it will get there.

Speculation is coming in stronger. We don’t need an audit to see the writing on the wall. Cash flow positive is huge for a penny stock company with a $15MM backlog. And if they are profitable in Q2, that is big. I doubt that means positive net income with the investments and buy backs coming. Who knows. The fine details are why audits are nice. But the growth coming supports speculation growth in price before confirmation.

My penny per day is now 3 pennies per day for the next week. $0.10 might come today, or it might crash. Who knows short term. Volatility will be high.

Televet can you clarify this one…
- Sales for Q2 is 25M. “Sales for Q3 could be easily doubled.”
Q2 was June, July, August. They announced sales of 10MM in June, 10.5MM in July and I would not expect $5MM in August. So was that revenue or sales? Was he adding up the wrong months or was this misstated?

I expect 31.5 million in sales and $25MM in revenue for Q2. And if they take sales to $50MM in Q3 I expect September to show $15MM in sales.

I expect that statement is a bit off somewhat, and curious which way.

Whoooosh! Now if it could just stay under $0.50 for them to buy back 50MM shares for $25MM from the bank. But I am betting we hit $0.75 before they can put the trigger on buying back shares. Unless we get some help from people wanting to keep it down.

How fast will it go from .42 to $0.75? I’m thinking about 2 days… or less.

I could be wrong.

Whooshing away in margaritaville

I’m not waiting for audits, I’m waiting for whooosh a big price move on big monthly revenue or sales. If they start hitting 12MM per month…. Watch out.

I’m still pressing the point of trailing 12 months. Because we went from 17.2 in February, and 8MM in Q1 and Q2 is now over and may be in the 30MM range, but likely less because of the sales to revenue delay, we are still less than 50MM on the TTM. But it will be growing at 25-30 million per quarter. And the speed of growth will support a 10x multiple on the trailing 12 months.

That means 40MM TTM revenue could support a price of $1 that would be this quarterly report.
Next quarter it would support $1.67-.$1.75 that’s Q3 at 70MM TTM revenue. And by Q4 they hit the 100MM TTM revenue and price support is $2.50. We’re right in line with my expectations at the 10x multiple.

And by that time they are at $15MM per month. And by this time next year they have some $18MM month to $20MM months. Also confirming the 100% growth year over year. And TTM growth rate. That continues to support a 10X multiple and a 100PE on fast growing earnings.

From a PE perspective.
120MM rev and 10% net income of $12 million is a .03 EPS and a PE of 100 yields a $3 stock price.

100 Million revenue and 10MM net income yields a EPS of .0254 and a stock price of $2.54…

So 100% growth and PE of 100 and multiple of 10x all line up with expectations.
When a company does not post net income because of initial expenses, price to sales and multiple of revenue to market cap are used,

Hmmmmmm. Well, I can say that the video special effects annoyed the hell out of me. But the numbers of 300MM on top of the 100MM in 24 months means 100MM coming, 200MM next, then 400MM in 24 months. And at a 10x multiple because of 100% growth if they hit that, it could be $10 per share, which isn’t far from trip’s $12 price he keeps saying. So just think if it even did half as well and was $5 in 24 months. That means easy $2.50 in 12 months and $1.25 in 6 months.

Doubles are coming. And it could run faster, pull back and run again. If it runs to $5 and you sell 50% and it drops to $2.50 and you buy back what you sold and it runs to $10 that’s more and more potential to just build.

Now buying and selling or selling and buying isn’t easy and is super risky.

Most people will be happy with a 10x run. $0.38 to $3.80 - some will hold for $12. And will get there.

We hit $3 on 167MM shares and $2MM monthly.
We are at 393MM shares and 10.5MM monthly sales.

2.35x shares and 5.25x revenue. With revenue increases and shares static.

We may not hit $6 because market dynamics might not support that for a while. But we could hit $3 easier this time than last time with just monthly revenue increases.

That’s how penny stocks roll.

Yes, about the audit….

This is like someone knowing a goose is laying golden eggs. Someone who owns the goose tells you, but you want it audited. And it costs a lot of money to audit and maybe it is hard to find and auditor of golden eggs or geese that lay them, but you find one and report it is laying a lot of eggs… but no one wants to buy the goose because an auditor has not defined the precise nature of the eggs, and timing of the eggs and how much food it takes.

The owner gives a guess, which implies a great investment. But until an auditor figures it all out you wait.

Why record sales numbers don’t move stocks in the short term. Because people look at the previous 12 months revenue. Sales do not equal revenue. So there is a long time factor involved in valuations being recognized as share price. .

With recent drops and all the FUD, why would the price move on sales when no one believes it. Well, I say no one, and clearly I don’t mean that. I mean there are specific ones that don’t believe and don’t even know how to factor in the impact of a sales number. And I dare say many people don’t even know how to tell what a company should be valued at if there was no hype, no drama, and no emotion.

There are no real shoulds. I say it “should” be XYZ price and what I really mean is that I believe there is justification for a certain price based on return on investment and how it could be possible to have the price appreciate over time so that we get back more than we put in at a good return.

if there were such a thing as a goose that laid a golden egg, and you wanted to sell it and then there were others who had other birds laying golden eggs, how would you decide how much to sell the goose for? It’s not the only bird laying golden eggs. But maybe your goose lays an egg monthly. But it might eat a lot. How would you know the value of the goose. If you knew it laid an egg before and now it is laying eggs faster… if the first time it laid an egg after a week and you wanted to sell it, what would a buyer ask? Well over the last 6 months how many eggs has it laid. And you say well, 6 but it just laid number 7 which is a lot faster, so buy it from me at the weekly rate of laying eggs. As a buyer, would you immediately jump on that?

But let’s say your neighbor was able to talk him into selling it for just a little more, and he started reporting it was laying eggs weekly. How many weeks before people believe?


That’s what we have. We have a goose laying golden eggs. And people don’t want to buy it.

I feel it in my bones. The excitement is building again. People see this skimming bottom, they see some chart signals and waiting for confirmation. Others saying fk it I’m in and jumping on the bandwagon with the intent to buy more if it dips. There are still some short players but they might be just in and out for a quick buck on a down turn in the day. But net zero share change in the market. There may be some sellers,but there are more buyers now, and more coming. I’m telling friends to watch it, and at some point they will research it enough to buy.

I have more friends with hundreds of thousands waiting for the uplist because of the platform they are on and hoping it stays low enough. And if it is under $0.75 at uplisting I still believe more will come to keep driving it upward.

We’re on Pink.
A relatively large company on pink.
A relatively large sales pipeline on pink.
A very fast growing TTM revenue coming.
Potential cash flow positive
Potential for positive net income soon.

Damn, this has so much energy building up behind it.

Those who keep it low know why they are doing it. They are banking $$$ and at some point will just start buying and buying and buying. Potentially millions and millions of $$$$$ worth of buys until they can sell into the momentum, have it cool, and repeat. This next roller coaster will be interesting to watch.

Daily gains of .5% is still a gain. We are not in full run mode yet. However with the low prices sticking around a while and increasing sales, and that gut feeling that it’s building momentum…

It won’t be that long in the grand scheme of things. It could have a false pop before it can sustain a run…

This is that time where people are not sure what to think. Buy or wait.

But at this price and the multiples we could see because of revenue growth, the longer it stays low, the more people will find out, take a risk and buy up these shares. They will make gains on others and they will come back or add to their position here. I was hoping $fdbl would have run up to $0.03 from the friggin bottom to let me sell half of that to buy more here, but it flopped back down.

Some people though are getting lucky in some other stocks and using those gains to come home hahaha and buy up these shares. Some will be trading the volatility and making money and at some point will start accumulating with the rest of everyone else.

Shares will become scarce again.

Then if anything draws a crowd, the move will be a lot more solid. Right now we are wobbling upwards.

But I like it. Small increases daily are nice to see.

Hopefully we’ll be breaking through those resistance spots. But even if not low prices longer just means more lucky investors who find this and start taking a new position. I’m seeing more new positions of people I have not seen before. This is a good sign.

Early birds getting the worm. Taking high risk and will get high rewards.


Just my opinion.
Have a great day.

The turn around picture…

Each month they will be posting sales numbers. There are ticker names out there with 20MM per year and a price multiple of 25x and traders and lay people will start to hear about this company making 12MM per month, 30MM per quarter, 40MM per quarter, 50MM per quarter and if it is under $2 at that time it won’t be after that. I don’t care if it stays low for a few more weeks or even a month. The lower the price with the interest growing as sales are published, the higher the demand curve. This could be another very hot run where all of a sudden the watchers who were quiet, buy their shares and then start telling their followers. And then we are off to the races.

The only question is when not if. They are making way too much in sales and growing too fast for it not to generate attention at some point. I am telling you. People pretend to be ignoring it. But they are watching. And I dare say planning the run. Possibly as a team effort. Picture $25MM in funds being dropped onto this in a matter of hours. And pumping happening because well that’s the name of the game.

There has to be enough history to pump it up. They want it low through October if they can find a way because they know it will be lined up and the revenue will start flowing and they will hit a $30MM quarterly report audited, and they will uplist to QB but they will push this for a run right before uplist. The shares will be sucked up off the street and there will be none to be found until it hits $2 and some will take profits, drive a dip, rebuy and push it for the $4 spot. This will take months to set up.

We’re close. It’s coming.

You all know it who have seen it before. This is a company that can have reasons for fomo and fud both.

Once this turns around. I want to work with you on penny stock picking and implementation of trading strategies. I know it sucks to put more in and have it go down. I also added more in the .50 and .45 range. And .70 and .80 etc. sometimes buying lower and selling on spikes and buying lower, but it kept going lower.

But you have about 900,000 shares now. And that is amazing. Your average is about what, $1.50?

You’re not in trouble yet unless you must sell.

Oh I hope you are correct. I will hold until that date to see if you are.

Ah Rightstuff if only I had a crystal ball to even know if and when my guesses would come true. The speculation is unpredictable. It is like what causes any mob action? Something sparks the fire. Sometimes it is a post by some person that everyone knows, sometimes it is an article that gets picked by news people trust, sometimes it’s sheer belief because of things happening in the world where people just start saying “ah hah!!!”

I’m certainly not telling anyone to try to time the peak. People should have a price in mind or a timeline in mind.

Some buy to only sell in retirement or to give to their heirs.

Some people buy and have a goal of the results like I want to make 50% on my money and they sell, and pick something else they want 50% on.

I have prices where I will take profits on the way up and many people do. Some will ride it to the top and sell on the way down.

But all these tactics do not combine date and time like if it hits $5 on dec 31, 2033 I will sell.

It’s more like, I want $4.25 and I want to sell X shares and then I will sell X shares at $6.25 and if it takes 6 years that is okay.

For me, my historical move was if I overbuy a stock, and it goes up 400% past my average, I sell 25% to take my initial investment out. And sometimes I sell 50% and sometimes I start selling at 200% if I think it may correct.

I have different strategies on different companies because of my belief on where it could go and when and what I think will cause it to get there. If it runs fast before I think it should I might sell 90% even at what I guess is the top.

For instance $fdbl has such a low market cap that I believe it could run 10x when they really get the wind behind them. Heck it could run 100x if the platform is sold to another company.

I’ve already made 15,000 on it from the 400% run it did earlier and when it corrected I bought 1.9million shares. And if it runs to .10 I will be very happy and will take profits along the way.

If it goes out of business, I’ve already taken profits before and I will have broken even.
It will suck if it does not run again as I expect, but I have no idea when. If I had bought more at the recent bottom I would have sold some on the spike this last week.

So it depends. You watch. You strategize. You build a plan and stick with it or update it based on new information. And watch for pitfalls. And don’t invest more than you can afford to lose.