Venture Capital Stock Picks

[PennyStockYoda]

Falling oil prices... blessing or a curse? Something worth looking into.

[PennyStockYoda]

The Size Of The Derivatives Bubble Hanging Over The Global Economy Hits A Record High

The global derivatives bubble is now 20 percent bigger than it was just before the last great financial crisis struck in 2008. It is a financial bubble far larger than anything the world has ever seen, and when it finally bursts it is going to be a complete and utter nightmare for the financial system of the planet. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the total notional value of derivatives contracts around the world has ballooned to an astounding 710 trillion dollars ($710,000,000,000,000).

Other estimates put the grand total well over a quadrillion dollars. If that sounds like a lot of money, that is because it is. For example, U.S. GDP is projected to be in the neighborhood of around 17 trillion dollars for 2014. So 710 trillion dollars is an amount of money that is almost incomprehensible. Instead of actually doing something about the insanely reckless behavior of the big banks, our leaders have allowed the derivatives bubble and these banks to get larger than ever. In fact, as I have written about previously, the big Wall Street banks are collectively 37 percent larger than they were just prior to the last recession. "Too big to fail" is a far more massive problem than it was the last time around, and at some point this derivatives bubble is going to burst and start taking those banks down. When that day arrives, we are going to be facing a crisis that is going to make 2008 look like a Sunday picnic.

If you do not know what a derivative is, Mayra Rodríguez Valladares, a managing principal at MRV Associates, provided a pretty good definition in her recent article for the New York Times...

A derivative, put simply, is a contract between two parties whose value is determined by changes in the value of an underlying asset. Those assets could be bonds, equities, commodities or currencies. The majority of contracts are traded over the counter, where details about pricing, risk measurement and collateral, if any, are not available to the public.

In other words, a derivative does not have any intrinsic value. It is essentially a side bet. Most commonly, derivative contracts have to do with the movement of interest rates. But there are many, many other kinds of derivatives as well. People are betting on just about anything and everything that you can imagine, and Wall Street has been transformed into the largest casino in the history of the planet.

After the last financial crisis, our politicians promised us that they would do something to get derivatives trading under control. But instead, the size of the derivatives bubble has reached a new record high. In the New York Times article I mentioned above, Goldman Sachs and Citibank were singled out as two players that have experienced tremendous growth in this area in recent years...

Goldman Sachs has been increasing its derivatives volumes since the crisis, and it had a portfolio of about $48 trillion at the end of 2013. Bloomberg Businessweek recently reported that as part of its growth strategy, Goldman plans to sell more derivatives to clients. Citibank, too, has been increasing its derivatives portfolio, despite the numerous capital and regulatory challenges, In fact, its portfolio has risen by over 65 percent since the crisis — the most of any of the four banks — to $62 trillion.

According to official government numbers, the top 25 banks in the United States now have a grand total of more than 236 trillion dollars of exposure to derivatives. But there are four banks that dwarf everyone else. The following are the latest numbers for those four banks...

JPMorgan Chase

Total Assets: $1,945,467,000,000 (nearly 2 trillion dollars)

Total Exposure To Derivatives: $70,088,625,000,000 (more than 70 trillion dollars)

Citibank

Total Assets: $1,346,747,000,000 (a bit more than 1.3 trillion dollars)

Total Exposure To Derivatives: $62,247,698,000,000 (more than 62 trillion dollars)

Bank Of America

Total Assets: $1,433,716,000,000 (a bit more than 1.4 trillion dollars)

Total Exposure To Derivatives: $38,850,900,000,000 (more than 38 trillion dollars)

Goldman Sachs

Total Assets: $105,616,000,000 (just a shade over 105 billion dollars – yes, you read that correctly)

Total Exposure To Derivatives: $48,611,684,000,000 (more than 48 trillion dollars)

If the stock market keeps going up, interest rates stay fairly stable and the global economy does not experience a major downturn, this bubble will probably not burst for a while.

But if there is a major shock to the system, we could easily experience a major derivatives crisis very rapidly and several of those banks could fail simultaneously.

There are many out there that would welcome the collapse of the big banks, but that would also be very bad news for the rest of us.

You see, the truth is that the U.S. economy is like a very sick patient with an extremely advanced case of cancer. You can try to kill the cancer (the banks), but in the process you will inevitably kill the patient as well.

Right now, the five largest banks account for 42 percent of all loans in the entire country, and the six largest banks control 67 percent of all banking assets.

If they go down, we go down too.

That is why the fact that they have been so reckless is so infuriating.

Just look at the numbers for Goldman Sachs again. At this point, the total exposure that Goldman Sachs has to derivatives contracts is more than 460 times greater than their total assets.

And this kind of thing is not just happening in the United States. German banking giant Deutsche Bank has more than 75 trillion dollars of exposure to derivatives. That is even more than any single U.S. bank has.

This derivatives bubble is a "sword of Damocles" that is hanging over the global economy by a thread day after day, month after month, year after year.

At some point that thread is going to break, the bubble is going to burst, and then all hell is going to break loose.

You see, the truth is that virtually none of the underlying problems that caused the last financial crisis have been fixed.

Instead, our problems have just gotten even bigger and the financial bubbles have gotten even larger.

Never before in the history of the United States have we been faced with the threat of such a great financial catastrophe.

Sadly, most Americans are totally oblivious to all of this. They just have faith that our leaders know what they are doing, and they have been lulled into complacency by the bubble of false stability that we have been enjoying for the last couple of years.

Unfortunately for them, this bubble of false stability is not going to last much longer.

A financial crisis far greater than what we experienced in 2008 is coming, and it is going to shock the world.

[PennyStockYoda]

#ORFG hearing news this week. We could see a massive reversal happen
very soon.

[PennyStockYoda]

If Economic Cycle Theorists Are Correct, 2015 To 2020 Will Be Pure Hell For The United States

Does the economy move in predictable waves, cycles or patterns? There are many economists that believe that it does, and if their projections are correct, the rest of this decade is going to be pure hell for the United States. Many mainstream economists want nothing to do with economic cycle theorists, but it should be noted that economic cycle theories have enabled some analysts to correctly predict the timing of recessions, stock market peaks and stock market crashes over the past couple of decades. Of course none of the theories discussed below is perfect, but it is very interesting to note that all of them seem to indicate that the U.S. economy is about to enter a major downturn. So will the period of 2015 to 2020 turn out to be pure hell for the United States? We will just have to wait and see.

One of the most prominent economic cycle theories is known as "the Kondratieff wave". It was developed by a Russian economist named Nikolai Kondratiev, and as Wikipedia has noted, his economic theories got him into so much trouble with the Russian government that he was eventually executed because of them...

The Soviet economist Nikolai Kondratiev (also written Kondratieff) was the first to bring these observations to international attention in his book The Major Economic Cycles (1925) alongside other works written in the same decade. Two Dutch economists, Jacob van Gelderen and Samuel de Wolff, had previously argued for the existence of 50 to 60 year cycles in 1913. However, the work of de Wolff and van Gelderen has only recently been translated from Dutch to reach a wider audience.

Kondratiev's ideas were not supported by the Soviet government. Subsequently he was sent to the gulag and was executed in 1938.

In 1939, Joseph Schumpeter suggested naming the cycles "Kondratieff waves" in his honor.

In recent years, there has been a resurgence of interest in the Kondratieff wave. The following is an excerpt from an article by Christopher Quigley that discussed how this theory works...

Kondratiev's analysis described how international capitalism had gone through many such "great depressions" and as such were a normal part of the international mercantile credit system. The long term business cycles that he identified through meticulous research are now called "Kondratieff" cycles or "K" waves.

The K wave is a 60 year cycle (+/- a year or so) with internal phases that are sometimes characterized as seasons: spring, summer, autumn and winter:

Spring phase: a new factor of production, good economic times, rising inflation
Summer: hubristic 'peak' war followed by societal doubts and double digit inflation
Autumn: the financial fix of inflation leads to a credit boom which creates a false plateau of prosperity that ends in a speculative bubble
Winter: excess capacity worked off by massive debt repudiation, commodity deflation & economic depression. A 'trough' war breaks psychology of doom.
Increasingly economic academia has come to realize the brilliant insight of Nikolai Kondratiev and accordingly there have been many reports, articles, theses and books written on the subject of this "cyclical" phenomenon. An influential essay, written by Professor W. Thompson of Indiana University, has indicated that K waves have influenced world technological development since the 900's. His thesis states that "modern" economic development commenced in 930AD in the Sung province of China and he propounds that since this date there have been 18 K waves lasting on average 60 years.

So what does the Kondratieff wave theory suggest is coming next for us?

Well, according to work done by Professor W. Thompson of Indiana University, we are heading into an economic depression that should last until about the year 2020...

Based on Professor Thompson's analysis long K cycles have nearly a thousand years of supporting evidence. If we accept the fact that most winters in K cycles last 20 years (as outlined in the chart above) this would indicate that we are about halfway through the Kondratieff winter that commenced in the year 2000. Thus in all probability we will be moving from a "recession" to a "depression" phase in the cycle about the year 2013 and it should last until approximately 2017-2020.

But of course the Kondratieff wave is far from the only economic cycle theory that indicates that we are heading for an economic depression.

The economic cycle theories of author Harry Dent also predict that we are on the verge of massive economic problems. He mainly focuses on demographics, and the fact that our population is rapidly getting older is a major issue for him. The following is an excerpt from a Business Insider article that summarizes the major points that Dent makes in his new book...

Young people cause inflation because they "cost everything and produce nothing." But young people eventually "begin to pay off when they enter the workforce and become productive new workers (supply) and higher-spending consumers (demand)."
Unfortunately, the U.S. reached its demographic "peak spending" from 2003-2007 and is headed for the "demographic cliff." Germany, England, Switzerland are all headed there too. Then China will be the first emerging market to fall off the cliff, albeit in a few decades. The world is getting older.
The U.S. stock market will crash. "Our best long-term and intermediate cycles suggest another slowdown and stock crash accelerating between very early 2014 and early 2015, and possibly lasting well into 2015 or even 2016. The worst economic trends due to demographics will hit between 2014 and 2019. The U.S. economy is likely to suffer a minor or major crash by early 2015 and another between late 2017 and late 2019 or early 2020 at the latest."
"The everyday consumer never came out of the last recession." The rich are the ones feeling great and spending money, as asset prices (not wages) are aided by monetary stimulus.
The U.S. and Europe are headed in the same direction as Japan, a country still in a "coma economy precisely because it never let its debt bubble deleverage," Dent argues. "The only way we will not follow in Japan's footsteps is if the Federal Reserve stops printing new money."
"The reality is stark, when dyers start to outweigh buyers, the market changes." It all comes down to an aging population, Dent writes. "Fewer spenders, borrowers, and investors will be around to participate in the next boom."
The U.S. has a crazy amount of debt and "economists and politicians have acted like we can just wave a magic wand of endless monetary injections and bailouts and get over what they see as a short-term crisis." But the problem, Dent says, is long-term and structural — demographics.
Businesses can "dominate the years to come" by focusing on cash and cash flow, being "lean and mean," deferring major capital expenditures, selling nonstrategic real estate, and firing weak employees now.
The big four challenges in the years ahead will be 1) private and public debt 2) health care and retirement entitlements 3) authoritarian governance around the globe and 4) environmental pollution that threatens the global economy.
According to Dent, "You need to prepare for that crisis, which will occur between 2014 and 2023, with the worst likely starting in 2014 and continuing off and on into late 2019."

So just like the Kondratieff wave, Dent's work indicates that we are going to experience a major economic crisis by the end of this decade.

Another economic cycle theory that people are paying more attention to these days is the relationship between sun spot cycles and the stock market. It turns out that market peaks often line up very closely with peaks in sun spot activity. This is a theory that was first popularized by an English economist named William Stanley Jevons.

Sun spot activity appears to have peaked in early 2014 and is projected to decline for the rest of the decade. If historical trends hold up, that is a very troubling sign for the stock market.

And of course there are many, many other economic cycle theories that seem to indicate that trouble is ahead for the United States as well. The following is a summary of some of them from an article by GE Christenson and Taki Tsaklanos...

Charles Nenner Research (source)
Stocks should peak in mid-2013 and fall until about 2020. Similarly, bonds should peak in the summer of 2013 and fall thereafter for 20 years. He bases his conclusions entirely on cycle research. He expects the Dow to fall to around 5,000 by 2018 – 2020.

Kress Cycles (Clif Droke) (source)
The major 120 year cycle plus all minor cycles trend down into late 2014. The stock market should decline hard into late 2014.

Elliott Wave (Robert Prechter) (source)
He believes that the stock market has peaked and has entered a generational bear-market. He anticipates a crash low in the market around 2016 – 2017.

Market Energy Waves (source)
He sees a 36 year cycle in stock markets that is peaking in mid-2013 and will cycle down for 2013 – 2016. “… the controlling energy wave is scheduled to flip back to negative on July 19 of this year.” Equity markets should drop 25 – 50%.

Armstrong Economics (source)
His economic confidence model projects a peak in confidence in August 2013, a bottom in September 2014, and another peak in October 2015. The decline into January 2020 should be severe. He expects a world-wide crash and contraction in economies from 2015 – 2020.

Cycles per Charles Hugh Smith (source)
He discusses four long-term cycles that bottom in the 2010 – 2020 period. They are: Credit expansion/contraction cycle, Price inflation/wage cycle, Generational cycle, and Peak oil extraction cycle.

So does history repeat itself?

Well, it should be disconcerting to a lot of people that 2014 is turning out to be eerily similar to 2007. But we never learned the lessons that we should have learned from the last major economic crisis, and most Americans are way too apathetic to notice that we are making many of the very same mistakes all over again.

And in recent months there have been a whole host of indications that the next major economic downturn is just around the corner. For example, just this week we learned that manufacturing job openings have declined for four months in a row. For many more indicators like this, please see my previous article entitled "17 Facts To Show To Anyone That Believes That The U.S. Economy Is Just Fine".

Let's hope that all of the economic cycle theories discussed above are wrong this time, but we would be quite foolish to ignore their warnings.

Everything indicates that a great economic storm is rapidly approaching, and we should use this time of relative calm to get prepared while we still can.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG should begin a nice climb by the end of this week IMO

Looking for an increase in volume as well as possible update from
the company.

[PennyStockYoda]

$MDRM is a strong buy for us. We believe in the next few weeks $MDRM
is going to see massive attention.

[PennyStockYoda]

Congrats to VCSP email subscribers who got the latest ORFG bottom.

We're about to get a massive bounce.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG NEWS OUT!

Bakken Energy Corp, Subsidiary Nations Oil and Gas Signs Letter of Intent to Acquire Green River Refinery in Utah

LAS VEGAS, May, 15 2014 /PRNewswire/ - Bakken Energy Corp formerly Orofino Gold Corp. (OTC: ORFG) is pleased to announce that its wholly owned subsidiary has signed a letter Intent with Green River Refinery LLC to acquire its Green River Oil Refinery in Southern Utah. The company has 30 days from the signing of this LOI to complete the acquisition of the Refinery.

Nations Oil and Gas has developed a plan to restart the refinery and process local crude oils and other available feed stocks. The refinery was completed to produce a wide range of products including: Light Naphtha consisting of a mix of butanes, pentanes and hexanes, a heavy Naphtha, a Diesel product, Vacuum Gas Oil and Vacuum Resid.

The Green River Oil Refinery was valued at over $16,500,000 in 2006 and the company believes its true value is closer to $70,000,000 once it is up and running. Once the acquisition is completed Nations plans on doing a current evaluation of the Refinery and Revenue projection.

The company is also awaiting approval of the 10% stock dividend to all its common shareholders as of April 15, 2014 from Finra. Once dividend is approved Island Stock Transfer Agent will have all of the information necessary from the DTC to process the dividend to its shareholders. At that time each shareholder will be able to contact the Transfer Agent to receive their dividend. The company will advise as soon as they have further information available from Finra. It expects to have it completed within the next 30 days. The company is also completing a few documents necessary for Finra to finish the name and symbol change of the company and expects it to be completed shortly.

Forward-Looking Statements: These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Actual results could vary materially from the description contained herein due to many risk factors that affect the industry the Company operates in and other risk factors listed from time to time in the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings under "risk factors" and elsewhere. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date on which they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release.

SOURCE Bakken Energy Corp


Copyright 2014 PR Newswire

[PennyStockYoda]

Another beautiful bottom call on $ORFG by Venture Capital Stock
Picks. Those of us who scooped up shares last week are now up 30%
to 50%!!!!

I believe we will see another day or two of gains on ORFG as news
and catalysts are expected.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG bottom is in. I suspect tomorrow to be an accumulation day
in anticipation for next week's news.

[PennyStockYoda]

Follow us on Twitter!

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[PennyStockYoda]

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to keep up with the times, or get left behind! Therefore, we would
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We will be releasing our picks and alerts via email as well as
Facebook. Stay tuned!

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[PennyStockYoda]

Early Bird Email Alert Sign-Ups

The way we alert is usually through the easiest medium for
communication. 99.9% of the time it is through Skype, then Twitter,
then IHUB, and somewhere in there we will get an email alert out.

VCSP does not front load, accept compensation for alerts, and we
are not a momo trading group. Our plays have medium to long term
longevity.

Click Here to Sign-Up

[PennyStockYoda]

Skype Room Information

Just add CaptainAmerica0321 and let me know you want added to our
Skype room.

[PennyStockYoda]

The MJ Sector...

The SEC and FINRA are not playing around anymore. They halted $PHOT
due to third party promotional activities - they only suspected it
was going to happen.

Halted securities are a very scary thought so now people are thinking
twice before they play the "next hot weed play". VCSP suspected it
was only a matter of time before it happened, therefore we will be
very cautious about alerting any MJ play that we haven't done a full
DD package on.

[PennyStockYoda]

$URHN Update - To be honest, we have no idea what is going on
with this one. When the awareness goes out, volume goes up and the
price goes down.

Only one thing it really could be and that is dilution. However, if
you are a glass half full kind of person, what we could be seeing is
open market share exchange among various awareness groups. They want
the cheapest shares available and it's easy to manipulate these types
of plays.

Either way, we believe this one should be treated like a red headed
step child. Put it to work for you and get what you can out of it.

There have been very many small windows for flipping $URHN.

[PennyStockYoda]

$MDRM Update - We're still waiting on filings on this one.
Once they hit, we think the company is going to start releasing
game changing news about their business and how they plan to become
an industry leader in the MJ world.

VCSP members got the $MDRM alert at .04/.05 and it has hit .19. Not
bad gains so far, but we are expecting much, much more from $MDRM.

[PennyStockYoda]

$OTOW and $ARSP Updates have been our lotto picks for the past couple of
weeks. They have under performed - obviously. However, we still feel
strongly about both.

$OTOW just got OTC Pink Current and should be dropping major news
any day now. This one could go to multiple dollars. The float and OS
are extremely low.

$ARSP we're just accumulating here at the bottom. We feel the company
is very close to releasing major news. They just went through a
ticker change so things are moving at snail pace.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG Update - this has to be the week ladies and gentlemen. We've been
waiting for weeks now. The day after the VCSP alert went out, the
stock dipped to its new low of .021, so congrats on scooping up the
bottom.

I hope we gave everyone enough time to get some shares before the
dividend.

We believe $ORFG is going to do between .20 and .40 once it really
starts going. Look for 30+ million share volume days. Total dollar
volume per day could be millions!

[NORTH LAND]

OTOW pink current and much News coming also! Big!!

[PennyStockYoda]

Expecting $ARSP news any day. Should see massive gains out of this
one soon IMO

[PennyStockYoda]

$OTOW is now Pink Current.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG news out. Going to be huge for VCSP early birds who scooped
up .02s!

[NORTH LAND]

OTOW $15k bid now current Hedgefunds coming in

[NORTH LAND]

Your right Secco 0T0W going to Dollars!!

[PennyStockYoda]

$FWDG Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$UTRM Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$SWRF Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$EWRL Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$OTOW and $ARSP with the honorable mention here. Looking for both
to make moves after the holidays.

[PennyStockYoda]

Market Crash in 2014? This is a great video on what is going on and
would could happen.

[PennyStockYoda]

$MDRM filings are late - per the usual. Look for them next week with
a nice move north on the following news releases.

[PennyStockYoda]

$URHN should have another round left in her come next week. Look for
some nice movement.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG expect more awareness and price appreciation in the next 1-2
weeks. It's been a long time coming IMO.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG Chart

Looks like a higher high and a higher low set today, even though it
was red.

[PennyStockYoda]

To all my friends out there...

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG on high alert for 4/14 through the end of the month!

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG still waiting on that valuation PR. Will continue to add at
these levels. Keeps bouncing off the 50MA. Support is strong.

[PennyStockYoda]

Looks like $URHN is almost ready to make that move we've been
expecting. Had plenty of time to load up under .01 IMO.

[PennyStockYoda]

$URHN should see some movement soon. Back office issues caused a
delay in the awareness.

[PennyStockYoda]

$OODH awareness going to kick off soon IMO Company is now
Pink Current. http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/OODH/quote

[PennyStockYoda]

$ARSP came to life a bit yesterday, should see a significant move
going forward into next week. Watch for news/filings to drop.

[PennyStockYoda]

$OTOW still on watch. Appears the company has to upload the most
recent financials to meet OTC Markets requirements for Pink Current.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG run should kick off today. I think we get that valuation PR
either today or early next week. Run should start today.

[PennyStockYoda]

$ARSP on major news and move watch. Could happen anytime IMO

[PennyStockYoda]

$OODH Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$MDRM Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG Chart

[PennyStockYoda]

$ORFG get ready for a massive movement in the next 1-2 weeks IMO.

We're just getting started here.

[PennyStockYoda]

#0rfgwillblowyourmind GUYS, IF YOU MISSED SOME OF MY PAST CALLS THAT WENT 100-30000%+.. IM NOT TALKING IN CAPS BECAUSE IM A PUMPER - IM trying to spread the wealth and help everyone make big $$$$

Those that have met me over the years know I have a consistent track record of HUGE movers over and over again... $ORFG will be another! Make sure you do your DD quickly - A blue sky breakout is imminent! Recent acquisitions of oil and gas leases in the most productive acreage in the Unita basin. I expect we see the next move higher as it's valuation is released to send the share price breaking past .09 and to new highs in short term (0.20 to 0.40).
Full disclosure : I am not trying to sell you anything, but a better everything. I am a proud owner of $ORFG and will be buying more tomorrow. My opinion may have a rooting bias (now how's that for disclosure!?) This is not a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, or peanuts :D I'm simply sharing my opinion because I hope it at least helps 1 person who gets the chance to read this.... THIS WILL BLOW YOUR MIND

http://bit.ly/1msEk9N

<< FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A LONG TIME THERE IS ACTUALLY SOME SERIOUS DD, YOU SHOULD CHECK IHUB BOARD >>

- FINRA Name, Cusip and Symbol Change approval expected in the very near future.
- Acquisition of Nations Oil and Gas confirmed completed by PR with valuation expected in near term
- Michael Naumu is the domain owner for http://www.nationsoilandgas.com/
- Michael Naumu is a very wealthy business man associted with the BIA. See DD from drivenbypain below
- Nations Oil and Gas, a wholly owned subsidiary of Bakken Energy made an offer to acquire Alberta Gas Co of Utah
- Nations Oil and Gas has lease holdings in Uinta Basin, Central Utah and surrounding locations throughout the State of Utah with its most valuable acreage in the Uinta Basin.
- The Uinta Basin properties are surrounded by producing oil and gas wells and current operators like Newfield and Crescent Point, and other companies.
- The Company will be receiving detailed data on a 25,000 acres parcel, after a thorough review , it will seek plans to negotiate or joint-venture with a field Operations Company.