TRADING 04 FUTURES

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BITCOIN

[MossyOak]

Thats a cool information chart, have not seen that before

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ALL STOCKS SORTED BY CCI 10

Symbol	Close	CCI(10) 
 XLU	54.065	108.547 
 AAPL	160.62	91.482 
 EXEL	27.41	74.558 
 XLK	57.875	57.627 
 CHGG	14.99	53.333 
 XLI	68.76	49.32 
 $INDU	22037	38.803 
 BAC	24.71	27.574 
 GTLS	34.48	8.801 
 MU	28.81	-3.911 
 XLF	25.223	-6.573 
 QQQ	144.12	-25.752 
 AMAT	44.01	-28.747 
 XLP	55.284	-32.949 
 WRD	12.46	-35.246 
 TQQQ	111.778	-37.17 
 UCTT	22.222	-41.354 
 SPY	247.12	-88.108 
 MNKD	1.16	-93.73 
 APRN	5.92	-93.972 
 XLE	64.96	-95.377 
 $RUT	1401	-113.285 
 SPXL	36.23	-116.638 
 $SPX	2472.54	-120.973 
 TNA	54.212	-122.308 
 IJR	69.62	-125.488 
 GOOG	925.074	-127.591 
 XLRE	32.46	-147.657 
 XLV	79.37	-148.756 
 XLY	90.77	-195.251 
 

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SCAN 2 SELLS

Symbol	Close	CCI 10 
 XLF	25.355	87.783 
 CHGG	15.125	72.809 
 

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PERCENT GAINS

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8/1 OVER SOLD = 8/2 POSSIBLE BUYS ??

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OVER SOLD TODAY 7/31
MAYBE BUYS 8/1 ?

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ABOVE 200 EMA EVERY THING STILL BULLISH

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ART HILL SAYS 240 = BEARISH 7/28/17

Last correction was NOV 2016

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SPY CCI 10

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over bought cci 14
wed =54
thur =48
fri = 22
--------------------------------------
over sold cci 14
wed =1
thur =4
fri = 6

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LARGE HEALTH CARE PROVIDERS

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50 EMA ABOVE 200 EMA
NOTE MU TQQQ

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50 EMA BELOW 200 EMA
These require a stop loss LLC lower low close.
Notice MNKD is a real dog.

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0002 FAB FIVE CCI 10 ON ONE CHART

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0059 TQQQ TNA MU MNKD ARNA CCI 10 ON ONE CHART

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OVER BOUGHT CCI 10 TQQQ TNA

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TQQQ

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TNA

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TQQQ

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TNA

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TQQQ

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STOCKS MAY BE OVERDUE FOR A 5% PULLBACK ... The ziz-zag lines in Chart 2 mark pullbacks of 5% or more in the S&P 500 since the bull market started in spring 2009. Pullbacks of at least 5% occurred in each of those years (using closing prices). Except for the past year. That's the period in the gray circle at the upper right of the chart. If you compare the length of that last upleg to prior years, you'll see that it's length seems unusual. And it is.

I haven't confirmed it, but I read somewhere that this may be only the third time since the 1960s that the SPX has gone more than a year without a 5% pullback.


The up arrow at the start of 2016 marked the end of a 15% correction that started the previous spring. The second arrow marks the end of a 5% pullback following the Brexit vote that June. It's been an uninterrupted rise since then. All of which suggests that the SPX is due for a 5% pullback. If one is going to occur, the seasonal bars in Chart 1 suggest the most likely period would be during the August/September period. BY JOHN MURPHY

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stocks

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Using an EMA Ribbon to Define the Trend BY ART HILL

There are numerous ways to determine the trend with the humble moving average providing the simplest means. The length of the moving average depends on the trend you wish to capture. The chart below shows Mastercard (MA) with four EMAs that become progressively longer (20, 40, 80 and 160 days). This moving average ribbon provides a great example of a strong uptrend from August 2016 until now. Notice that the shorter EMA has been above the next longer EMA since August (20-day above 40-day, 40-day above 80-day etc...).

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5/25 ART HILL

Test 3 buys when the 5-day EMA crosses above the 50-day EMA

and sells when the 50-day EMA crosses below the 200-day EMA.

This wider sell signal improved the returns and Win% significantly, but this system had the fewest trades of all (341 or 1.4 per month).

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Backtest Results for Seasonality Plus Timing

The table below shows the results for seasonality and timing. The golden cross with seasonality worked a little better than the golden cross without seasonality (first table). Seasonality combined with the 125-day EMA cross returned almost 10% per year over the last twenty years. There were two big drawdowns during this period (-23.08% in 2002 and -18.76% in 2008). The five largest drawdowns averaged 16.3%, which is not too bad for a 9.8% Compound Annual Return and a 14.16% Risk-adjusted Return.


Conclusions

There is clearly something to be said for the worst four-month period, which includes the dog days of summer and September. The S&P 500 SPDR is up some 15% from its November low and still in bull mode with the worst four month period right around the corner. Even so, the trend is clearly up and the trend holds more sway than seasonality. Chartist can watch two things as June nears. First, a break below the April low (support) would be negative. Second, a close below the 125-day EMA during June would suggest that a correction is underway and the fish are biting. In other words, that might be the signal that it is a good time to go fishing!

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A Year of Frustration for IJR

The next chart shows the S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) with the Bollinger Bands and BandWidth. Notice that I chose 4 as the level for low BandWidth and the indicator has been hovering around this level the entire year. This reflects the fact that IJR has gone nowhere in 2017. It looked like a breakout was underway in mid February when the ETF closed above the upper band and broke channel resistance, but this failed to hold as IJR fell back to the 67 area. Another channel is taking shape with resistance marked around 69.

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ETFS ESI 5 buys today 8 out of 9

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PPO(50,200,1) SECTORS
All sectors in long term bull mode.

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SECTORS % FROM TOP 1 YEAR
This is why ART HILL says we are in corrective mode.

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For this coming week 4/17/17 to 4/21/17

BY ART HILL

And finally, RSI(10) is nearing oversold and this usually means I should be on alert for a bounce or bullish reversal.

Instead of an alert, I am calling an audible here and ignoring short-term oversold conditions because I think the market is currently correcting and that correction has yet to end.

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DJIA FUTURES

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SP500 FUTURES

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Nasdaq 100 futures

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Only 22% of the SP 1500 have 50 ema below 200 ema .
That is a bull market. IMHO

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all