Searching for Moderation

[flipper44]

I am not suggesting the minerals have anything to do with biotech supply chains, but I am guessing many deals (in related and unrelated industries) follow from other interested countries and companies after the U.S. restores its mineral supply chain advantage by signing an agreement.

I am also not saying this is how I would run the world, I’m just trying to observe what’s been going on. I personally hate war, and hate the way Biden and Trump trickled help to Ukraine after Russia invaded.

If you look at the mineral wealth the U.S. will gain, and the land and a little less mineral wealth Russia will gain, you’ll feel additionally sorry for unsuspecting and victimized Ukraine. But again, hopefully some future good will come from all this, aside from the horrific death/injury and ptsd toll on millions of Ukrainians (and Russians forced into Putin’s meat grinder).

Ukraine will build back better, but it can’t replace the souls lost and emotional costs inflicted.

[flipper44]

Note: NWBO has two relative (seemingly insignificant) ties to this timing. Make of it what you will, but the timing between upcoming Ukraine resolution angreement (mineral and possibly peace) and upcoming UK/US trade agreement (emphasis on biotech) signing is quite uncanny.

1. Cofer Black — NWBO Board of Directors and Burisma (Ukraine energy company) Board of Directors.

2. Donald Trump — Long term friend/business acquaintance of Management/Board Member Les Goldman.

[flipper44]

Note:

[flipper44]

If the last post is correct, if you’ve been following along in prior posts and news articles, part of the expected UK/USA trade deal contemplates future growth industry technologies like…. “biotech.”

Example:

“Downing Street is aiming not for a traditional trade deal, but one focused on growth industries of the future, such as biotech and artificial intelligence.” — Independent, April 27, 2025, 4:45 pm EST

[flipper44]

I do think US/Ukraine mineral deal (and perhaps, but not necessarily, Ukraine/Russia peace deal) logically precedes US/UK trade agreement.

Supply chains.

[flipper44]

Why US/Ukraine (Indirectly Russia) mineral agreement is a seismic global shift. It’s worth reading AI Gemeni here. (Still: I ultimately think this was a long thought out and cynically planned squeeze play against Ukraine over the course of two seemingly otherwise antagonistic U.S. (mineral seeking) Administrations (Trump/Biden) and one Russian (land/prestige and lesser mineral seeking) President Putin.) Aside from the horrific meat grinder and incalculable human/family suffering, maybe some long term good will come from it.

“The potential mineral deal between the U.S. and Ukraine is a significant matter with considerable geopolitical and economic implications. Here's a breakdown of why it's a big deal:  

For the United States:

Securing Critical Mineral Supply Chains: Ukraine possesses substantial reserves of critical minerals essential for various high-tech industries, including electric vehicles, renewable energy, and defense. These include lithium, graphite, titanium, and rare earth elements. Access to these resources would help the U.S. diversify its supply chains and reduce reliance on other countries, particularly China, which currently dominates the production and processing of many critical minerals.  

Economic Benefits: The deal could pave the way for significant U.S. investment in Ukraine's mining sector, leading to potential profits and the creation of new economic opportunities.  

Geopolitical Influence: Securing access to Ukraine's mineral wealth could enhance the U.S.'s geopolitical leverage in Eastern Europe and globally, especially in the context of competition with other major powers for these strategic resources.

Defense Industry: Many of Ukraine's minerals, such as rare earth elements and titanium, are crucial for the U.S. defense industry in the production of advanced military technologies.
For Ukraine:

Economic Reconstruction and Development: The deal is framed as a potential driver for Ukraine's post-war reconstruction and economic recovery. It could attract foreign investment, modernize infrastructure, create jobs, and generate revenue through the development of its mineral resources.  

Long-Term Partnership with the U.S.: The agreement could solidify a long-term economic partnership with the United States, providing Ukraine with crucial support and stability.

Security Guarantees (Potentially): While not explicitly stated in all reports, some discussions around the mineral deal have involved the possibility of U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine in exchange for access to its resources.

Technological Advancement: The deal could bring much-needed technologies and expertise to Ukraine's mining sector.

Key Aspects of the Potential Deal:

Memorandum of Intent: A memorandum of intent has been signed between the U.S. and Ukraine, signifying a step towards a fuller agreement.  

Reconstruction Investment Fund: The deal envisions establishing a joint reconstruction investment fund, potentially financed by future revenues from Ukraine's mineral and natural resource extraction.  

Ownership and Revenue Sharing: Earlier discussions suggested potential terms involving U.S. companies holding significant ownership stakes and a portion of the revenue going to the U.S. as compensation for aid. However, more recent reports indicate a shift away from framing the deal as a direct repayment for past military aid.  

EU Considerations: The agreement is expected to respect Ukraine's efforts to integrate with the European Union and its obligations to international financial institutions.  

Timeline: Negotiations are ongoing, with hopes of finalizing the agreement in the near future.  
Challenges and Considerations:

Ongoing Conflict: The current war with Russia poses significant risks to investment and mining operations, as some of Ukraine's most resource-rich areas are under Russian control.  
Commercial Viability: The commercial viability of extracting some of Ukraine's mineral deposits still needs thorough assessment.
Infrastructure Damage: The war has severely damaged Ukraine's infrastructure, which is crucial for mining operations.  

Investment Climate: Mining is a long-term, capital-intensive industry, and companies will need confidence in Ukraine's long-term political and economic stability.  

Domestic Opposition: There has been some resistance within Ukraine regarding the terms of the deal, with concerns about protecting national interests and sovereignty.

In conclusion, a mineral deal between the U.S. and Ukraine has the potential to be a significant development with far-reaching consequences. It could reshape critical mineral supply chains, offer substantial economic benefits to both nations, and influence the geopolitical landscape. However, the success and impact of the deal will depend on navigating the challenges posed by the ongoing conflict and ensuring mutually beneficial terms.”

[flipper44]

Looks like the U.S./Ukraine mineral deal is going to be signed Thursday. If Trump does nothing else, this will be his one true win/win. I think allowing European protection for Ukraine was the key. IMO. We’ll know more about the terms soon.
https://news.novyny.live/en/zelenskii-poiasniv-na-iakomu-etapi-ugoda-zi-ssha-pro-nadra-249050.html

Cynically, I would not be surprised if the US/Russia squeeze on Ukraine, resulting in a deal, did not also put trilateral peace talks back on track. Seems like Ukraine was set up and ultimately had little choice. Explains why Biden and Trump slow to arm Ukraine.

[flipper44]

Significant progress? Hmm… looks like us/ukraine mineral deal outline gets signed at the end of next week, or shortly thereafter, and it allows Ukraine to pursue admission into the European Union.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-publishes-text-of-memorandum-on-future-minerals-agreement-with-us/

Ukraine-US minerals deal to respect EU entry efforts; talks to conclude on April 26, memorandum says

by Tim Zadorozhnyy
April 18, 2025 11:17 AM
2 min read

The Ukrainian government on April 18 published the text of a recently signed memorandum outlining a pending minerals agreement with the United States.

The memorandum says that the future deal lays the foundation for establishing a joint reconstruction investment fund as part of an economic partnership between the two governments.

According to the document, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal will travel to Washington on April 21 to meet with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and facilitate the final phase of negotiations on the terms of an agreement establishing a reconstruction investment fund.

The memorandum says that technical discussions should be completed by April 26, with the goal of signing the agreement shortly thereafter.

The text emphasizes the United States' respect for Ukraine's EU integration efforts and obligations to international financial institutions, noting that the minerals deal will not conflict with Kyiv's European path.

[flipper44]

So if you’re wondering what led to today’s NWBO price surge, imo, it was this article after the OTC market closed yesterday.

Downing Street is aiming not for a traditional trade deal, but one focused on growth industries of the future, such as biotech and artificial intelligence.

4:45 pm EST article

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/trump-jd-vance-trade-deal-free-speech-b2733806.html

(Note: I still think hate speech toward those with disabilities and such should be illegal, but I’m just the messenger here.)

[flipper44]

U.K. prime minister says online content moderation could be part of trade talks with U.S. 😤

https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/shows/top-stories/blog/rcna201632

Note: This is not the kind of “moderation” that I’m talking about.

[flipper44]

“White House expects UK trade deal ‘within three weeks’”

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025/04/16/white-house-trade-deal-us-uk-weeks/

[flipper44]

Interesting. Whole article devoted to US forcing UK to change free speech rules in UK in order to complete trade deal, but then this towards the end of the article.

Downing Street has insisted that free speech concerns have not been raised in the trade negotiations, with US trade secretary Howard Lutnick taking the lead in most of the talks with UK business secretary Jonathan Reynolds.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/trump-free-speech-trade-deal-online-safety-b2734397.html

lol. Which is it???

[flipper44]

So here is where I think things are going. The lawsuits will eventually shut down Trump’s tariffs except where congress intervenes/affirms, and congress is unlikely to intervene if countries are either working things out and/or aren’t running a product trade advantage against the U.S.

(Notice, I didn’t mention deficit or advantage in trade services. Every country runs a trade deficit in services to the U.S.)

*China simply too good for the time being at making inexpensive widgets.

Anyway, regarding products, if the U.S. congress, let’s say, only ultimately chooses to maintain a (product) tariff war against China, that will cause a glut of products for China and China responding by selling even cheaper to other countries and theoretically hurting each country’s manufacturing base unless those countries also raise tariffs against China.

*US is not looking to improve/increase manufacturing jobs, just robotic manufacturing.

So what if the U.S. starts manufacturing more products again, instead of continuing to increase service trade over the rest of the world? The problem is that if China is just too good at making inexpensive widgets, the future of U.S. manufacturing is predicated on doing it even cheaper with AI and Robotics.

* Way into the future.
Really, when you come to think of it, humans don’t need humans making things and providing most services, AI and robotics will eventually do that better than us; however, humans do need other humans.

So great, we’ll have all the things and services we want, but in reality, that will be taken for granted in the future, and the real challenge will be how to keep human connection, creativity, reasonable moral compasses and tolerance, but most importantly, joie de vivre and motivation in tact.

I don’t think it’s by having dictators stressing us out with their unpredictable cruelty and selfishness.

I think it’s by reconnecting with nature, human interactions and creating personal challenges and goals, even if they are not otherwise “necessary.”

[flipper44]

London’s FTSE 100 surges as hopes rise over US-UK trade deal

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/london-s-ftse-100-surges-as-hopes-rise-over-us-uk-trade-deal/ar-AA1CYrxR

[flipper44]

But there is no general problem with this trading relationship. In fact, the UK buys more from the US than the other way around.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly2rwdzznno.amp

In Trump's first term, negotiations between the UK and US progressed fairly well up until the point controversial issues about medicine pricing and food standards emerged.
Trump's team told me back then that they were waiting to see how close the UK would remain to European Union rules after Brexit.
This time around, the "deal" seems to have been about science, technology and artificial intelligence cooperation in return for avoiding tariffs.

[flipper44]

NWBO trading on Stuttgart again. The entire process never caused a trading pause on OTC.

[flipper44]

Vance (Trump administration) now signals very good chance of us/uk trade deal. Working very hard. He doesn’t open his mouth without getting ok from Trump.

https://www.politico.eu/article/jd-vance-good-chance-us-uk-trade-deal-donald-trump-keir-starmer/

[flipper44]

“US-UK trade deal only days away”

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/tariffs-live-trump-china-asia-ftse-uk-eu-stock-markets-b2732336.html

(Hmm. I can’t be that prescient.)

[flipper44]

Regarding the NWBO (aka:nbyb) Stuttgart trading suspension in Germany, the point missed by most is that if Northwest’s trading on Stuttgard remains suspended, it can’t be the reason for a temporary halt against NWBO on the OTC if positive news like an approval or paid collaboration occurs.

In other words, one way shorts/bears/hedge funds could try to get a temporary OTC halt is through OTC’s acknowledgement that it can temporarily halt a stock (sometimes) on the basis of a foreign market halt on said relevant stock, however, because the reason for suspending in Germany has not impacted trading ability on NWBO on the OTC, if positive news hits, the OTC’s avenue to temporarily halt based upon any Stuttgart Northwest Biotherapeutic’s trading halt is foreclosed, since it is moot, because that ship has sailed, if the current Stuttgard suspension continues to remain in effect. Thus potentially thwarting any hedge fund attempts to halt NWBO trading on the OTC if positive news hits.

[flipper44]

As suspected, Starmer and Trump quickly bridging the gap. (It’s a race to beat the U.S. Courts to the punch, imo)

https://www.aol.com/news/starmer-scrambles-secure-deal-escape-105757362.html

I think this trade agreement will complete before the U.S. Courts rule on illegality/legality of Trump’s tariffs, thus if the two countries can avoid associated tariffs in their resolution, the U.S. Courts won’t play a role between the U.K. and U.S.

[flipper44]

On the NWBO spike, in addition to a likely recent share issuance (and the inevitable buyer/seller pre-drop/buy/post-raise/sell cycle), my opinion is that it also has to do with the UK and now U.S. closing in on trade deals with India, because that would mean the UK and US are on the same page, which might mean Trump Starmer are closer than we think, and after India, some horse trading might be done to get a deal.

Note:
1. India has their own DC Cancer vaccine and India patent but they can’t seem to monetize.
2. The UK is on the verge of initiating commercialization of DC cancer vaccines to the western world and possibly a more receptive audience (administration and public) in the near future.
3. The U.S. has NWBO/NIH/Flaskworks and possibly a supportive administration in the WH and regulatory agencies.

Trade deals in and between these three major players might facilitate the proper flow and restraints on what is a hybrid service/product.

[flipper44]

The great train robbery and other illegal manipulations exploiting the Presidential bully pulpit.

The congressional accusations of market manipulation by Trump are not inconsistent with his actions.

1. He abused the emergency exemption to wrongfully usurp congressional tariff power.
2. He moved as quickly he could (while the illegal tariffs were still in force) to disrupt the global markets by setting illogical/destructive tariffs.
3. Watching the inevitable global market meltdown, he stated he would not reverse course.
4. His tariff “brain” advisor was a con man that based tariffs on an imaginary researcher.
5. Trump, knowing a change in his position could move the market, gave a public announcement to buy stocks even though he told the public he was not going to pause tariffs.
6. Minutes/hours later he paused tariffs, and the phony emergency was removed. Already his inside advisors knew he was planning this reversal all along, even though he publicly had been stating the opposite.

This was arguably the largest theft in history, and the victims were those that panicked and removed their money from the market after Trump created a false emergency, illegally instituted destructive tariffs, then, just when the economy had headed into recession, he told publicly people to buy stocks, and minutes/hours later paused/lifted tariffs even though until that moment he stated he would never back down.

This use of the presidential bully pulpit of his presidency to commit illegal activity for his benefit has occurred on other occasions.

1. He publicly asked a foreign adversary, Putin’s Russia to engage in espionage upon Hilary Clinton in order to assist his election.

2. He publicly incited January 6 rioters in order that he might stage a coup to remain in power.

3. He unnecessarily publicly ridiculed the Ukrainian leader, and prior to that, publicly temporarily removed military aid from Ukraine in order to squeeze President Zelensky into giving up an extreme amount of Ukraine’s rare earth minerals.

[flipper44]

Further indication Trump knows he must fully remove, not just pause, his tariffs. https://www.nbcnews.com/video/trump-speak-safter-90-day-pause-on-some-tariffs-236951109573

Listen closely. In the link above, Trump begins the process of tentatively acknowledging it will have to be the house and senate members that will work out any tariff negotiations/action.

This is yet another step towards, imo, the President acknowledging he was over his constitutional skis by wrongfully invoking the emergency clause to invoke his tariffs.

[flipper44]

NWBO’s message board has done an about face today on political TOS violations. It now appears to be tolerating them regarding the 90 day reciprocal tariff negotiation* (in addition to China/U.S. trade war).

(*Which will also involve, among many others, Trump administration negotiating sectors with the United Kingdom.)

Again, it’s my belief the tariffs are not legal due to Trump’s misuse of an emergency authorization.

It could be, with a more “rational” reduction to 10% tariffs and lower for some countries who negotiate lower, Trump will obtain legislative authorization, taking away the need for the emergency use doctrine. I find this unlikely, and far more likely all tariff authority will be stripped away from him by the Supreme Court due to his current faulty basis.

[flipper44]

Increasing signs Trump understands his emergency tariff power will be reversed by the Courts.

Trump reverses himself and institutes 90 day tariff pause.

President Trump on Wednesday announced a 90-day pause on most of his new tariffs, and a lowering of the "reciprocal tariff" rate to 10%, effective immediately, he said on Truth Social. — April 9, 2025

(Note: I saw this coming)

flipper44
Member Level
Re: None
Monday, 04/07/2025 8:25:13 AM
Suspecting a tariff lift/pause soon.

[flipper44]

Facts on the ground. Trump already sees he will be forced to choose a centrist path instead of extremism. We are seeing a pattern toward realization.

Probabilities.

1. Trump isn’t seeing the level of waste he anticipated.
2. Trump knows his Tariffs are really an intolerable tax on the working class, and more importantly, he recognizes they will be overturned by the very Judges he appointed, because his tariffs are unconstitutional, due to the fact he exceeded his authority by improperly using the emergency clause.

Signs of recognition.

1. Trump is now openly considering a tax increase against the ultra wealthy, because he knows the tariffs will not work and/or last, and he understands there wasn’t enough “waste” to prevent tax increases against the wealthy.

Last ditch effort to fool himself and the country

1. Trump is trying to push international Tarriff concessions before the federal/domestic Courts take his tariff power away.

[flipper44]

Apologies in advance. This board might remain a blank canvas for a little while.