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DON'T FORGET TO VOTE...We the People Issue A demagogue, a popular leader, a leader of a mob, or rabble-rouser is a leader in a democracy who gains popularity by exploiting prejudice and ignorance among the common people, whipping up the passions of the crowd and shutting down reasoned deliberation. Demagogues overturn established customs of political conduct, or promise or threaten to do so. Demagogues have appeared in democracies since ancient Athens. They exploit a fundamental weakness in democracy: because ultimate power is held by the people, it is possible for the people to give that power to someone who appeals to the lowest common denominator of a large segment of the population. Demagogues have usually advocated immediate, forceful action to address a national crisis while accusing moderate and thoughtful opponents of weakness or disloyalty.
SPECULATION STOCKS location
Some RULES for this I-Hub Board............READ THIS...or ... a Minsky Moment increasing speculation using borrowed money.
You and only You are responsible for your trades... This board will be used for analysis of charts ranging in different time periods to determine signals for trading of various instruments=individual stocks, etf's and options. Please direct your comments towards technical indicators that everyone can see on a price chart: we are talking about signals and technical indicators here, not opinions or predictions or forecasts of when the next grand slam will be... share technical signals and charts with the group and if you have an active position...... Rather than being opinionated and letting your subjective bias determine which side of the market to be on, try to maintain objectivity based on technical analysis. Remember...Intellect is the capacity for understanding, thinking, and reasoning, as distinct from feeling or wishing. If you feel you do not need to answer questions on this board ...then why are you here.... your post may be challenge, be willing to answer. If you feel you must GAMBLE and encourage gambling from the 5 minute or lower time frames you will be asked to take your message to the "gamblers board"...If you feel you "must offer an opinion or off topic comment; please do it after trading hours. Charts and signals at signal lines is what we want..
I-Hub's rules state: It is the burden of each poster to ensure that their posts do not contain content that qualifies them for removal. It doesn't matter if your post contains the cure to the common cold or the best stock tip since (fill in your favorite ticker here), if it contains other content that is a violation of the site's rules of conduct, then it qualifies for removal. ... One of the key items to remember as investors/traders is that the market doesn't always reflect reality. Oftentimes it reflects belief. And belief can prove to be a delusion. "A belief held without objective examples that everyone can see is a delusion." “Opinion is that exercise of the human will which 'lets' us make a decision without objective information and objective examples.” And is obviously ... “Discussion is an exchange of knowledge; an argument an exchange of ignorance.” Dysfunctional attitudes and behaviors often comes with "self will run riot," it's not a process that builds "character". It's not common decency, nor any form of kindness...it can only be destructive. Self Destructive...so, IF you don't know yourself..the Stock Market is an expensive place to find your true self... It is no disgrace to be wrong... disgrace happens when you choose to stay wrong...
Building character is a project you never complete. We form our character in defining moments because we commit to irreversible courses of action that shape our personal and professional identities. We reveal something new about us to ourselves and others because defining moments uncover something that had been hidden or crystallize something that had been only partially known. We must test ourselves because we'll discover whether we will live up to our personal ideals or only pay them lip service. The Market is one place where YOU WILL BE TESTED...take the test... Thank You... Kiy...ki...theMatrix You are only as good as your next trade...Kiy This release may contain "forward-looking statements" that are within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are identified by certain words or phrases such as "may", "will", "aim", "will likely result", "believe", "expect", "will continue", "anticipate", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "contemplate", "seek to", "future", "objective", "goal", "project", "should", "will pursue" and similar expressions or variations of such expressions. ... http://thespiritualscience.net/inspirational-quotes/ AIEQ
... ETF based on the results of a proprietary, quantitative model (the "EquBot Model") developed by EquBot LLC ("EquBot") that runs on the Watson? platform. EquBot, the fund's sub-adviser, is a technology based company focused on applying artificial intelligence ("AI") based solutions to investment analyses. The fund is non-diversified. ...this ETF artificial intelligence can think for itself and learns as it goes... The fund’s software “constantly” analyzes information for roughly 6,000 U.S.-listed stocks, according to the company, scanning through regulatory filings, news articles, social media posts, and traditional financial metrics—including factors pertaining to correlations and valuations—to find investments it perceives as undervalued. Daily turnover is high compared with other actively managed funds, EquBot said. ...from MarketWatch
LIT...hit oversold level on 01/22/2018...give it some time still...
LIT CandleGlance ...FMC, SQM, TSLA, ALB, BYDDF, PCRFF, GYUAF, OROCF, GALXF, SGPEF, JCI ********
***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************** NEWS that may be of interest...
Jan. 19, 2018 The S&P 500 has gone 394 days without a 5% drawdown
, according to Goldman Sachs. That’s tying the longest stretch in the market’s history. We’re facing an overstretched market, and it’s looking for an excuse
to let off a little steam in the form of a pullback
. 5% down from 2810 = 2669.50 S&P 500 TIME TO BUY GOLD...?.. a real currency war, not just our Fed or other Central Banker's manipulation... an Oil Yuan backed with Gold
Jan. 16, 2018
30 Market Risks for 2018 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-should-investors-worry-about-in-2018-heres-a-big-fat-list-of-risk-factors-2017-12-28
\ The Saudi Purge is a Global Crisis (...do a search on You Tube Saudi Purge... 9/11 Trillions: Follow The Money
(...do a search on You Tube 9/11 Trillions...) BitChute.com Corbertt Report... THE 12-POINT MANIFESTO OF THE ALT-RIGHT The Speech and the Executive Order that got US President John F. Kennedy Killed Corporate elite will destroy US... Chris Hedges The Men Who Crashed the World Putin's Secret Riches
The Real Threats to the American Dream http://www.heritage.org/poverty-and-inequality/report/defending-the-dream-why-income-inequality-doesnt-threaten-opportunity Nov. 20, 2017 Mr. Trump is doing well overall on economic policy, with deregulation and support for tax reform. But his Achilles’ heel is his protectionist trade agenda and his lack of knowledge about the international economy. – “A Nafta Recession?” Wall Street Journal, November 13, 2017.
The suffocating web of regulation and laws that flow from the limitless state and restrict opportunity, The collapse of the family and the devastating, long-lasting consequences that it has on children. The dependence fostered by the welfare state, The erosion of our culture of work and the rise of a slacker culture that disparages hard work and celebrates indolence, The failures of the public education system that deny countless children the rudimentary skills they need to move ahead in life, and The looming fiscal crisis that has already saddled the next generation with an unconscionable level of debt.
Mohamed A. El-Erian on BREXIT But if politicians continue to disappoint, low growth would turn into periodic recessions, and artificial financial stability would give way to disruptive instability. The inequality trifecta – that of income, wealth and opportunity – would worsen. Already-alarming youth unemployment would get even more deeply embedded in the structure of the economy. Political tensions would increase, as would the trust deficit in business and political elites, as well as expert opinion. What is key to stress is that there is nothing pre-destined, at least as yet, when it comes to the road out of the T junction. It depends in large part on the political decisions that will be made in the comings months and quarters. If you were forced to opt for just one outcome for Europe what would that be? Having suffered short-term disruptions, both the EU and the UK would have regained their economic and financial footing in three years. The UK would have an association agreement with the EU that allows for the smooth trade in goods and services, and that lowers the risk of tariff wars. The EU would be a somewhat smaller but much more coherent, confident and operational unit. And your biggest fear in the short-term? It would be that de-stabilizing combination of policy mistakes and financial accidents.
Brexit has accelerated what I have characterized in my recent book as the journey to the neck of a T junction – that is to say, the exhaustion of the current road that the global economy is on, and the possibility of two contrasting transitions. In the event that governments finally step up to the economic policymaking responsibilities and stop relying excessively on central banks, the recent period of low growth and artificial financial stability would evolve into high growth and genuine financial stability. The improvements would be turbo charged by the productive engagement of cash that currently resides on the balance sheets of companies, as well as technical innovations.
According to Grantham, "Investment bubbles and high animal spirits do not materialize out of thin air. They need extremely favorable economic fundamentals together with free and easy, cheap credit, and they need it for at least two or three years. Importantly, they also need serial pleasant surprises in such critical variables as global GNP growth." SENTIMENT...MOMENTUM...MEAN REVERSION
There is a "Method to the Madness of Crowds" and you can find it and define it on the charts...Technical Charting takes away some of the fear/doubt in trading... and then all you need is patience while waiting for the chart to tell you when the momentum/sentiment turns...Kiy...
MOMENTUM...looking at the price chart below; the technical indicators above all those price bars are momentum indicators...buy low/sell high...oversold/overbought "relative" to what = CCI 20...%B...Stochastics...RSI 7...and ULT are all about "PRICE" MOMENTUM. Technical indicators "indicate"... "point direction" they are best read when the indicator is at one of it's "signal" lines and when price is at certain price levels such as Support/Resistance lines.
The "key" to trading anything is the recognition that you can control risk. The key to trading stocks such as RIOT is to manage risk. You must set parameters for a trade and stick with them. Taking a loss should be routine. That is how you manage risk.
Many market players can't stand the idea of admitting they are wrong. They feel that it is a reflection on their abilities when they work hard to understand fundamentals and then the market doesn't do what it should do. They are convinced that it is the market that is wrong, not them, so they stay with the trade. That may work fine over the longer term. The fundamental research will make them feel secure. Trading high-risk/high-return stocks such as RIOT is a different game. The focus isn't on fundamentals. Rather, the focus is on managing risk by watching price action.
The first thought of many novices when they look at the wild action in these bitcoin-related names is, "I could lose all my money." That is true only if they sit there and do nothing. You always can eliminate all your risk by immediately selling a position. That is the key. Selling must be a routine part of your methodology when you are trading. Selling is how you manage risk. Once you understand and embrace that idea, the risk doesn't seem so crazy. There are still the obstacles of overnight gaps, trading halts and surprise news events, but the way to deal with that is through position size.
My approach to highly volatile stocks is always incremental. I make partial buys and partial sells and trade in numerous time frames. I only hold the largest positions for the shortest period of time, but then hold smaller positions that I allow much more leeway.
The key to trading anything is the recognition that you can control risk. Once you embrace that idea, the wild moves in stocks such as RIOT don't seem so random and unpredictable. You can handle them because you will cut your exposure when they don't cooperate.
The best way to learn to trade highly volatile stocks is to take small positions with very tight stops and become used to taking small losses. Keep trying to understand the movement and don't be discouraged if you take a lot of losses. Losses should be viewed as just part of the trading process and not an indication that you are doing anything wrong. All trading is driven by fear -- either fear of loss or fear of not making enough money. You must address that fear in order to make big money, and the best way to do that is to learn how to control risk.
This sort of high-volatility trading is not for everyone. It requires vigilance and planning. You can't be passive, but you still must be patient at times. Without high risk you cannot earn big rewards, but risk can be controlled if you know how to sell.
NOTE: If you have the momentum indicators on your side the risk is less...If you think you can trade against these indicators on the Daily chart your trading account is going to shrink...General Expert...SeekingAlpha Blog https://ih.advfn.com/stock-market/AMEX/spdr-s-p-500-SPY/trades Next...Note the last 2 graphs on the above chart, below the On Balanced Volume indicator... Note how the price bars change color when price closes above or below the 10 day average. Maybe a green price bar is telling you to buy because a potential trend may form; maybe a green price bar is saying don't sell...maybe = its saying both buy-don't sell ... Maybe a red price bar says sell or maybe its saying don't buy... maybe both... Maybe a blue price bar is neutral about Direction/Trend; maybe its saying to listen to the last green or red price bar on the price chart...?... Note how important the 50 day average is as the 10day average is trying to decide to move above or below the 50 day average... It can be this easy... maybe now you are an expert, but don't know it. Test it... You can look back at a chart from 5years ago or look at this chart 5years from now...I will not have to change any parameters on this chart and all the definitions above will remain the same...
Regression to the Mean/Mean Reversion is the most powerful law in financial physics
Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth. Financial-market prices and sentiment are like a giant pendulum. The farther they are pulled to one extreme by excessive greed or fear, the farther they necessarily swing to the opposite extreme in the subsequent mean reversion. Like pendulums, these reversions don’t magically stop right in the middle at normal again. Their kinetic momentum carries them through to the opposite ends of their arcs. But overshot extremes don’t last for long, as the universal greed necessary to fuel them quickly burns itself out.
(please note: these colored price bars are part of the Elder's Impulse System which is based on two indicators, a 13-day exponential moving average and the MACD-Histogram. The moving average identifies the trend, while the MACD-Histogram measures momentum. As a result, the Impulse System combines trend following and momentum to identify tradable impulses. This unique indicator combination is color coded into the price bars for easy reference. I (Kiy) have added some speed to it with the use of the 10day moving average (also the 10day average relates to the Grail averages and it just so happens the collored price bars work very good with the 10day average also.) And (Kiy) does not use MACD for momentum, I like Stochastics....I leave it to you to use the link above to see how Dr. Elder
interprets the collored price bars.) (To tell the truth I have never read his books; only a few articles...) ...Any way you look at the colored price bars; they are very helpful...better than Candlesticks; you can test it and learn.) SENTIMENT On the above chart...look at the indicators starting with VOLUME... I use these indicators as SENTIMENT INDICATORS... ...Volume=volume speaks volumes...Accumulation/Distribution... Money Flow Index (MFI)...On Balanced Volume (OBV)...(and on an intraday chart VWAP=Volume Weighted Average Price which I consider both a MOMETUM and SENTIMENT indicator ...from Wikipedia
The VWAP can be used similar to moving averages, where prices above the VWAP reflect a bullish sentiment and prices below the VWAP reflect a bearish sentiment. Traders may initiate short positions as a stock price moves below VWAP for a given time period or initiate long position as the price moves above VWAP.
Institutional buyers and algorithms will often use VWAP to plan entries and initiate larger positions
without disturbing the stock price.) The crowd is always taking action...The sentiment indicators are telling you what the "crowd" is doing/thinking... These Sentiment Indicators "indicate"... "point direction" (it really is ALLLL about UP/Sideways/DOWN...) Sentiment indicators are best read when price is at certain price levels like Support/Resistance Lines or at certain Moving Average Lines like the 10day, 20day and 50day moving average. Markets are not about beliefs/opinions, but about sentiment. And, If you can measure sentiment... then you are in a position to make your investment account grow without the need for excuses. (...this really is all you need to know about the Markets... and it should be carved in stone...) (
https://seekingalpha.com/article/1719142-how-should-you-trade-silver-with-all-the-manipulation) (I Kiy;do not advocate Elliot Wave) ...You are now an expert... Enjoy good trades...And always...Give a little back to a good cause... Remembering times in your life when you were thought of as a good cause... and Peace happens. Art Cashin...nice quote..."Nothing's as strong as a Market that changes it's mind."
MONEY...!!!...first the National Anthem by Pink Floyd ... Price Tag TimeFrames .... CCI intraday cycles
Our shared understanding of the value of that green-tinted piece of paper, that Krugerrand, ether token, or pound coin, is all that counts. And that shared understanding has no fixed meaning; it’s in eternal flux. The “value” of all money, all stores of exchange, is unstable and abstract, even in the face of every attempt to secure it?—?say, with a set rate of exchange against various assets?—?or to regulate its flow by setting interest rates. Money is only a shifting network of agreements made in and on behalf of the hive, (...and you have been assimulated and you don't even know it...) and that’s all it has ever been—a fragile thread in a web of human trust.
IntraDay TimeFrame Charts ...Swing Trading theS&P500 I'm tracking the intraday charts below about every hour...so if the date below has today's date; I'm tracking the turns and what chart you should be focused on.
Maybe its as simple as you'd like to make it...simple game of Chess.
Your Move Cause it's time, it's time in time with your time and it's NEWS is captured...
Red Queen Killer Queen
Color Codes Colors are based on the CCI 20 (Commodity Channel Index signal lines) ... if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...if letters/stock symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold ..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(focus is the CCI centerline)... ¥= first stock to turn UP/Down after the Group/Sector has been oversold/overbought.
JAN. 23... Swing Traders...Focus on CCI Commodity Channel Index 10...15...30...60 minute charts... then daily Bias and weekly chart.
60minute CCI bias is DOWN...60 minute chart can act as a proxy for the daily chart...best trades are when both 60 minute and daily bias are working together.
Daily CCI 20 Bias is UP Overbought ...always trade in the direction of the daily bias... any index or ETF... this should be carved in stone...
Weekly chart CCI 10 Bias is UP Overbought ....It is always nice when both the Weekly and Daily bias are working together=pointing in the same direction...but, remember the daily chart is the driver.
5MINUTE http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=5&yr=0&mn=0&dy=5&i=p09374124324&a=441813683&r=932 10 minute Chart...when 10 MINUTE CCI 20 crosses CCI centerline on this 10 minute chart= you step UP to the signals on the 15 minute chart 10AM CCI 96 11AM CCI 102 12PM CCI 18 1PM CCI -14 2PM CCI 83 3PM CCI 141 4PM CCI 67
15minute... ... ...there are three 15 minute charts here; then the 30minute... WHEN 15 minute CCI crosses centerline you step UP to the 30 minute chart signals and you become exclusive 30minute signals...KEEPS YOU IN THE TRADE FOR THE CYCLE 10AM CCI 144 11AM CCI 114 12PM CCI 59
1PM CCI 41 2PM CCI 107 3PM CCI 105
4PM CCI 77 TVIX http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&id=p48433033604&a=548819665&listNum=1
15MIN NYadv/NY/DEC http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&id=p58612809856&a=499871359&listNum=1 15 minute $TICK
.... $TICK...Histogram 30 minute chart...
This is swing trading (not day trading) the intraday cycle...aka...30 minute exclusive trading is 10minute CCI cross centerline=you step over to use the 15minute chart signals...15 minute CCI cross centerline step over to 30 minute chart and the 30 minute chart becomes exclusive = 30 minute CCI signals= will keep you in the cycle/trade longer and not
let 10 or 15 minute chart signals take you out of a trade. The 60minute chart's role is as proxy for the daily chart; intraday 60minute CCI tends to be a laggard within this intraday cycle; so all you want to see is 60minue turning while in oversold or overbought to say the intraday cycle is ending and at the same time you will see 30 minute will be ready to signal a change in direction or has already signaled at the +/- 100 CCI signal line. (...and if anyone is wondering; the 5minute chart is a cycle unto itself...with many major YoYo/false signals....plus the daily and weekly charts also have their own cycle...)
30 Minute 10AM CCI 120
11AM CCI 162
12PM CCI 103 1PM CCI 79 2PM CCI 87 3PM CCI 78 4PM CCI 71
60 MINUTE Chart... 10AM CCI 128
11AM CCI 147
12PM CCI 114 1PM CCI 101 2PM CCI 104 3PM CCI 99 4PM CCI 92
The commodity channel index
) is an oscillator
originally introduced by Donald Lambert in 1980. Since its introduction, the indicator has grown in popularity and is now a very common tool for traders in identifying cyclical trends
not only in commodities, but also equities and currencies. The CCI can be adjusted to the timeframe of the market traded on by changing the averaging period. Cumulative Charts
CCI 11 settings
0.30 bricks...KAMA is gold line...10 average is green line...5average is purple line Daily Chart... 10AM CCI 136 11AM CCI 141
...2840.04 12PM CCI 139
...2836.87 1PM CCI 139
...2837.02 2PM CCI 141
...2839.96 3PM CCI 141
...2540.13 4PM CCI 140
...2539.13 Weekly CCI 10 Bias is
Monthly http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=10&mn=0&dy=0&id=p55270036158&listNum=1&a=560001437 Notes Always trade with the direction of the daily CCI 20. Swing trades= intraday to 3-5 days. Always trade in the direction of the daily bias even for short term trades...if you really feel you must trade against the daily bias...you need a hair trigger...get out quick if the position moves against you. The S&P 500 Average True Range for SPX usually runs around 15 points. This range inceases as volatility increases Remember...What you're looking at on an intraday 60 minute chart is a daily candle or OHLC price bar "uncompressed" from the daily chart. Kind of a "micro" view of the Macro daily chart...and a daily chart would be a micro view of the weekly chart... Front Running a Daily chart signal. (...The 60 minute chart can be considered as a proxy for the daily chart and will lead daily chart signals when daily CCI is getting ready to come out of oversold overbought levels...it just takes patience to get the timing..) Rather than only trade the intraday cycle you can use the intraday charts to front run a daily CCI signal. When the Daily CCI is ready to move out of oversold or overbought... your goal eventually is to catch a trade from intraday that carries over onto the daily chart. It takes some practice and patience becoming comfortable with the CCI cycles= Intraday/Daily/Weekly and as the 3 sometimes line up together= synchronized you may consider a larger position. ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average, the trend is your friend... Developed by Perry Kaufman, Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is a moving average designed to account for market noise or volatility. KAMA will closely follow prices when the price swings are relatively small and the noise is low. KAMA will adjust when the price swings widen and follow prices from a greater distance. This trend-following indicator can be used to identify the overall trend, time turning points and filter price movements.KAMA can be found as an indicator overlay in the SharpCharts workbench. The default settings will automatically appear in the parameter box once it is selected and chartists can change these parameters to suit their analytical needs. The first parameter is for the Efficiency Ratio and chartists should refrain from increasing this number. Instead, chartists can decrease it to increase sensitivity. Chartists looking to smooth KAMA for longer-term trend analysis can increase the middle parameter incrementally.
3 Charts for Swing Trading...is PRICE above/below the waterline...Kaufman's TRENDLINE
The 60minute and Daily chart need to be ready to work together coming out of oversold or overbought. When you see 60minute/Daily setting up, you can enter the trade starting with the 15 minute chart signals...
When looking at the 60minute and daily charts I like thE RSI 7, stochastics signals/signal line and VTX with it's 9SMA signals.
Everything previously said about MOMENTUM and SENTIMENT still applies. Listen to these indicators; not your's or other's opinions...
Rather then use the Grail Averages 3,5,10; I'll focus on the 4EMA/9SMA crosses...
15minute... A lower /declining VWAP suggests less conviction relative to price (you can see the same relative to the 9period average also) You will see the same in the 60minute and Daily timeframes.
Daily with Bollinger Bands/Volatility Bands
Why 4 and 9 moving averages...someone asked (or am I hearing voices). The Grail averages are the 3,5 and 10 averages...trigger is the 3day average crosses the 5day average.
Just because the CCI 20 or some other esoteric indicator has signaled a change from overbought/oversold (sell high/buy low)...it only means that maybe the daily chart is waking up from an oversold level...and you need some more confirmation=3cross 5day average... the smallest SETTING you can use is 3= that's a rule...3=like the stochastics 14,3 default setting or the 10,3 stochastics setting I use.
Anyway...the Key to the "GRAIL" simply is: the only way you are going to get this smallest of small indicators = the 3day average to change direction from oversold levels, is price has to continue to move above the moving average.
And sometimes when I say the move is weak or failing = price action around the 3day average=no confirmation...3 isn't going to cross 5 day average...
What I'm doing with the 4day average is ignore or assume the signals are early if price can't stay above the 4day average...think about it...IF I say and many others agree that PRICE is the best indicator...maybe I better learn how to read price...I'm saying... as the technical indicators move out of an oversold condition...price above the 4day average suggests the signals are real...price below the 4day average suggest weak and signals are still early...so it helps to define "weak" and define "early"...so I CAN say this it's not an opinion or feeling(subjective)...it is something everyone can see on the chart...You can point at it as a fact...objectively.
Short...(01/23/2018) 2841...( 01/18) 2804...2802... 2783...2754... 2747... 2707...
01/09 cover all..2751 at 2756 -05 S&P points
12/26 cover 1/2..2690 at 2680 +10 S&P points
12/20 cover 1/4..2693 at 2677 +16 S&P points
12/19 cover 1/2..2693 at 2633 +10 S&P points
12/14 cover 1/2..2668 at 2653 +15 S&P points
12/14 cover 1/2..2668 at 2659 +9 S&P points
12/08 cover 1/4..2630 at 2649 +19 S&P points
12/08 cover 1/4..2630 at 2646 +16 S&P points
12/07 cover 1/2..2630 at 2640 +10 S&P points
12/06 cover 1/4..2655 at 2625 +30 S&P points CheckMate
12/05 cover 1/4..2660 at 2633 +30 S&P points CheckMate
12/05 cover 1/4..2655 at 2631 +24 S&P points
12/01 cover 1/4..2655 at 2606 +49 S&P points CheckMate
Daily... Cheat Sheet
SWING Trading and SPECULATION
According to Dalbar Inc., over the last 20 years, the average equity investor earned an annualized return of 4.67% while the S&P 500 returned 8.19% per year. The reason given for such poor performance among individual investors is - panic selling. In other words emotion. Most investors possess the intellect needed to analyze data, but very few are able to withstand the powerful influence of psychology and their own emotions.
BONDS http://stockcharts.com/public/520756/tenpp/4 11/10/2017 TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD BOUNCES OFF 200-DAY AVERAGE... 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) testing its 200-day moving average. Chart 1 shows the TNX gapping 7 basis points higher today after finding support at its 200-day line. I also mentioned on Wednesday that the 10-Year Treasury yield was being held back by even bigger drops in foreign yields. Those foreign yields are also bouncing today, spurred mainly by strong economic news from Europe. Britain is the day's leader with its 10-year yield up 8 bps; French and German 10-year yields are bouncing 3 bps. All of which suggests that today's rebound in sovereign bond yields is global in scope. That means that bond prices are falling around the world.
The Market is a giant feedback loop, showing traders (and anyone who views the market) a thermometer reading of the social mood under which traders, and by extension society, are operating. Most traders seem to think of the market as something that has some external value outside of the price attributed to it by traders. I prefer to think of it as a real-time gauge of a society’s view of their own productive capacity…or more simply put–social mood.
When Markets are understood, the idea that everyone can make money is not only inaccurate but impossible and laughable. Everyone making money means there is no market, because who would be willing to take the other side of the trade?
In addition, most traders feel they can move with the crowd to make a (paper) profit, and then get out before the crowd, turning that trade into a real profit. In theory this is sound, but remember everyone else is setting out to do the same thing. It is this crowd movement which allows traders to make money at times. Without a large portion of traders coming to the same decision markets simply would not move. It takes conviction by many traders to create a trend, then it takes euphoric acceptance that “this is the new norm” to end it and “bend it. ” It then takes mass disillusionment to crash it the other way. (vantagepointtrading.com) Regression to the Mean is the most powerful law in financial physics Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth. Financial-market prices and sentiment are like a giant pendulum. The farther they are pulled to one extreme by excessive greed or fear, the farther they necessarily swing to the opposite extreme in the subsequent mean reversion. Like pendulums, these reversions don’t magically stop right in the middle at normal again. Their kinetic momentum carries them through to the opposite ends of their arcs. But overshot extremes don’t last for long, as the universal greed necessary to fuel them quickly burns itself out.
Rising interest rate have two effects that tend to make gold and silver not as attractive.
1. ... rising rates boost the yields on bonds, CDs, and a number of interest-bearing assets. physical gold and silver don't pay a dividend. As lending rates rise, the opportunity cost of owning physical gold and silver rises. If rates continue to remain low, then investors aren't giving up much to instead buy into the shiny yellow and silver metals, as well as their miners.
2. ... rising lending rates have the effect of pushing the U.S. dollar higher, and the dollar and gold tend to have an inverse relationship. 10 Year Yield chart...yield down value of the 10yr Note is UP...yield UP value of the Note is DOWN http://stockcharts.com/public/3421479/tenpp/24
**************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************** ... this man was the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board from 1987 to 2006.... “ I know you think you understand what you thought I said but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant” Alan Greenspan....
So you want a guarantee...?... Lol Lol lol...
As former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan famously said in his 2005 Congressional testimony on Social Security...I believe that we should maintain the principles of Social Security, but I think the existing structure is not working.
Until we construct a system that creates the savings that are required to build the REAL assets, so that the retirees have REAL goods and services. We don’t have a system that is working. We have one that basically moves cash around and we can guarantee cash benefits as far out and whatever size you like, but we cannot guarantee their purchasing power. “You're born, you die, everything in between is subject to interpretation.” - Nora Ephron
Message to Congress on Curbing Monopolies. April 29, 1938 "They must find it difficult ...Those who have taken authority as the truth, rather than truth as the authority." - Gerald Massey
Unhappy events abroad have retaught us two simple truths about the liberty of a democratic people.The first truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it becomes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is Fascism—ownership of Government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. The second truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if its business system does not provide employment and produce and distribute goods in such a way as to sustain an acceptable standard of living.
... the fact is that quite frequently we behave as if controlled by little green men from outer space. We are the only species on the planet that is always at odds with each other, with practically all other species, and with the planet itself. We are the only species with wars, jails, ghettos and mental institutions, where we act and live worse than animals would anywhere. What have we done to ourselves as a species? What is the force that binds us to selfish deeds? It holds true that Humans aren't complicated they just complicate every thing...it also holds true that Humans seem to have to go to extremes with everything before concensus asks to draw it in a bit to the middle road = seek some "balance" here people ...to an outside observer humans really do appear to be a bunch of YoYos...(Concensus in government seems to have come to a standstill...gridlock and laws come in packages of thousands of pages...perpetuates the insanity of the people in power ...and they think they're "Normal"...this isn't normal...why aren't there more humanitarians in congress...more mothers in congress...can't just have a bunch of people with law degrees that says they can argue any point about anything to absurdity...just look at who's running for president...more of the same or outright insanity...that's some great choices for a great country isn't it...so don't forget to vote... In philosophy, "the Absurd" refers to the conflict between (1) the human tendency to seek inherent value and meaning in life and (2) the human inability to find any. In this context absurd does not mean "logically impossible", but rather "humanly impossible". There is no easy walk to freedom anywhere and many of us will have to pass through the valley of the shadow of death again and again before we reach the mountaintop of our desires. "No Easy Walk to Freedom" Nelsen Mandela
The Brutal Truth About Today’s World
The Sad Truth About Today’s World Illustrated By Steve Cutts
Art isn’t all fairytale photoshoots and landscape shots – it can also act as catalyst of change. And Steve Cutts thinks that many things in the world should be different. Work shouldn’t be a grinding, soul-crushing rat race for the almighty dollar. Consumerism shouldn’t hold a vice-like grip on our lives. And social media, well, we need to throw-off the shackles we so eagerly put on ourselves. Wouldn’t life be better then?
........... Wish You Where Here ......... Comfortably Numb lyrics ...........
...... Hey You .....
“A human being is a part of the whole called by us universe, a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts and feeling as something separated from the rest, a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us, restricting us to our personal desires and to affection for a few persons nearest to us. Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circle of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.” Einstein (The actual quote may be; A human being is a part of the whole, called by us "Universe," a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts and feelings as something separate from the rest—a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. The striving to free oneself from this delusion is the one issue of true religion. Not to nourish it but to try to overcome it is the way to reach the attainable measure of peace of mind." Here you can see the original letters, both typed and handwritten: http://www.onbeing.org/blog/einstein-sleuthing/3637 I was also intrigued by what you said about the word 'optical' and a possible lapse in translation. At the link I provided there's the original handwritten version both in German and in English. Optical seems correct, but it could well be illusion instead of delusion.) Sound of Silence The world is a dangerous place to live; not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who don't do anything about it. ...Einstein ? “The only impediment to world peace is world leaders.” Or, perhaps, we should simply comply with the more current and popular thought that “…peace is only attainable through military strength.” USA President Jimmy Carter When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace. Jimi Hendrix ...watch these links... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5gQZTAhIjLc ==============================================================================================
... Star Spangle Banner ...Jimi Hendrix
.... comment https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTypVpaCZNs I refuse to accept the view that mankind is so tragically bound to the starless midnight of racism and war that the bright daybreak of peace and brotherhood can never become a reality... I believe that unarmed truth and unconditional love will have the final word. Martin Luther King, Jr. There is no way to peace, PEACE is the way... A.J. Muste ...American Gandhi and the History of Radicalism in the Twentieth Century Muste's increasing horror as he understood the United States emerging role a global force of violence and domination, perhaps even an existential threat to the world itself. The revolutionary potential of labor had been co-opted by a Democratic Party that was just as eager as the Republicans to build a national security state with an endless reach. America had sacrificed its soul, even as it achieved unparalleled economic and military superiority. His penetrating analysis of what Eisenhower would term the “military-industrial complex”
was even more prescient than he knew. As the Cold War gave way to the War on Terror, Americans have confronted the possibility of seemingly endless war.
Muste would have seen the killing power of predator drones
and the savage torture techniques of CIA
interrogators not as accidents or regretful necessities in the long war to make the world safe for democracy,
but as the logical, perhaps inevitable culmination of the “American Century.” One of Danielson's last anecdotes is of an elderly Afghanistan/Iraq War
protester who was asked in 2010 if she really thought that her demonstration in front of Rockefeller Center would have any impact on American policy. She quoted Muste, who was asked a similar question while demonstrating against Vietnam
in front of the White House: “I don't do this to change the country, I do this so the country won't change me”
(336). Almost fifty years after Muste's death, Americans seem no closer to finding the way to peace.
It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters. Epictetus (AD 50 – 135)
If one oversteps the bounds of moderation, the greatest pleasures cease to please.People are not disturbed by things, but by the view they take of them.
Epictetus taught that philosophy is a way of life and not just a theoretical discipline. To Epictetus, all external events are beyond our control; we should accept calmly and dispassionately whatever happens. However, individuals are responsible for their own actions, which they can examine and control through rigorous self-discipline.
"Still a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest."
Cognitive Dissonance, is the unseen enemy of mankind. It does more to prevent people from learning and changing than anything else. Tao Ming
BUBBLES****Who is going to pay this out-of-control debt that the out-of-control government leaders of the world and USA are racking up for the younger generation by their out-of-control spending spree? Who cares? Apparently, hardly anyone cares today, because the subject does not attract votes. People want to only hear about what they are going to get, not what they are going to have to pay or sacrifice in order to get it. Raymond Merriman http://new.mmacycles.com/ http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com/2017/07/reasons-to-expect-usd-to-continue-to_19.html
"Once the crowd gains momentum in the direction of stupid, there is no stopping it." not so famous quote by some guy...Circlem
Brad Kaysuyama says it the way it truely is What is killing WallStreet
History matters because markets do indeed repeat themselves. John Kenneth Galbraith was interviewed in the PBS documentary, The Crash of 1929, and he observed that every 30 years or so we predictably have a major market correction because that seems to be the length of time it takes each generation to forget the lessons of the previous generation.
At the time, (looking at the chart below)...the argument was that the Fed should have started to increase interest rates in 2013...?...
...but don't worry, be happy...this time is different...and the crowd cheers on......2014, 2015, 2016, 2017...
from ... http://stockcharts.com/public/3421479
It's hard to visualize what a TRILLION Dollars is like...think of it in how many seconds it would take to reach a TRILLION.
60 seconds = minute... 60 x 60 minutes in an hour=3600 seconds... 3600 x 24hours=86,400 seconds in a day.... 1 million seconds = 12 days (1,036,800sec. )
1 Billion seconds = 31 years... 1 Trillion seconds = 31,000 years The Federal Reserve's looming attempt to shrink its mammoth portfolio of bonds comes with an ugly track record: Virtually every time the central bank has tried it in the past, recessions have followed… The Fed has embarked on six such reduction efforts in the past — in 1921-1922, 1928-1930, 1937, 1941, 1948-1950 and 2000. Of those episodes, five ended in recession according to research from Michael Darda, chief economist and market strategist at MKM Partners. –Jeff Cox, “The Fed’s About to Try Something that Almost Always Has Ended in Recession,” cnbc.com, August 2, 2017.
August 4, 2017 Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan issued a bold warning Friday that the bond market is on the cusp of a collapse that also will threaten stock prices… the long-time central bank chief said the prolonged period of low interest rates is about to end and, with it, a bull market in fixed income that has lasted more than three decades. "The current level of interest rates is abnormally low and there's only one direction in which they can go, and when they start they will be rather rapid," Greenspan said…” – Jeff Cox, “Greenspan: Bond Bubble About to Break Because of ‘Abnormally Low’ Interest Rates,” cnbc.com,
You can find more on Bitcion and Crypt related stocks at the top of the SPECULATION PAGE...
BitCoin is now #2 as far as BUBBLES go...one BitCoin =$8,000+..Nov. 22,2017
If BUBBLES, FADS AND MANIA are a human characteristic...Humans be very flawed...
Bitcoin might be a fine speculation, but it is far from a safe haven. The question you have to ask yourself is what happens when Bitcoin finds its greatest fool and starts to tumble? Where does the money go when the bubble pops and that $135 billion in market cap flees?
SPECULATION STOCKS click on the link to see more about BitCoin
There are only a few investments left in the world that are undervalued: gold, oil, and emerging markets.
One of these days — it might be next week or it might be two years from now — Bitcoin, like Lehman Brothers or AOL, will ring the bell at the top of this cycle. It will be then that you will want something to bury in your yard like gold.
After the crash in 2009, several gold companies went up more than 3,000%. The next crash is coming, and you want to be in position when it shows up. Energy and Capital.com
The best way to rob a bank is to own one." William Black
End the Fed! Who owns the Fed!
Thomas Jefferson on banking " Bold and bankrupt adventurers pretending to have money"
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered.... I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.... The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." The Demonetising Effect: A Cashless Society November 10, 2016...using the U.S. election as a diversion, the world's central banks just moved one step closer to achieving its goal of creating a cashless society. At the height of the election drama Tuesday night, the Reserve Bank of India issued a surprise order that demonetized 500- and 1,000-rupee notes — making the country's largest bills now virtually illegal to use. This will effectively remove 80% of the physical rupees in circulation. And the announcement of this surprise demonetization was no doubt purposefully meant to coincide with the U.S. presidential election, which was certainly going to be a huge distraction despite the winner. Now think about what this surprise demonetization means to the Indian people for a minute... You live in India. And you went to bed on Monday night with a 1,000-rupee note in your pocket. When you went to bed, that note was worth 1,000 rupees. When you woke up, the same note was worth nothing. Now, people can still deposit the discontinued notes in banks and post office savings accounts until the end of the year and receive the full value. But the 500 and 1,000 notes are nevertheless discontinued, making them technically obsolete as currency. And after the end of the year, people won't be able to exchange them for digital currency. As you can imagine, the currency ban caused a two-day mad scramble with hundreds of people standing in line at banks and in front of single ATM machines in some places. \ So what was the point? And can this happen in the U.S.? Economic Collapse - Brexit - Euro collapse - America 2016 - Financial Crisis - Noam Chomsky and Yanis Varousfakis ...Yanis Varoufakis is a Greek economist, academic and politician, who served as the Greek Minister of Finance from January to July 2015, when he resigned. Black Swan "First it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme impact. Third, in spite of its outlier status, human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable." I'm from Goldman Sachs, and I’m here to help May 3, 2016
Frightening Global Rise of "Agnotology"
Culturally Constructed Ignorance... "Agnotology" “culturally constructed ignorance, created by special interest groups to create confusion and suppress the truth in a societally important issue.”
Economics Close to the Edge Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. ...Voltaire 1694-1778 Propaganda Tools...information with a biase or misleading nature. PSYOPS...the use of propaganda, threats, and other psychological techniques to mislead, intimidate, demoralize, or otherwise influence the thinking or behavior of an opponent.
Low interest rates can be a great tool to get an economy in slow-down mode going again, but there always is an unwanted side effect. If credit becomes too cheap and available for just anyone, there’s bound to be ‘abuse’ in the system, as households (and companies) can spend the borrowed cash on anything they want.
We have already warned you before about the share buybacks on the financial markets, as the increasing profits (per share) are mainly inflated by lower interest expenses and a lower amount of outstanding shares, rather than really seeing a substantial improvement of the business and sector those companies are operating in.
“Many governments, including ours (USA), overtax their citizens to feed their own insatiable need for money. Then the legal thieves running the government and their cronies, unwilling to abide the tax levels they created, move their wealth off shore to places like Panama.” - Daniel Henninger, “Panama Bernie,” Wall Street Journal, April 6, 2016.
“To wit, the story here (about leaks of the Panama Papers) isn’t about tax evaders and offshore accounts, deplorable as they may be. It’s about public polices and incentives that make a career in politics an expedient route to personal enrichment.” Bret Stephens, “ ‘C’ is for Corruption,” Wall Street Journal, April 5, 2016.
“The Competitive Enterprise Institute finds that, last year 2015, Congress passed a mere 114 laws and federal agencies issued a whopping 3410 regulations… A Kauffman Foundation study cites a proliferation of ‘incumbent protection’ rules as a reason for a decline in small business entrepreneurship. A Brookings Institution study shows an unheralded change in American life, business closures exceeded business starts during much of President Obama’s tenure.”
...the battle is on 3 fronts = Currency wars are not over... the oil wars are not over....and import/export trade wars are happening...
Tarriffs/Trade Wars. MAY 27, 2016 U.S. levies duties on corrosion-resistant steel from five countries Reuters
Trade fight: China calls new U.S. steel import duties unfair USA TODAY
U.S. panel launches trade secret theft probe into China steel Reuters
U.S. ITC votes to continue probe of imports of certain carbon, steel plates Reuters
China accuses U.S. of 'unfair methods' in steel dumping probe Reuters
The U.S. Department of Commerce ("DOC") has made its final decision on anti-dumping investigations on imports of corrosion-resistant steel and concluded that China, India, Italy, South Korea and Taiwan are selling these products in the U.S. market below their fair values and therefore, are subject to anti-dumping duties. The ruling marks yet another major step in stemming the torrent of unfairly-traded foreign imports. 03/02/2016 Department of Commerce imposed tariffs of up to 266% on cold-rolled steel imports. The U.S. government announced preliminary anti-dumping duties of 266% for China, 71% for Japan, 39% for Brazil, between 6% and 31% for the U.K., between 13% and 17% for Russia, 7% for India and between 2% and 7% for South Korea.
Negative Interest Rates
George Orwell said in his famous book 1984 that, “first they steal the words, then they steal the meaning”, accurately foreseeing the political actions of world leaders and their manipulation of public opinion. In Orwell’s novel, the state dominates and dehumanizes its citizens through psychological manipulations that strip them of their ability to think, be objective, consider ideas. People, thus have no alternative but to accept as necessary, true, and good, whatever the state declares to be so. He called it DOUBLESPEAK or NEWSPEAK.
“Newspeak is a language devised to limit the range of thought by collapsing distinctions, undermining logic, and confining the vocabulary to a few easily pronounced and emotionally charged terms. A mind so limited cannot truly think at all; it can only respond as programmed. It will accept black as white, war as peace, hate as love; it will allow two plus two to equal five; it will adopt as ’‘goodthink” all ideas that support the state and dismiss all others as “oldthink” or “crimethink”; and it will let “doublethink” mask all contradiction. Reality itself thus becomes whatever those in authority decree - and history can be rewritten regularly to fit that reality.“ (csmonitor.com)
2016 Republican Platform
10/15 At Trump's election-night party last week, one of his prominent campaign aides, Omarosa Manigault, told the Independent Journal Review, "It's so great our enemies are making themselves clear so that when we get in to the White House, we know where we stand.... Mr. Trump has a long memory and we're keeping a list."
Demonizing Our Opponents.
One reason is the adverse effect demonizing our opponents has on the kind of public discourse democracy needs to succeed. Democratic societies require the free exchange of ideas among a populace willing and able to make informed judgments about them. But if we fail to engage in the rational examination of ideas and seek instead to work our will through vilification and personal attack, the democratic process is subverted.
We become less able to see the strengths and genuine weaknesses of alternative viewpoints. Public discourse becomes more focused on the acquisition of power and less on the pursuit of truth, more enamored of sensationalism and less attentive to the deeper issues of our times, more interested in personalities and less in the plausibility of the policies these persons advocate. Emotionalism usurps reason; can't and prejudice prosper — and democracy suffers a dearth of meaningful social dialogue.
There are also more directly moral reasons for concern. To demonize someone goes beyond saying he is mistaken or misguided. It is, as a rule, to denounce his character and to do so in moral terms. The moral status of one's character, however, is closely tied to the moral status of one's intentions. Thus, it is a conceptual confusion to say that a person's character is evil even though their intentions are good.
So What Happened...?...election 2016
Nazi propagandist Josef Goebbels said: “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
And what does Herr Goebbels’ statement have to do with the future of the US? And why will everyone lose, no matter who wins the election?
We’ll continue to get more of what we have now: war, inflated military and intelligence service budgets, and renewed focus on irrelevant and immaterial things. Clinton’s hostility towards Russia, Syria, and Iran, plus her blind support for and deference to Israel does not bode well for America’s future. Trump’s lack of intellectual vigor, his tendency toward erratic behavior, and vow to smash ISIL mean no real change for the better. Worse, the bureaucracy, which supports the status quo, will likely operate from the shadows as the de facto government of the United States.
Steve Ballmer's project, called USAFacts Maybe there is a better way...another way.
Markets are not about beliefs, but about sentiment. And, if you can track sentiment, If you can measure sentiment... then you are in a position to make your investment account grow without the need for excuses. (...this really is all you need to know about the Markets ...
Math aptitude will help you become a dealer, make Markets if you dare, excute customer orders, but you won't be able to make $$$ by speculating in the Markets. You can't, you're not smart enough. The Markets aren't predictable enough. 90% of all trading is "technical analysis" which you are too lazy to learn. The other 10% of Market movement comes from rogue waves of economic data shocks (NEWS true or just hype = news), which surprise and wash everyone overboard, destroying the latest chart pattern you were following. Its never been truer: How do you make a small fortune trading the Markets? Start with a large fortune and you might have a chance. You don't want to do this for a living. Get out while you can. ...ChrisRupkey ...True...?...Not True...?
What is the best technical indicator...?... in Kiy's opinion...
1. PRICE...is always the best indicator...UP/Sideways/Down......it really is easy and that simple; its just that humans... they seem to need to complicate everything they touch...People are funny that way... The Markets aren't as complicate as you think...you just need to stop thinking and learn to listen to the technical indicators.
2. Bollinger Bands...%B=all about how far PRICE deviates from the average price (the mean= the average)...Commodity Channel Index CCI...
The Standard Deviation is a measure of how spread out numbers are. Deviation just means how far from the normal...the "mean".... the "average".
***Mean reversions out of extremes are the most powerful and profitable forces in all the financial markets. Riding one has enormous benefits for your wealth.(...maybe this is the 1st. Law of Trading and Investing=Buy LOW/Sell High=those "extremes", I need to KNOW how to act at those "extremes". Same as Oversold/Overbought. I need to know how to act at extremes.... Kiy...)
... it has been well said, humans think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one." Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds ...Charles Mackay 1841
(...the goal here is for you to become "one of the ones that can read the extremes"...variances/deviations...madness...)
The symbol for Standard Deviation is σ (the Greek letter sigma).
The formula is easy: it is the square root of the Variance. So now you ask, "What is the Variance?"
Variance is... The average of the squared differences from the Mean.
(...for the NERDS...) To calculate the standard deviation of numbers:
- Work out the Mean (the simple average of the numbers)
Then for each number: subtract the Mean and square the result.
Then work out the mean of those squared differences.
Take the square root of that and we are done!
https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-deviation-calculator.html (...fortunately the Bollinger Bands do all that nerdy work for you...read and lean all you can about them Bands...and then we can talk about %B...and CCI... Kiy :)
3. Stochastics ...Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. According to an interview with Lane, the Stochastic Oscillator “doesn't follow price, it doesn't follow volume or anything like that. It follows the speed or the momentum of price. As a rule, the momentum changes direction before price.” http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:stochastic_oscillator_fast_slow_and_full Buy low Sell high..."relative" to what?
4. Volume...Volume speaks VOLUMES...Volume is the number of shares traded... relative to PRICE. There are many volume studies...
How History Unlocks Deep Insights Within Today's Price and Volume Charts
History matters because markets do indeed repeat themselves. John Kenneth Galbraith was interviewed in the PBS documentary, The Crash of 1929, and he observed that every 30 years or so we predictably have a major market correction because that seems to be the length of time it takes each generation to forget the lessons of the previous generation.
Over decades of trading, I’ve developed a keen understanding of how history gets repeated. I’ve absorbed the economics and history of the Roaring ‘20s from reading books. I lived through the late 1980s when Japan was thought to be the unstoppable new global economic powerhouse. I experienced the tech and telecom boom of the late 1990s when the revolution had supposedly transformed the rules of economics, permitting permanent rapid growth. A key lesson from these experiences and many more is that fundamentals don’t matter during an emotional crisis – only the charts matter.
As the pendulum swings between the extremes of fear and greed, my charts accurately capture and quantify the collective psyche of millions of investors. My charts are exactly the same as yours, with the same vertical lines representing the days’ highs and lows and with the same boxes below representing volume. But what makes my charts more powerful is that I’ve watched, read and traded the pendulum swings enough times that these inanimate lines come alive to me.
In my mind’s eye, I see crowds of wide-eyed buyers and sellers pushing each other back and forth on the battlefield of prices where the highs and lows of the day represent the battle’s boundaries for that particular day. The tiny horizontal hash marks on the price chart are in fact immense banners. The first banner erected on the battlefield represents the opening volley where the tug of war between buyers and sellers started on that day. The second banner – and this is critical – is erected at the end of the day’s battle somewhere along the continuum of the field to celebrate and acknowledge victory or defeat by one of the two warring factions. Some days the battlefield will be very narrow, representing an equilibrium or balance of sorts amongst these auction participants. If relatively few shots are taken, then the volume will be low.
It is the complexion of this daily battle that evolves with the fluctuating fear and greed of the auction participants, thereby offering clarity and insights into the true nature of my charts. I have come to acknowledge the fact that basic human emotions haven’t changed – whether I am studying the crash of 1929 or the recent housing bubble burst. The civics might be different and the players changed, but investors’ feelings of euphoria and greed, their tendencies to fall prey to the lure of easy money or “get rich quick” schemes, even when they know that past booms have always led to busts, predictably play out in repeatable cycles over hundreds of years.
Where others see simple price lines on a chart, I see human emotions and all the personal baggage that they bring to the table as investors. I grow to understand individual markets and equities as they develop a particular normal “personality”. As Jesse Livermore said, “Every stock is like a human being: it has a personality, a distinctive personality. Aggressive, reserved, hyper, high-strung, volatile, boring, direct, logical, predictable, unpredictable,. I often studied stocks like I would study people; after a while their reactions to certain circumstances became more predictable.” It is when a chart’s normal healthy personality starts to change that my radar is set off.
The time when I pay very close attention is when the battlefield starts to expand, when the daily banner placement upon the open and the close is no longer orderly, when the tug of war between buyers and sellers starts becoming one-sided. What unlocks key nuances and insights in my charts is simply this embellished vision in my mind’s eye of the battlefield and how these very real buyers and sellers are truly expressing themselves.
Try this exercise: Rent from Netflix the film The Crash of 1929, the 60-minute PBS documentary made in 2009. Watch the expressions of the participants as you track a price and volume chart in front of you through the year leading up to the crash. The result will be that you associate these persons’ real emotions to the price and volume charts of that day. The lesson I have learned is to look closely at the charts – to price and volume day-by-day – and to literally put faces on the players who are expressing their emotions by voting with their dollars. This is what allows me to get a glimpse into their souls. If you are able to embrace a similar metaphor, then you, too, will unlock deep timely insights within your charts. Trade well; trade with discipline!-- Gatis Roze http://stockcharts.com/articles/journal/2012/11/how-history-unlocks-deep-insights-within-todays-price-and-volume-charts.html?st=volume ... https://seekingalpha.com/article/3986052-roze-tensile-trading ... https://store.stockcharts.com/collections/new-additions/products/tensile-trading-1 ...(...this is not a sales pitch...just read some of the reviews about the book...Kiy...)
Cognitive Dissonance is when one's brain holds two opposing ideas and believes both.
One needs to understand an elementary principle about human psychology: A person's wants and desires influence more than his behavior. They influence his thinking, as well, and even his powers of perception. This is true even with regard to things that would be otherwise intuitively obvious. Psychologists say that when a person is confronted by ideas or facts that are at odds with his pre-existing notions, what results is "cognitive dissonance," a sort of static in the human psyche. This "static" has the power to distort or even block perception.
When disturbing information creates "cognitive dissonance," the "static" discredits the information, so that a person does not feel compelled to cope with it, even if it is true. If a fact or idea is sufficiently contrary to his or her "status quo," the threatening data can be prevented from entering their consciousness at all! In effect, "cognitive dissonance" is a tremendously powerful "self-preservation" mechanism which can completely override the human desire for truth.
...IF we are going to find answers...the desire for truth must be present...
Criminally INSANE and Mass INSANITY Staying sane in a society gone mad is not easy. Millions of people believe themselves to be sane, but they have really just adapted to an insane society, so they appear sane within the warped paradigm of that insane society. The truly sane people appear to be insane in an insane society. It’s enough to drive a man crazy.
....and the same holds true for the Markets...sometimes more sometime less insane...our job is to show you how to step outside that insanity we call "The Markets" and make practical objective trades... not trades run from our subjective internal feelings
...it really is easy and simple; its just that humans... they seem to complicate everything they touch...People are funny that way...quirky...
And so there you have it. The Crazy has been upgraded to Crazier, and there’s no reason evenCrazierStill isn’t just around the corner. People are funny that way. (...proves my statement " Humans aren't complicated...they just complicate everything ...and then on top of complicated everything... Humans... they want a guarantee..." Lol lol lol).
Good Trades...Trade what you know best...You are only as good as your next trade......Kiy...
Color Codes Colors are based on the CCI 20 (Commodity Channel Index signal lines) ... if "letters" are colored =Green =UP...Red=down...lighter colors = less confident in direction...if leters/stock symbols are Boxed=Green =oversold..Red=overbought...§=Reverse of a Signal line(focus is the CCI centerline)... ¥= first stock to turn UP/Down after the Group/Sector has been overbought/oversold. If stock symbol is blue I either own the stock or I'm watching it and there usually a price target noted.
Earnings Observations and Valuations JAN. 06,2017 http://seekingalpha.com/article/4034920-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-outlook-2017-change-air-brings-new-highs-equity-markets
We all know by now that earnings rule the day and on that score with valuations stretched, the earnings picture has to keep improving if the markets are to continue higher. Analysts' expectations for growth in earnings and revenues will have to come to fruition to keep the long term trend in tact.
Valuations will remain a headwind for stocks as many analysts look to them as being unattractive. Additionally, while TINA (There Is No Alternative) has helped to justify higher valuations in the past, moves in fixed income markets towards the end of 2016 should remind investors that as rates rise, TINA looks less attractive. Despite the unattractive valuations that many complain about, though, there are two things to point out.
First, after more than a year of declines, earnings have troughed and that should help valuations going forward. Second, despite the overhang of rising rates we could still be in an environment where the fed funds rate is 1% or slightly higher at the end of this year. That is not a scenario that would entice me to load up on fixed income assets. The valuations in the table below should come as no surprise now. We are in a mature bull market, the days of seeing stocks and sectors well under their historical norms has passed.
Individual Stocks and Sectors JAN. 2017 http://seekingalpha.com/article/4034920-s-and-p-500-weekly-update-outlook-2017-change-air-brings-new-highs-equity-markets
Last year it was "take what the market gives you". I won't be abandoning or changing that strategy. Energy and Financials were good opportunities that presented themselves to investors in 2016. I will offer an opinion on what I believe works in 2017. First will be what I feel are the continuing momentum plays, then the undervalued, unloved, and left behind companies that are prime situations to rebound this year.
Emerging leadership is coming from the Materials (NYSEARCA:XLB), Energy (NYSEARCA:XLE), and the Financials (NYSEARCA:XLF). As momentum plays, I continue to favor these sectors on dips. Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) and Teck Resources (NYSE:TECK) are favorites of mine in the Materials space. Both have come off of their highs, can consolidate and move higher in 2017.
E&P energy companies were standouts in the back half of last year and any name on this list is worthy of a look on any pullback. Those stocks will cool down some and could trade sideways for a while, but I do not believe the upward trend is over given my outlook for WTI. Look for Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) and Oasis Petroleum (NYSE:OAS) to be leaders of the pack this year.
Banks moved higher once the election results were announced. The siege from D.C is perceived to be over. They now will serve up a trifecta for investors. Balance sheets, valuation and now the prospect for growth. They have moved and moved swiftly. The uptrend isn't over and investors need to be nimble in adding the largest money center banks on any pullbacks. One that hasn't exploded is a name to now consider. Bank Of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK). It currently sells at a discount to its peers.
ETF CandleGlance XLE,XLB, XLI,XLY,XLP,XPH,XLF,XLK,IYZ,XHB,XLRE,XRT
http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker ... http://www.barchart.com/etf/vleaders.php
Rising bond yields are good for financials like banks and insurers, but are bad for bond proxies like utilities (and REITs).
XLF CandleGlance BRK.B,*JPM,WFC, *BAC (T/24H-26H-28H-30H-32-35) ***MBI (T/$10-12) ,C,SPG,USB,CB,*AIG,*GS,
KRE CandleGlance KEY,FITB,RF,HBAN,PNC,CFG,MTB,STI,BBT,ZION, CIT, FRC EWBC
KIE Insurance ***MBI (T/$10-12)
EUFN Europe Financials...
FAZ ...financial Bear 3x... ZPAS ...PUMP AND DUMP...?
OIL Jan. 11 2018 The price of oil hit $64, which is a multi-year high. Such moves make money managers short airline stocks, as fuel is the biggest cost for airlines. Instead, both oil and airline stocks were high. This led to Boeing (NYSE:BA) stock going up as airline buy NetJets from Boeing that use lesser fuel. The market holding two opposing rallies at the same time is a sign of good health. This happened on Thursday, and Cramer said the animal spirits of the market are rolling. "Oil and airlines, they don't mix. Jet fuel is the No. 1 cost for the airlines, so they shouldn't be able to rally at the same time - unless it's their stocks we are talking about. I keep highlighting the bizarrely bullish ways that stocks are trading, and sometimes they're totally in your face, like this simultaneous move in the price of oil and the airline stocks," the Mad Money host said. Cramer...cnbc
XLE CandleGlance XOM,CVX,SLB,COP,EOG,OXY,KMI,PSX,HAL,PXD,... ...ECR (T/$2.75H-5) .... CHK (T/$4H-5-6)... QEP (T/$9H-11-13)....ECA (T/$12H-14-16)
........................................................SWN (T/$6H 7-9)...WPX (T/$14H-17-18) (ERY bear)... $BPENER
*XOP...CandleGlance exploration and production...RICE, HCF, COG, EQT, ANDV, PSX, PBF, LPI, VLO,...MRO, CLR, NFX, MUR, MPC, EGN, HES, XEC ...
.......................... APA Apache (T/$36H-40H-45H-52)... ESV (T/$6H-8) ...***MCF (T/$6-10) ...WLL (T/$20H-26H-30)........ CPE (T/$12H-13-15-16)... PBR (T/$12) next year earnings DUG
***XES...CandleGlance ¥ equip/services.DO(T/$15H19H), RES, MDR, SLB, NOV, OII, HAL, WFT, .RIG.(T/$9H-11H-13), HP, *SLCA, PTEN, SPN (T/$10H-15-20), BHI...***CRR (T/$9H-11H-12)..BRS (T/$10H-16) ..EMES... ERII (T/$14-17-20)..**ESES (T/$2-2.40-3) ***HCLP (T/$10H-12-15-17) ... CCLP (T/$5H-6H-)... FRAC (T/$17H-19H) ...
.......................SND (T/$8H-10)Smart Sand..08/03bmo ........EMES (T/$8H-9H-12) sand...FMSA ...sand HLX (T/$7H-9)... -------
12/01/2017 CELP price is $6.35...Target is $7.50-8...IF oil goes above $60 this stock should start to do better. http://www.buyupside.com/sample_portfolios/fracsand.php
ETP...Jon Najarian's pick HalfTime Report...Interstate Transportation and Storage and Pipeline (Zacks and Motley Fool are also positive... peers Enterprise Product Partners (EPD), Williams Partners (WPZ), and MPLX LP (MPLX) have “buy” ratings from 91.7%, 77.8%, and 94.1% of analysts, respectively.ETE ...Nov. 1,2017 Energy Transfer Equity, L.P....oil/gas pipeline has many 10%-15%-20% moves...
Price target for 2018 range is $19 to $24...so there is room for 20% UP from 18...and ETE also pays a 6.6% dividend...but I wouldn't chase here...just wait a little...DEC. the trade was $16...300 shares...Risk 5% to Make 10%...puts the stop at $15.20...
OIH oil services ... NOV, CLB, TS
CRAK OIL refiners... VLO ...MPC ...JXHGF ...ANDV ...GLPEF ...OMVJF ...NTOIF...
*****BOIL ...Nat. Gas ...(SEPT. 5,2017) By 2034, natural gas will overtake oil as the main source of energy, and by 2050 it will be the single largest such source globally, satisfying 27 percent of demand. That’s according to the latest Energy Transition Outlook by DNV GL, a global quality assurance and risk management services provider for the oil and gas, maritime, and power industries.
.............................. KMI (T/$23)...oil/gas pipeline Potential double in 2 years 6/20 $18.79 ... EPD (T/$32-29-30) ...*****LNG ...GASX 3xBear ETF
UGA...Gasoline Fund ...
KOL ... ***ADES (T/$10H-15-18-20) Adv. Emissions Solutions...clean coal
XLI CandleGlance .... GE, BA, MMM,HON,UTX,UPS, UNP, LMT, UPS, CAT, GD ...DHR, *FTV, CETX... CX (T/10H-12) USCR (T/$80-98) LMB (T/$17)
XLY Discretionary ...AMZN, CMCSA, HD, DIS, PCLN, CHTR, SBUX, TWX, NFX, LOW, ... MCD, NKE
No signal is perfect, but the relative performance of consumer stocks is one to watch. The reason is simple. When consumer discretionary stocks (XLY) outperform their consumer staples counterparts (XLP), a bet is being made by market participants that our economy is strong or appears to be strengthening. Keep in mind that consumer discretionary stocks sell the products that people WANT while consumer staples stocks sell the products that people NEED. The latter group represents things like soap, deodorant and toothpaste. If you're worried about your job or your declining home price, you'll still brush your teeth (hopefully). However, that $5 latte at Starbucks (discretionary item) is likely to bite the dust. So it's always important to see how this ratio (XLY:XLP) stacks up against the S&P 500 ($SPX).
XLP Consumer Staples ...PG, PM, KO, WMT, MO, PEP, CVS,WBA,COST,CL
GRPN, GES, ETSY, MIK, LVNTA, SHLD, URBN, LAD, TRIP, ... OUTR,A,ZN, PLCE,ODP,GPI,ULTA,PSMT.CAB,GME
XLK CandleGlance ...AAPL, MSFT, FB, GOOGL, GOOG, T, V, INTC, VZ, CSCO
SMH CandleGlance Semiconductor ...,MVDA, CY (T/$17H-20),IDTI,IPHI,MPWR,MU,MXIM,TXN,LLTC ...INTC (T/$42H)... ASYS (T/12H-14H) ... STM
https://www.fidelity.com/sector-investing/information-technology/overview NPTN (T/$8.50H-11) ... *****AMD (T/$11H-15) ... ***TNTR (T/$5H-9) EMKR
BOTZ...Global Robotics and Artificial Intelligence.. ISRG, (MBLY), TRMB, JBT, IRBT, BRKS, ******FARO (T/$38H-45)
ROBO CandleGlance Global Robotics&Automation...KYCCF,CYBQF,YASKF,CGNX,ISRG,OMRNF,FARO,DAIUF,NCTKF, YASKF,RAVN,FANUF,KRNNF,DAIUF,ROCK,ABLZF,NCTKF,AVAV,AMANF,ARAY,HOLI,JNPKF,BRKS ...ARAY (T/$6-7)
WEAR Wearable Technologies/Components
IRTC(T/$59-76-79) wearable biosensor with cloud-based data analytics/heart clinically actionable information.
DXCM (T/$49H-70H-95) monitor diabetes cloud-based reporting software to improve diabetes management..DexCom’s earnings conference call Wednesday executives, peppered with questions about the Libre, said the company hopes to introduce its own fingerprick-free device before the end of 2018. The comments about next-generation monitors helped assuage investors’ concerns about DexCom’s prospects. , BSX (T/$31-33-35), AAPL, GGNDF, BEAT, KN (T/$16H-20-22), AAXN, PODD, ABT --- http://www.buyupside.com/sample_portfolios/wearables.php...Market estimates vary widely, but a recent report by Grand View estimates the enterprise wearables market will be valued at more than $20B by 2025.
SKYY CandleGlance Cloud Computing ...AKAM,ORCL,EQIX,NTAP,AMZN,CSCO,OTEX,JNPR,FB ... YEXT (T/$14H-18) 4 brokers like this stock....
***TNTR (T/9-16)(LAW SUITS ON THE WAY... DTRM (T/$3-5)...
HACK Cyber Security...¥ CSCO, PANW, SYMC SPLK, JNPR, CHKP, QLYS, AKAM, PFPT. IMPV, BLOX, SAIC, FTNT,,... ***SCMP (T/$12)
FEYE (T/$16-23) http://www.buyupside.com/sample_portfolios/cybersecurity.php VDSI (T/$16)
SNSR CandleGlance § Global Internet Of Things...STM, SWKS, GRMN, ST, MBLY,DXCM, AUKUF, BRCD, CY, JCI,SLAB,BDC,IDCC,ADI ... ****IOTS (T/$7H-10) ...
Global Internet Of Things ...According to researchers, the global market for in 2020 is going to be worth $373 billion in terms of sales. Hardware will account for 52% of sales — devices ranging from personal wearable technology to smart homes to connected cars. The remaining 48% will pour in from the software and analytics required to turn the copious amounts of data generated by hardware into usable information. Leading market research firm IDC forecasts China to spend $128 billion on IoT by 2020. India’s spending will come in around $10 billion to $12 billion by 2020. And forecast sales for the Middle East and Africa are at $11 billion by 2019.
The IoT is revolutionizing how we use things around us. By collecting data and analyzing it for efficiency, cost, comfort, safety and other preferences, we’re making life safer, better and cheaper. This is why the IoT mega trend is a huge focus across my services.
Make no mistake, the Internet of Things is kind of a big deal. The Internet of Things is not really one industry, but rather the ability of devices and machines to communicate with each other over an internet network. This new technology should pave the way for increased speed, automation, and data collection for all enterprises and consumers in the years ahead. It's an exciting technology and opportunity. It's estimated that by 2020, there will be 50 billion connected devices and the market will be worth over $7.1 trillion. While many investors looking to ride this technological wave are focused on the semiconductor companies that will make such communications possible, chip stocks are not the only plays on this trend. (Motley Fool)
*HDP (T/$21) In addition to its Hortonworks Data Platform (HDP) for processing stored data (data at rest), the company also has a relatively new product called Hortonworks DataFlow (HDF) specifically geared toward the Internet of Things. HDF collects and processes purchase, sensor, and asset data in real time and feeds this information into either a data lake for analysis or directly into streaming applications. In its most recent quarter, Hortonworks installed HDF in eight of its 10 largest new deals, showing that the platform has a lot of promise and that large enterprises are investing in IoT solutions. Hortonworks certainly looks to be in good position to capture its share of the IoT wave.
The deployment of 5G connectivity It’s different than the now-common 4G connectivity that powers your smartphone in that even as fast as 4G is, only one connection per radio frequency can be made at a time. With fifth-generation signals, the network understands and manages the high-speed connections being made at any given time by a massive number of devices, allowing them to share radio frequencies with minimal degradation of their connection speed. That’s how 5G connections will effectively be up to three times faster than 4G connections are.
5G connectively is in its infancy, however, only being tested in real-world settings rather than sold as an outright feature for wireless phone subscribers. Wireless telecom carriers know, however, the real opportunity in 5G is in providing the backbone for the radio-based connections the real rise of IoT will require. It’s coming though, and soon.
AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) (T/$40)is setting the stage for a major victory on the 5G front, though you won’t see it until next year; it’s not ready for mass rollout just yet. Ditto for T-Mobile US Inc (NASDAQ:TMUS), which recently caught up with AT&T in its effort to reach 5G speeds in excess of one gigibit per second.Indeed, T-Mobile is on track to unveil the nation’s first narrowband IoT network next year, directly addressing and removing one of the key bottlenecks that had been holding the movement back.
Sierra Wireless, Inc. (USA) (NASDAQ:SWIR)
PRNT 3D Printing 3D printingindustry.com International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Semi-Annual 3D Printing Spending guide is predicting that the rapid expansion of the 3D printing industry is expected to continue without slowing down. According to the IDC analysts, global revenues for the 3D printing market will explode to a massive $35.4 billion by the year 2020. With 2016 revenues expected to reach $15.9 billion which means the industry could nearly double within the next five years. http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/3dx-industries-metal-printing-division-positioned-for-assertive-growth-in-2017-otcqb-dddx-2189898.htm
.......DDD 3D SystemS , ***SSYS.(T/$24H-33) Stratasys ..
......... ............. ***XONE (T/$18).. ExOne. metals printing is the fastest growing 3D printing space VJET (T/$5.75) Voxeljet ....MTLS Materialise Sftwre... DDDX 3D Ind
IYZ Telecom. § VZ, T, TMUS, LVLT, S, VG, SHEN, TDS CLT, CNSL, SBAC, FTR, .... WIN...11/09/2017 AT&T Plans to Bring 5G Evolution to Over 20 Metros by End of Year...Is the reason I'm a buyer... http://about.att.com/story/5g_evolution_to_over_20_metros_in_2017.html
5G Evolution Will Deliver Twice the Speed and Infinite Possibilities
PXQ Networking... QCOM,APH,AAPL,CHKP,CSCO,VMW,CA,CTXS,FNSR,BLOX ...GIMA,LOGM,... 08/08amc *****SSNI (T/$11H-13H-16H) Smart Grid IOT...ssni is being bought by Itrom; some lawsuits say they disagree...
.......................INFN (T/$14.50)...poor guidance PRIVX ... Silicon Valley venture capital,late stage,pre-IPO companies...
XHB Home Builders PHM, DHI, TPX, MHK, TOL, NVR, LEN, MAS, FBHS, HD, WHR, RH,OC, LOW ....ITB
XLRE Real Estate CandleGlance (2.7%) AMT,SPG, CCI, EQIX, PLD, PSA, HCN, AVB, WY,EQR, .... DRV 3X bear IYR
XLV Healthcare JNJ, PFE, UNH, MERK, AMGN, ABBV, MDT, GILD, CELG, BMY, AGN ....$BPHEAL
XPH...CandleGlance ¥ Pharmaceuticals...HZNP, BMY, PRGO, PFE, MNK, JNJ, ZTS, LLY, MRK, AKRX, MYL,AGN,ENDP... ... ABC bellwether .. PPH Pharmaceutical
XHE...CandleGlance Healthcare Equipment HTWR,DXCM,ABMD,RMD,COO,ICUI,SYK,IDXX,BCR,IART
XHS ...CandleGlance Healthcare Services ... BEAT, CNC,HUM, LH, INH, CI, TDOC, AET, ANTM, ACHC
IHI Medical Devices MDT,ABT,TMO,DHR,SYK,BDX,ISRG,BAX,ZBH 08/08amc *****CTSO (T/$10-13)...Cytosorbents AEMD ...
Among the top holdings in the funds are Medtronic PLC (MDT) which specializes in cardiovascular technologies, lab-equipment provider Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) and Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) which makes equipment for robotic-assisted surgery. The names mentioned are stocks of high-growth companies regardless of any roll back of the medical-device tax. The IHI fund has surged over 26% since Jan. 1.
IHF Healthcare Providers ...GMRE (T/$10.50) divedend=9%...KND (T/$9) dividend 7.5%
MJX Marijuana ...
IYT...CandleGlance Transportation... LSTR,HRI,UPS,ALGT,CHRW,KSU,UHAL,MIC,NSC,ODFL ...XTN
Transportation Average which includes airline, railroad, and package-delivery companies, has been diverging from the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This is viewed as a sign of overall weakness in the market because so-called Dow theorists posit that the companies that move goods and services should be climbing in lockstep with the broader market. When they don’t, it is viewed as a bearish signal and one that may eventually see the broader market fall.
SEA CandleGlance Shipping TNK,EURN,TGP,NMM,SSW,SFL,TK, ****TNP (T/$5.50) ... STNG (T/$7)
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic $BDI...Baltic Dry Index
XAR... CandleGlance Aerospace and Defense ...LMT,HII,NOC,TGD,UTX,LLL,HON,RTN,BA,GD... AAXN (T/$32)
XLU...CandleGlance ...Utilities ..NEE,DUK,SO,D,AEP,EXC,PCG,SRE,PPL,EIX ...NRG...JE (T/$7.50-10)
TAN...Solar FSLR,SCTY,GCPEF,TERP,TSL,SPWR,CAFD,ABY ... ENPH (T/$2.00H-4.50)...Enphase’s new IQ microinverters...
................VSLR (T/$4H-6) .. ***WNDW... RUN (T/$7H-8-10) ...***JASO (T/$7H)
GEX Global Alt. Energy...VWSYF, TSLA, ETN, FSLR, NDRBF, LTWIF, ENS, ITRI, CREE, GAM, ORA, POWI,CVA,...CLPXF, NIBE B... PEIX T/$11-14)
ICLN Global Clean Energy...CLPXF,OEZVF,CVA,CHFFF,VWSYF, FSLR, EPWDF, IDA, PEGI, ENIA,
PHO Water Resources WAT,ROP,ECL,DHR,HDS,IEX,PNP,TTC,AOS,XLY,RXN,AWK,VMI...TTEK,WTR,
CGW Global Water Index... GBERF, AWK,XYL, PNR,DHR, IEX....... (CDZI...Water Utility)
Xylem Inc (NYSE:XYL) is a major provider of water industry engineering solutions. The company has a large presence in China as well. Increasing urbanization, coupled with a massive population, could be a recipe for water supply disaster in China.
Pentair plc. Ordinary Share (NYSE:PNR) specializes in all things water. The company provides products and services in water purification and filtration. Additionally, PNR provides irrigation management, desalination and aquaculture systems services.
According to Pictet Asset Management analyst Arnaud Bisschop, water filtration is key. PNR’s consumer-targeted water filtration products may soon be the best option for people living in regions lacking clean water.
URA Uranium ...DUK,SO,*D,*PCG,EXC,PEG,XEL,AEE,MHVYF,KEP ...CCJ (T/$16) ...NXE...
Uranium producers are surging after Kazakhstan’s state-run uranium miner - the world's largest - says it is cutting production by 20% in an attempt to lift prices and help clear a glut that has roiled the global markets since the 2011 Fukushima reactor meltdown.
Cameco (CCJ +14.6%) jumps as much as 18% on the news, putting the stock on track for its strongest daily showing in nine years.
Also: WWR +4.9%, DNN +15%, UUUU +16.7%, URG +11.9%, UEC+15.8%.
ETFs: URA, NLR
LIT CandleGlance ...FMC, SQM, TSLA, ALB, BYDDF, PCRFF, GYUAF, OROCF, GALXF, SGPEF, JCI SPECULATION STOCKS click on the link to see more..
XLB... Materials .¥..DWDP, MON,PX,ECL, APD, SHW, LYB, PPG, IP, NEM, DD, DOW,
XME... CandleGlance ...CNX, ATI, AA, CMC, RS, NUE, STLD, BTU, FCX, HL, SWC, CLF, RGLD, NEM, WOR, SCHN, CDE
DBB Base Mentals
SLX...CandleGlance ...TX, TS, MT, X, STLD, RS, NUE, RIO, PKY, SID,WOR,VEDL,GGB ... ¥CLF (T/$9) ****AKS (T/$7), .VALE (T/$10H-15),
JJU Aluminum CandleGlance ...AA,ACH,CENX,KALU ...CSTM (T/$9H)
COPX Global Copper...TCK,HBM,FQVLF,TRQ,IPMLF,CS FFF, FCX (T/$12H-16),OZMLF,VDNRF... NSU .... (CPER) ... Copper (JJC )
1 Oversold... 4 UP... 25 Overbought ... 14 Down... last update 01/23..
2 Oversold... 3 UP... 24 Overbought ... 12 Down... last update 01/22..
2 Oversold... 2 UP... 20 Overbought ... 10 Down... last update 01/22..
4 Oversold... 0 UP... 20 Overbought ... 10 Down... last update 01/19..
4 Oversold... 0 UP... 23 Overbought ... 17 Down... last update 01/18..
4 Oversold... 0 UP... 27 Overbought ... 9 Down... last update 01/17..
3 Oversold... 1 UP... 28 Overbought ... 11 Down... last update 01/16..
2 Oversold... 1 UP... 33 Overbought ... 8 Down... last update 01/12..
3 Oversold... 1 UP... 31 Overbought ... 9 Down... last update 01/11..
2 Oversold... 1 UP... 26 Overbought ... 14 Down... last update 01/10..
1 Oversold... 5 UP... 33 Overbought ... 6 Down... last update 01/09..
0 Oversold... 5 UP... 35 Overbought ... 3 Down... last update 01/08..
2 Oversold... 3 UP... 35 Overbought ... 3 Down... last update 01/05..
2 Oversold... 4 UP... 34 Overbought ... 3 Down... last update 01/04..
1 Oversold... 4 UP... 32 Overbought ... 7 Down... last update 01/03..
0 Oversold... 7 UP... 24 Overbought ... 13 Down... last update 01/02..
2 Oversold... 10 UP... 16 Overbought ... 15 Down... last update 12/28..
1 Oversold... 11 UP... 19 Overbought ... 13 Down... last update 12/28..
1 Oversold... 13 UP... 18 Overbought ... 12 Down... last update 12/27..
1 Oversold... 8 UP... 15 Overbought ... 15 Down... last update 12/26..
2 Oversold... 9 UP... 16 Overbought ... 12 Down... last update 12/22..
4 Oversold... 10 UP... 18 Overbought ... 11 Down... last update 12/21..
3 Oversold... 12 UP... 18 Overbought ... 9 Down... last update 12/20..
1 Oversold... 14 UP... 18 Overbought ... 5 Down... last update 12/19..
2 Oversold... 16 UP... 19 Overbought ... 7 Down... last update 12/18..
5 Oversold... 9 UP... 8 Overbought ... 19 Down... last update 12/15..
The inflation pipeline has three stages. The first stage is the price of raw materials. The second stage is the price companies pay for raw materials (producer price inflation). The third stage is what companies charge consumers for their products (CPI inflation). It all starts with the direction of commodity prices. Strangely, that's the part that economists (and the Fed) pay no attention to. How can economists expect to predict the final stage of CPI inflation, if they ignore the first stage which is the direction of commodity prices? ...John Murphy StockCharts.com
Rising interest rates are usually bad news for physical gold and silver, because it increases the opportunity cost of owning precious metals. You see, neither gold nor silver offers investors a yield, whereas a U.S. Treasury bond does give a near-guaranteed return that's growing a bit larger with each interest rate hike from the Fed. A higher yield on Treasury notes is usually a recipe for precious-metal selling and bond buying.
PICK...Global Mining Producers Index x Gold and Silver ...
CPER...Copper ...JJC... FCX (T/$16H-19H)
SLX Steel ... RIO,TX,VEDL,VALE,TS,
JJN Nickel ETN
SIL Silver Miners WPM=SLW (T/$25-29) POYYF, *****CDE (T/$9-13)...****PAAS (T/$17.50H-29), Silver mines ... ***HL (T/$5-8.50), SSRM, .........AGI. ****NDM.TO...***AG (T/$11-14)08/04 miss, First Majestic has historically been one of the better precious metal miners at generating cash flow per share ...*****EXK(T/$5-7.50),***FSM (T/$9),****GPL (T/$2)
GDX Gold Miners NEM, ABX, FNV.TO, GG, AEM, WPM, GOLD, RGLD, KGC, SLW, AU...NGD AUY (T/$4.50)... OGC.TO (T/$5)...
****KLDX (T/$6.25), NCMGF.AX
GDXJ...Junior Gold Mines BTG.TO,AGI,AG,PAAS,CELTF.L,HL,NG.TO,OKSKF.TO,IAG,
SPPP... PLATINUM/PALLADIUM... PGM
Agriculture last update 01/09
VEGI Global Agriculture ...PAGG Global Agriculture ...JJA Agriculture Subindex... GRU Grains ... WEAT Wheat ...*CORN... DBA... SANW (T/$6.5 )
UBC Livestock... ***COW........ ... MOO
JO coffee... http://www.buyupside.com/sample_portfolios/coffee.php SGG sugar
$BDI...Baltic Dry Index http://dynamiccommodities.com/
...Screening Criteria: Price > $5; Est 1 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Est 5 Yr EPS Growth > 25%; Avg Analyst Rec > Buy
*** http://x-fin.com/ ... intrinsic value of a stock index on a stand-alone basis should not be used for investment decisions: what is important is relative valuation of one index versus the other, as it allows identification of over- or undervalued sectors and national markets. We've just introduced an entirely new metric for identification of market overbought and oversold conditions - the stock market validation index. It is a unique measure of the market, as it is based on intrinsic value of stocks and has nothing to do with technical analysis. Even though we are confident of the capacity of the validation index to predict stock market movements also over the short-term horizon, we do not have yet enough statistical data to prove it. So, we would recommend to use its indications with caution.
***https://finance.yahoo.com/screener http://www.incrediblecharts.com/candlestick_patterns/candlestick-patterns.php www.mcoscillator.com https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/fcx http://www.shadowstats.com/ https://www.marketbeat.com/
***http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/stock-market http://technical-analysis.forexlive.com/ http://www.thelion.com/
... ( http://www.thelion.com/bin/forum.cgi?cmd=most_searched
) http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/index.html http://www.highshortinterest.com/ http://www.miningmx.com/ http://biohealthinvestor.com/ http://www.biomedreports.com/ http://www.biospace.com/ https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ Leveraged S&P ETFs: Beware Of Volatility http://www.barchart.com/cheatsheet.php?sym=USO http://www.thechairmansblog.com/ http://etfdb.com/etf/
Top ten economies of the world 2017; 1 U.S.A. 2 China 3 Japan 4 Germany 5 U.K. 6 France 7 India 8 Italy 9 Brazil 10 Canada
Year 2021... According to projected GDP, the top 10 economies in 2021 will be: 1 China 2 U.S.A 3 India 4 Japan 5 Germany 6 Russia
7 Indonesia 8 Brazil 9 U.K. 10 France/Mexico
Ishares 2017 GeoPolitical Calendar and related ETFs
World Markets CandleGlance
Country ETFs...CandleGlance EZU Europe CandleGlance) .....Austria *EWO... Belgium *EWK ... France EWQ.. Germany EWG ... Greece GREK... Ireland IRL . .. Italy EWI......Netherlands EWN...Portugal PGAL...Spain EWP...Switzerland EWL ...Sweden EWD... Poland EPOL... Denmark *EDEN... Finland EFNL... Norway ENOR....United Kingdom EWU... Turkey TUR...
...this is idiot "doublespeak" and this jackass ran the biggest banking Crook outfit in the world... ...
- Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve Board Chair...
eazy money= at very low interest and companies buying back shares.................................................
When disturbing information creates "cognitive dissonance," the "static" discredits the information, so that a person does not feel compelled to cope with it, even if it is true. If a fact or idea is sufficiently contrary to his or her "status quo," the threatening data can be prevented from entering their consciousness at all! In effect, "cognitive dissonance" is a tremendously powerful "self-preservation" mechanism which can completely override the human desire for truth.