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Rusty's Fantasy Football
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9/3/2015 7:19:39 AM
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- Posts Today:
FANTASY FOOTBALL IS HERE!!!
Don't even try to act like you're not excited too! We
are both here on Investorshub reading about
fantasy football instead of stocks, aren’t we?
Ok, so my goal for this board is to just share overall knowledge and love for this sport (fantasy football, duh!). I know a lot of people actually
about specific teams, players, and all that voo doo jazz, but I'm specifically interested in
~ not just football talk ~ Get my drift?
I won my 12 person league last year. Go me! And I made "some" money piddling around on FANDUEL ..... but I kinda got addicted to the fantasy aspect and that's why I'm here making a board to talk about it. So share, care, and show me your picks, if you dare!
Ok, So I get this shenanigans a lot. "How do you actually WIN at daily (weekly) fantasy football?" I actually find it VERY entertaining to read through the comments section of fanduels facebook page..... People suggesting that it's somehow "rigged" so that insiders on fanduel can win .... LOL .....
They're making way more money legitimately taking 10% of all the house money than they would by illegally stealing it ......
But the answer to how to WIN money is simple, yet complex. First and foremost, you have to score more points than your opponent(s). This is accomplished by various methods of attack but it should vary based on what type of matchup you're competing in.
Proven winning method for 50/50's and head to head matchups that I like to employ is to use a broad selection of proven starters. This takes some work to find a way to fill a rooster with players who are all likely to do well. Most likely, you can't fill up a team on the $60,000 salary cap format with all guys who are studs. Various methods of making this work for you could be to pick one stud running back and one questionable on, same with WR's and then take the Defense and kicker you think have the best matchups. Once you've got a lineup you're happy with, fling it into a bunch of different matchups between 50/50, small leagues, and head to head matchups.
Now, how the heck do people actually WIN these crazy tournaments? Many times it seems almost as if the winning lineups were almost picked by magic. Like, you see them, and you say HOW THE F$%* did they decide to pick those guys???
The tournaments are NOT easy ..... If they were, I'd be writing this from my yacht (I'm not....) But you can put yourself in the money more times than not by following a few simple methods.
I'm a true believer of playing guys who are in the best matchups. But how do you determine that?
I really like to use the following ESPN website ~ it shows you the statistics from last year. Filter it based on the teams with the WORST passing defense ~ PLAY QB's and WR's and TE's who are playing against the worst 5 teams! Then, filter that thing based on the WORST rushing defense ~ now play the RB's running against these teams.
So, that's one of my methods for picking guys who are likely to do well on a weekly basis. Bad defense = breakout possibility! Then I juggle guys around in an attempt to get the right lineup to fit based on the salary cap requirements. Sometimes you can pick a few nice studs and supplement that with a guy who is positioned against a bad defense and give yourself a great weekly lineup. See what you can do to give yourself the leg up on the competition.
Another proven method is also picking guys based on the OVER/UNDER score for the game as a whole. Las Vegas sets this point spread every week based on some magical formula I'm sure someone paid more than I and much better at math than I discovered. It's basically the TOTAL SCORE that Vegas thinks the game will score, so the higher the over/under score, the higher percentage that this game will be a very high scoring game. If you're torn between starting two different guys at the same position, if one is in a game with a high over/under and the other is in a low over/under game, it would make sense to pick the guy who is more likely to end up in a higher scoring game.
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