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Last Post: 12/5/2008 11:20:03 PM - Followers: 10 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

This board was created to follow the performance of algorithms that I have already, and will in the future develop. Description and backtesting results for Algorithm 1: #msg-26507894 Okay, now that the historical data seems to make sense, here's where I'll track actual trading (well, mostly. If I miss something for one reason or another, I'll probably still post it here to keep track of it, but will try to keep up with it enough to not have that as a potential issue). Each instance will be lessened by $10 for commission. My goal is to turn $3,000 into $100,000 over the next few years. It would take about 75 consecutive 5% gaining trades to get there, under my crude "98%" rule as described in the "Ending Balance" description above (and it's about 72 trades just using 1.05^72, so it doesn't make a huge difference). There have been 15 "buy signals" since the beginning of September, of which I would have purchased 11. A rough estimate, assuming similar prevalence and performance, would suggest that this is possible in 18 months. For the record, no, I don't think I can actually pull it off, but let's see how it goes... Beginning Balance: $3,000 12/18/07 bought 265 shares MCGC @ 11.25 #msg-25378188 12/18/07 sold 265 shares MCGC @ 11.82 $ Profit: $141.05 % Profit: 4.7% Ending Balance: $3,140.05 Overall G/L $: $141.05 Overall G/L %: 4.7% 12/19/07 Bought 120 shares NCS @ 25.55 #msg-25411362 #msg-25416555 12/21/07 Sold 120 shares NCS @ 26.92 #msg-25482643 $ Profit: $154.40 % Profit: 5.0% Ending Balance: $3,294.45 Overall G/L $: $294.45 Overall G/L %: 9.82% 12/19/07 Did Not buy VC @ open of $4.23 #msg-25411362 12/21/07 VC hits 5% from Wednesday's open. #msg-25489675 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. Note: #msg-25672360 1/2/08 Bought 165 shares WCC @39.60 #msg-25657579 #msg-25672157 1/8/08 Sold 165 shares WCC @ $35.64 #msg-25837116 $ Loss: $663.40 % Loss: -10.2% of purchase, 20.1% of balance. Ending Balance: $2,631.05 Overall G/L $: -$368.95 Overall G/L %: -12.3% 1/10/08 Did Not buy SBGI @ open of $4.46 1/16/08 Would have sold SBGI @ close for $4.66 for about 2%. #msg-26061780 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 1/22/08 Bought 500 shares DBRN @ $10.13 #msg-26147491 #msg-26175425 1/22/08 Sold 500 shares DBRN @ $10.65 #msg-26175425 $ Profit: $250.00 % Profit: 4.9% Ending Balance: $2,881.05 Overall G/L $: -$118.95 Overall G/L %: -4.0% 1/25/08 Did Not buy CWTR @ open of $4.74 1/28/08 Would have sold CWTR @ $4.98 for 5%. #msg-26345935 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 1/29/08 Bought 210 shares RJF @ $27.23 #msg-26350129 #msg-26351534 #msg-26371171 2/1/08 Sold 210 shares RJF @ $28.60 #msg-26463252 $ Profit: $277.70 % Profit: 4.9% Ending Balance: $3,158.75 Overall G/L $: $158.75 Overall G/L %: 5.3% 1/29/08 Did Not buy MW @ open of $23.73 #msg-26350129 1/31/08 Would have sold MW @ $24.92 for 5%. #msg-26439124 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 2/8/08 Bought 172 shares MWIV @ $36.72 #msg-26650646 #msg-26654043 2/14/08 Sold 172 shares MWIV @ $35.97 #msg-26832877 $ Profit: -$139.00 % Profit: -2.2% Ending Balance: $3,019.75 Overall G/L $: $19.75 Overall G/L %: 0.7% 2/14/08 Did Not buy PNSN @ open of $10.77 due to holding of MWIV #msg-26813726 #msg-26820397 2/15/08 Bought 550 shares PNSN @ $10.50 #msg-26885646 2/19/08 Sold 550 shares PNSN @ $11.04 #msg-26926257 $ Profit: $287.00 % Profit: 5.0% Ending Balance: $3,306.75 Overall G/L $: $306.75 Overall G/L %: 10.2% 2/15/08 Did Not buy KNL @ open of $13.60 due to holding of PNSN #msg-26848753 2/22/08 Would have sold KNL at close of $13.43 for a loss of 1.25% #msg-27081760 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 2/19/08 Did Not buy ONNN @ open of $5.90 due to holding of PNSN #msg-26919792 2/21/08 Would have sold ONNN @ $6.20 for 5%. #msg-26992190 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 2/21/08 Bought 125 shares ZION @ $51.70 #msg-26990881 2/22/08 Sold 125 shares ZION @ $49.40 #msg-27026861 $ Profit: -$307.50 % Profit: -4.8% Ending Balance: $2,999.25 Overall G/L $: -$0.75 Overall G/L %: -0.0% 2/27/08 Would have sold 125 shares ZION @ close of $52.92 for a gain of 2.4% #msg-27175250 2/26/08 Bought 85 shares EQIX @ $69.15 #msg-27116336 #msg-27117864 2/28/08 Sold 85 shares EQIX @ $72.61 #msg-27209501 $ Profit: $284.10 % Profit: 4.8% Ending Balance: $3,283.35 Overall G/L $: $283.35 Overall G/L %: 9.4% 3/3/08 Bought 275 shares NFP @ $23.84 #msg-27281111 #msg-27289701 3/7/08 Sold 275 shares NFP @ $23.62 #msg-27448893 $ Loss $70.50 % Loss 1.1% Endign Balance: $3,212.85 Overall G/L $: $212.85 Overall G/L %: 7.1% 3/4/08 Did Not buy NIHD @ open of $39.90 due to holding of NFP #msg-27323132 3/10/08 Would have sold NIHD @ close of $34.40 for a loss of 13.8% #msg-27508070 3/4/08 Did Not buy STMP @ open of $8.84 due to holding of NFP #msg-27323132 3/5/08 Would have sold STMP @ $9.29 for 5%. #msg-27366284 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 3/5/08 Did Not buy LTM @ open of $29.99 due to holding of NFP #msg-27357960 Note: This one gapped up over 4%, so I would not have bought it even if I was not holding something else. But to be fair, I am including it at that high price anyway, since I didn't specify that in my post. 3/11/08 Would have sold LTM @ close of $28.45 for a loss of 5.1% #msg-27542449 3/5/08 Did Not buy ICTG @ open of $8.79 due to holding of NFP #msg-27357960 3/11/08 Would have sold ICTG @ close of $8.86 for a gain of 0.8% #msg-27542449 3/10/08 Bought 800 shares ABK @ $7.98 #msg-27486426 #msg-27494458 3/10/08 Sold 800 shares ABK @ $8.33 #msg-27495859 $ Profit: $270.00 % Profit: 4.8% Ending Balance: $3,482.85 Overall G/L $: $482.85 Overall G/L %: 16.1% 3/12/08 Bought 400 shares FTEK @ $17.10 #msg-27556580 #msg-27557307 3/18/08 Sold 400 shares FTEK @ $17.96 #msg-27733092 $ Profit: $334.00 % Profit: 4.9% Ending Balance: $3,816.85 Overall G/L $: $816.85 Overall G/L %: 27.2% 3/12/08 Did Not buy GVA @ open of $30.15 due to holding of FTEK #msg-27556580 3/14/08 Would have sold GVA @ 31.66 for 5%. #msg-27736553 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 3/14/08 Did Not buy LVLT @ $1.86 due to holding of FTEK #msg-27631801 #msg-27632435 3/18/08 Would have sold LVLT @ $1.96 for 5%. #msg-27745570 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 3/14/08 Did Not buy CHV @ $42.50 due to holding of FTEK #msg-27631801 #msg-27635199 3/20/08 Would have sold ICVH @ close of $41.97 for a loss of 1.25% #msg-27863944 3/18/08 Did Not buy DXCM @ $4.39 due to holding of FTEK #msg-27726894 3/18/08 Did Not buy SBKC @ $7.00 due to holding of FTEK #msg-27726894 3/19/08 Would have sold SBKC @ $7.35 for 5%. #msg-27762436 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 3/24/08 Bought 1950 shares IDT @ $3.84 #msg-27859662 #msg-27860923 3/24/08 Sold 1950 shares IDT @ $4.04 #msg-27862662 $ Profit: $380.00 % Profit: 5.1% Ending Balance: $4,196.85 Overall G/L $: $1,196.85 Overall G/L %: 39.9% 3/24/08 Did Not buy OMRI @ $12.59 #msg-27859662 3/24/08 Would have sold OMRI @ $13.21 for 5%. #msg-27863828 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 3/27/08 Bought 2400 shares NEXC @ $3.40 #msg-27961609 3/27/08 Sold 2400 shares NEXC @ $3.57 #msg-27971269 $ Profit: $408.00 % Profit: 5.0% Ending Balance: $4,604.85 Overall G/L $: $1,604.85 Overall G/L %: 53.5% 3/31/08 Bought 110 shares CKH @ $82.75 #msg-28056198 #msg-28057465 4/4/08 Sold 110 shares CKH @ $85.19 #msg-28292145 $ Profit: $258.40 % Profit: 2.8% Ending Balance: $4863.25 Overall G/L $: $1,863.25 Overall G/L %: 62.1% 4/3/08 Did Not buy MTG @ $11.64 #msg-28160024 #msg-28161873 4/4/08 Would have sold MTG @ $10.77 for a loss of 7.5% #msg-28873841 No change to dollar amount since I didn't buy. 4/8/08 Bought 750 shares SCS @ $11.35 #msg-28294923 4/14/08 Sold 750 shares SCS @ $10.65 (+$0.15 dividend) #msg-28482822 $ Loss: $425.50 % Loss: 5.0% Ending Balance: $4,437.75 Overall G/L $: $1,437.75 Overall G/L %: 47.9% Overall "Actual" Tally since 12/18/07 (Includes only those purchased): Buy Signals: 16 5% Gainers: 10 G/L of other 4: -20.5% Total G/L: 47.9% Overall "Paper Trading" Tally since 12/18/07 (Assuming I didn't miss any, and put an equal amount in each): Buy Signals: 32 5% Gainers: 19 G/L of other 11: -36.4% Total G/L: 58.6%
PostSubject
#282   PC- how's the full time trading working out john wayne 12/05/08 11:20:03 PM
#281   Glad to here you won't be eating turkey Rawnoc 11/26/08 03:42:51 PM
#280   Nope. My trading in this method mostly PCola77 11/26/08 03:40:31 PM
#279   Is your $3,000 now $100,000 yet? Just Rawnoc 11/26/08 03:35:43 PM
#278   Well I'm glad you enjoy it. Your john wayne 11/15/08 10:52:33 PM
#277   It is a ton of fun. Instead of PCola77 11/15/08 08:15:50 PM
#276   Great to hear. Man in this market it john wayne 11/15/08 06:38:45 PM
#275   Going very well so far,thanks. I have a PCola77 11/15/08 05:58:31 PM
#274   Pcola your trading full time now right? How's john wayne 11/15/08 12:53:25 AM
#273   New one for today is HLF. PCola77 11/07/08 09:24:19 AM
#272   In ULTI at 14.25 PCola77 11/04/08 09:38:07 AM
#271   New one for today is ULTI PCola77 11/04/08 09:23:42 AM
#270   New one for today is EXEL. PCola77 11/03/08 08:30:28 AM
#269   New one from Friday that I forgot to PCola77 11/03/08 08:30:12 AM
#268   There are 2 new signals for today. PCola77 10/28/08 08:45:51 AM
#267   Actually, I tried to edit my response. What TEX 10/25/08 11:19:39 AM
#266   oh, yeah--I would never suggest someone take a TEX 10/25/08 11:03:37 AM
#265   Okay, to be totally honest it was more PCola77 10/25/08 08:53:20 AM
#264   no... I disagree: You were "nervous." That's *not* a TEX 10/25/08 12:32:28 AM
#263   Well, there was one for today, but I PCola77 10/24/08 12:33:35 PM
#262   Well, I finally bit the bullet and decided PCola77 10/20/08 01:17:01 AM
#261   ZOLT is one for today. Still not PCola77 08/18/08 09:56:37 AM
#260   No problem PCola.......... itrytowin 08/11/08 03:59:02 PM
#259   Thanks, but you should probably read my post PCola77 08/11/08 02:54:54 PM
#258   Bad news folks (for me anyway). PCola77 08/11/08 02:51:56 PM
#257   Thank you PCola itrytowin 08/10/08 01:35:40 PM
#256   There are 4 new ones for today, and PCola77 08/05/08 09:22:37 AM
#255   In VCLK at 10.83 PCola77 07/24/08 09:34:54 AM
#254   VCLK is a new one for today. PCola77 07/24/08 09:22:07 AM
#253   Opened at 21.41, closed yesterday at 21.51, and PCola77 07/08/08 10:36:09 AM
#252   BEAV is a new one for today. I PCola77 07/08/08 09:15:50 AM
#251   CVH was 30.06 when I posted about it PCola77 07/02/08 09:51:25 AM
#250   Two new ones for today INT & CVH. PCola77 07/01/08 09:31:30 AM
#249   Good call on this one Pcola. Didnt have thetraveler 06/25/08 08:28:16 PM
#248   Wow, went nuts today, topping out so far PCola77 06/25/08 11:04:34 AM
#247   Another new one for today. FSNM PCola77 06/24/08 09:24:14 AM
#246   In SBGI at 8.00 for 1100 shares. PCola77 06/13/08 03:56:09 PM
#245   After a long lull in the action (and PCola77 06/13/08 09:19:08 AM
#244   It's up now. Was up and down today, PCola77 06/03/08 11:31:55 PM
#243   Pcola, is A/S down? I cant access it. thetraveler 06/03/08 10:06:48 PM
#242   I see 2 recent buys, but a TON PCola77 05/20/08 07:27:30 PM
#241   PCola, did LNG come up on your scan. thetraveler 05/20/08 10:55:09 AM
#240   Its all good. The stock gods really stuck thetraveler 05/19/08 01:21:37 PM
#239   Sorry man. The stock gods sure know PCola77 05/19/08 12:45:07 PM
#238   Well, I didnt do worth a squat with thetraveler 05/19/08 11:23:33 AM
#237   Out at 12.84. Lost about 3.5%. PCola77 05/06/08 04:06:56 PM
#236   Whoops, should have gotten out of WCBO at PCola77 05/06/08 03:13:57 PM
#235   Got WCBO at 13.34 at 200 shares. Should thetraveler 04/29/08 02:26:21 PM
#234   In WCBO for 650 shares at 13.30 average PCola77 04/29/08 09:43:30 AM
#233   Looks like I never "closed" MTG. It PCola77 04/29/08 09:16:46 AM
PostSubject