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Last Post: 3/21/2019 9:24:32 PM - Followers: 5 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

ETFs, Leveraged ETFs, Sector Funds

♦  The original version of this board was to focus on Mutual Sector Funds for the purpose of optimizing 401K accounts
♦  The scope has since expanded to include much more input and dialogue on ETFs, Sector ETF's and Leveraged ETF


ETFdb Screener              https://etfdb.com/screener/
ETF Channel https://www.etfchannel.com/
Ichimoku Trading Strategy https://tradingstrategyguides.com/best-ichimoku-strategy/
ETF Strategy https://www.etfstrategy.com/
FX Empire https://www.fxempire.com/
Celsisu Energy http://www.celsiusenergy.net/
finviz Futures https://finviz.com/futures.ashx

ETF Heat Maps
Mar 22nd, 2019 Daily

Mar 22nd, 2019 Weekly

Mar 22nd, 2019 Monthly

Mar 22nd, 2019 YTD

Relative Rotation Graph S&P SPDR's 3/15/19


SPX 500 Daily 3/15/19

The Daily is "above the cloud" but price has rolled over this week.  Where is support?

SPX 500 Weekly 3/15/19

Hit resistance and fell back into the cloud

SPX 500 Monthly 3/15/19

So when will the monthly get back to the cloud?

The Ichimoku Kinkou Hyo Cloud Indicator

Ichimoku = “One look, glance”.

Kinkou = “Balance, equilibrium”.

Hyo = “Chart, Graph.


Metals & Energy

Through The Cloud - Favorite Plays

Still going strong.  Chanels and clouds.  Got out too soon or should have re-entered on Mar 9th when price reversed above the conversion line.

What a difference a week makes.  Last week everything seemed to have rolled over and looked in danger of falling hard.

Sold and then it rebounded

India very strong

Anatomy of a Cloud Trade

GUSH 3X Bull Oil & Gas

The Buy 

I had been watching oil recover right along with the general market since the Christmas '18 low.  It was ja nagging felling I couldn't shake that I had to be in oil/GUSH.  Was I tool late?  Where do I get in?  The paralysis of thinking I needed to catch the absolute bottom...or nothing.  Ichimoku cloud strategy has helped me to get more focused and methodical in trading.  This includes incoporating other indicators/strategies to deepen my trading plan.

I use four key elements
- Different Time Frames
- Ichimoku Cloud
- 5/10 MA avarage crossovers
- RSI(14) and a 20 MA crossover

I haven't had a clear view on where to trade on the GUSH daily chart.  I ended up buying based on the 30 min below.  It's clearer now on the daily my nagging feeling about needing to get in GUSH.  Here are my summary thoughts on the set up of the buy:
- The reversal at Christmas of the entire market became known in the last week of Dec and early Jan as every chart started showing it's V-shaped reversal
- Oil has been tracking the market generally pretty closely
- The first days of Jan showed all 3 of my indicators signalling an agressive buy.
- Jan 2nd price closedd above the Ichimoku blue conversion line - an agressive buy indicator
- The 20 MA of RSI(14) had already moved off it's bottom but the RSI(14) signal eased above the RSI itself - another early indicator
- the 5 MA of price was inching above the 10 MA
- This this was really good alignment of the three indicators...BUT I WASN"T WATCHING IT OR THINKING ABOUT IT IN THIS MANNER

Intuitivvely I knew that I had missed a signal.

The drop in the first week of Feb on the price of oil and GUSH paralled the markets drop.  In retrospect, if you look at the SPX daily chart above, the drop is cought and reversed at the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  I eventually looked more at the 30-min chart.  I didn't necessarily follow the steps below but I chased an entry once I saw what the chart was saying.  I still got in within a good buy zone.
- "A" on the chart was the first early signal pointing to a reversal of the downtrend - RSI(14) crossed definitively above the 20MA of RSI(14)
- "1" and "B" happend within a day of each other.  "1" - priced closed above the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  "B" - The 5 MA of price crossed aboe the 10 MA
- The first vertical line would have been a great point to buy (I wish), but...
- "2" is where the price candle closed above the 26-period red base line.  AND "3" is where the 9-period blue conversion line crossed above the 26- period red base line.
- Another go signal
- I knew on the 11th I wanted in the next day
- Then I saw the futures that night and crude was going to gap up the next day
- I still wanted in and ended up buying the first pull back of the day on the 12th
- I should have known it was likely that price would pull back to at least the 9-period blue line but I was anxious.  Price closed below my buy point on the 12th.
- According to Ichimoku, it wasn't until the 13th with another gap up and a candle close ("4") above the cloud that the best buy signal was given.  It could have been an opportunity to add to the position.
- Or when price pulled back to below the conversion line.

The Sell

I closed the trade on the 15th primarily because it hit a (fuzzzy in my mind) target of 10% or more AND I didn't want to hold over the 3 day weekend.
Simple, but much easire than where to buy!
PlusOneCoin Top Posts
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#648   Ride that wave! No-Quarter 03/21/19 09:24:32 PM
#647   GUSH on the move and a break above stiv 03/21/19 07:51:44 PM
#646   Could the Silver Price Really Hit $130 per SlaptheSwing 03/21/19 06:33:08 PM
#645   Sheesh...back in GUSH at $11.10...fifty cents higher than stiv 03/20/19 11:52:10 AM
#644   That one was last Friday. Was kicking stiv 03/19/19 09:55:25 PM
#643   The flag you have drawn is as good No-Quarter 03/19/19 09:13:42 PM
#642   Can't stop looking at GUSH and wondering when stiv 03/17/19 01:39:27 PM
#641   You are right...it's getting awfully low. I stiv 03/16/19 11:35:41 PM
#640   The VIX is coming back down. Might No-Quarter 03/15/19 05:41:56 PM
#639   Nice work. Outstanding actually. ~16% return No-Quarter 03/15/19 02:52:31 PM
#638   Also closed LABU at $62.89 for +12%. stiv 03/15/19 07:22:44 AM
#637   Locking in GUSH today +16% stiv 03/14/19 10:28:35 AM
#636   I reversed course yesterday. Sold my inverse stiv 03/12/19 06:46:34 AM
#635   Sweet!! stiv 03/11/19 09:35:22 AM
#634   GUSH Buy Signal on the 30 min chart stiv 03/10/19 01:50:35 PM
#633   DGAZ : UGAZ 2 hour look stiv 03/09/19 11:35:03 AM
#632   BTW...I actually tried to short UGAZ yesterday with stiv 03/09/19 10:55:55 AM
#631   I like the reasoning and I like the stiv 03/09/19 10:51:02 AM
#630   On a side note, the S&P is looking No-Quarter 03/07/19 11:25:09 AM
#629   I bought DGAZ @ $89 this morning. No-Quarter 03/07/19 10:56:52 AM
#628   Buying DGAZ today, and here is my reasoning. No-Quarter 03/07/19 10:40:13 AM
#627   I'm thinking its time to buy DGAZ. No-Quarter 02/27/19 09:36:29 AM
#626   This helps, thank you! No-Quarter 02/24/19 06:29:42 PM
#625   I wish I would have caught 10%, but stiv 02/22/19 07:36:36 PM
#624   If you have a few moments this weekend, No-Quarter 02/22/19 03:37:17 PM
#623   PPLT is moving up and above today. stiv 02/22/19 11:56:38 AM
#622   Well I jumped back out with +4%. stiv 02/21/19 09:18:14 PM
#621   I have been watching this one. It No-Quarter 02/21/19 08:06:27 PM
#620   Also picked up UBOT today at $11.14. stiv 02/19/19 09:15:31 PM
#619   In UGAZ at $30.31 but missed 3% at stiv 02/19/19 09:58:23 AM
#618   I might try to find a quick 10% stiv 02/19/19 07:37:44 AM
#617   My interpretation is it's still in the cloud stiv 02/19/19 07:26:43 AM
#616   So if I am reading the daily GUSH No-Quarter 02/19/19 03:35:45 AM
#615   I really wanted to get it all down stiv 02/18/19 09:02:47 PM
#614   OK, I have studied your GUSH daily and No-Quarter 02/18/19 05:39:10 PM
#613   Hey NQ...I just updated last night so you stiv 02/13/19 12:49:26 PM
#612   The board has a new name! No-Quarter 02/13/19 09:14:49 AM
#611   OK, you have me convinced in the value. No-Quarter 02/13/19 09:11:10 AM
#610   This was a fun little trade. Bought stiv 02/12/19 05:35:19 AM
#609   No problem for me...it's what Sector Surfer refers stiv 02/10/19 07:49:28 PM
#608   First off, I greatly appreciate the time you No-Quarter 02/10/19 04:28:34 PM
#607   In DPST 3X Regional Banks today at about stiv 02/04/19 08:00:46 PM
#606   US Industry Indices ETFs 2_1_19 stiv 02/03/19 04:32:26 PM
#605   Playing around on SB Sunday waiting for the game stiv 02/03/19 04:12:17 PM
#604   Through the cloud. In SOXL and like stiv 02/03/19 01:08:58 PM
#603   Here's a super bowl weekend look at GUSH...and stiv 02/03/19 12:32:35 PM
#602   I'll look again over the weekend. I stiv 02/01/19 01:40:24 PM
#601   Wow, THANK YOU for the charts. I No-Quarter 01/31/19 05:12:08 PM
#600   The market liked a lot of things today. stiv 01/30/19 07:50:13 PM
#599   This week could be the pivot up for No-Quarter 01/30/19 09:07:24 AM