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Last Post: 3/27/2020 1:18:25 PM - Followers: 5 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

ETFs, Leveraged ETFs, Sector Funds

♦  The original version of this board was to focus on Mutual Sector Funds for the purpose of optimizing 401K accounts
♦  The scope has since expanded to include much more input and dialogue on ETFs, Sector ETFs and Leveraged ETFs


ETFdb Screener              https://etfdb.com/screener/
ETF Channel https://www.etfchannel.com/
Ichimoku Trading Strategy https://tradingstrategyguides.com/best-ichimoku-strategy/
ETF Strategy https://www.etfstrategy.com/
FX Empire https://www.fxempire.com/
Celsisu Energy http://www.celsiusenergy.net/
finviz Futures https://finviz.com/futures.ashx


ETF Heat Maps
Feb 28, 2020 Daily

Feb 28, 2020 Weekly

Feb 28, 2020 Monthly

Feb 28, 2020 6 Months

Relative Rotation Graph S&P SPDR's 02/28/2020 


SPX 500 Daily 03/06/2020

SPX 500 Weekly 03/06/2020

SPX 500 Monthly 03/06/20

The Ichimoku Kinkou Hyo Cloud Indicator

Ichimoku = “One look, glance”.

Kinkou = “Balance, equilibrium”.

Hyo = “Chart, Graph.


Metals & Energy


Anatomy of a Cloud Trade

GUSH 3X Bull Oil & Gas

The Buy 

I had been watching oil recover right along with the general market since the Christmas '18 low.  It was ja nagging felling I couldn't shake that I had to be in oil/GUSH.  Was I tool late?  Where do I get in?  The paralysis of thinking I needed to catch the absolute bottom...or nothing.  Ichimoku cloud strategy has helped me to get more focused and methodical in trading.  This includes incoporating other indicators/strategies to deepen my trading plan.

I use four key elements
- Different Time Frames
- Ichimoku Cloud
- 5/10 MA avarage crossovers
- RSI(14) and a 20 MA crossover

I haven't had a clear view on where to trade on the GUSH daily chart.  I ended up buying based on the 30 min below.  It's clearer now on the daily my nagging feeling about needing to get in GUSH.  Here are my summary thoughts on the set up of the buy:
- The reversal at Christmas of the entire market became known in the last week of Dec and early Jan as every chart started showing it's V-shaped reversal
- Oil has been tracking the market generally pretty closely
- The first days of Jan showed all 3 of my indicators signalling an agressive buy.
- Jan 2nd price closedd above the Ichimoku blue conversion line - an agressive buy indicator
- The 20 MA of RSI(14) had already moved off it's bottom but the RSI(14) signal eased above the RSI itself - another early indicator
- the 5 MA of price was inching above the 10 MA
- This this was really good alignment of the three indicators...BUT I WASN"T WATCHING IT OR THINKING ABOUT IT IN THIS MANNER

Intuitivvely I knew that I had missed a signal.

The drop in the first week of Feb on the price of oil and GUSH paralled the markets drop.  In retrospect, if you look at the SPX daily chart above, the drop is cought and reversed at the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  I eventually looked more at the 30-min chart.  I didn't necessarily follow the steps below but I chased an entry once I saw what the chart was saying.  I still got in within a good buy zone.
- "A" on the chart was the first early signal pointing to a reversal of the downtrend - RSI(14) crossed definitively above the 20MA of RSI(14)
- "1" and "B" happend within a day of each other.  "1" - priced closed above the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  "B" - The 5 MA of price crossed aboe the 10 MA
- The first vertical line would have been a great point to buy (I wish), but...
- "2" is where the price candle closed above the 26-period red base line.  AND "3" is where the 9-period blue conversion line crossed above the 26- period red base line.
- Another go signal
- I knew on the 11th I wanted in the next day
- Then I saw the futures that night and crude was going to gap up the next day
- I still wanted in and ended up buying the first pull back of the day on the 12th
- I should have known it was likely that price would pull back to at least the 9-period blue line but I was anxious.  Price closed below my buy point on the 12th.
- According to Ichimoku, it wasn't until the 13th with another gap up and a candle close ("4") above the cloud that the best buy signal was given.  It could have been an opportunity to add to the position.
- Or when price pulled back to below the conversion line.

The Sell

I closed the trade on the 15th primarily because it hit a (fuzzzy in my mind) target of 10% or more AND I didn't want to hold over the 3 day weekend.
Simple, but much easire than where to buy!
#1110   I bailed out of USLV and JNUG at No-Quarter 03/27/20 01:18:25 PM
#1109   Might be another hint as to what is No-Quarter 03/26/20 08:05:45 PM
#1108   Me too. I made a chart as well stiv 03/26/20 06:55:13 AM
#1107   I'm becoming concerned about this. No-Quarter 03/25/20 11:25:13 PM
#1106   Here is a chart showing consensus SPY targets No-Quarter 03/25/20 03:42:25 PM
#1105   OILU and OILD (3X oils) restricted to closing stiv 03/25/20 10:27:40 AM
#1104   Hmmm,...once again. No-Quarter 03/25/20 09:03:20 AM
#1103   Yes, yes. So difficult. To catch stiv 03/24/20 10:12:09 PM
#1102   3x ETF's getting wonky again today. No-Quarter 03/24/20 08:43:21 PM
#1101   From the PM I just sent you - No-Quarter 03/24/20 07:54:49 PM
#1100   I didn't realize it at the time, but No-Quarter 03/24/20 04:54:22 PM
#1099   Nope, I was right the first time. No-Quarter 03/24/20 01:04:16 PM
#1098   Lookie at this tonight... No-Quarter 03/23/20 11:55:22 PM
#1097   I have noticed during this market swoon that stiv 03/23/20 08:20:53 PM
#1096   I couldn't help myself today. I sold my No-Quarter 03/23/20 05:13:25 PM
#1095   Looks like the House and Senate need another No-Quarter 03/23/20 11:00:13 AM
#1093   Yikes, the GDP and tax revenue clocks are No-Quarter 03/23/20 08:58:18 AM
#1092   Silver continuous contract stiv 03/22/20 04:25:27 PM
#1091   From what I have read and heard, and No-Quarter 03/22/20 02:57:52 PM
#1090   30, 15, 10, 5, 2, 1 mins USLV stiv 03/22/20 10:58:00 AM
#1089   USLV 4, 2, 1 hour charts stiv 03/22/20 10:26:14 AM
#1088   Thank you! I have a lot of stiv 03/22/20 09:38:05 AM
#1087   Yellow boxes are target zones. Looking for No-Quarter 03/21/20 09:50:15 PM
#1086   Next week I will be watching for the No-Quarter 03/21/20 08:38:45 PM
#1085   That suggests we have a lot further to drop... No-Quarter 03/21/20 04:47:55 PM
#1084   VIX in trouble again... No-Quarter 03/21/20 04:20:00 PM
#1083   investorshub.advfn.com/uimage/uploads/2020/3/21/lbohxspx_mmma21_1970_2_li nowwhat2 03/21/20 02:37:14 PM
#1082   Sent you a PM. No-Quarter 03/21/20 01:51:07 PM
#1081   Hum, something appears broken at Direxion. Both No-Quarter 03/21/20 09:20:00 AM
#1080   From last weekend Sunday. No-Quarter 03/21/20 07:18:15 AM
#1079   One more thing, I have read much grousing No-Quarter 03/20/20 09:22:16 PM
#1078   I caught the tail end of an interview No-Quarter 03/20/20 08:52:54 PM
#1077   Thank you for the insight. No-Quarter 03/20/20 06:30:10 PM
#1076   FYI, here is my cross reference list of No-Quarter 03/20/20 01:56:22 PM
#1075   ...and its is done on both blue and No-Quarter 03/20/20 12:12:17 PM
#1074   This infuriates me. Insider trading. Nothing less. No-Quarter 03/20/20 10:53:32 AM
#1073   Let's see...first of all the huge volatile moves stiv 03/19/20 08:07:45 PM
#1072   Last Friday, and again today, two days when No-Quarter 03/19/20 04:27:40 PM
#1071   Wow...I am at a loss on how to stiv 03/18/20 08:30:01 PM
#1070   Here is the same thing using your favorite chart. No-Quarter 03/18/20 04:55:05 PM
#1069   Interesting. Looks like the professionals are as No-Quarter 03/18/20 03:54:45 PM
#1068   Last bar on a 10 min chart. stiv 03/18/20 03:35:10 PM
#1067   Stock and commodity deals of a lifetime are No-Quarter 03/18/20 03:17:48 PM
#1066   Yup, that one is going to sting for No-Quarter 03/17/20 09:39:41 PM
#1065   I know that one has to hurt. stiv 03/17/20 09:15:42 PM
#1064   Start listening at 13:30, listen closely from 14:30 No-Quarter 03/17/20 08:19:46 PM
#1063   Good call! Thank you stiv 03/17/20 01:58:18 PM
#1062   Speculation is people are dumping gold and silver No-Quarter 03/17/20 01:42:42 PM
#1061   Normally not, but beginning work-at-home 1-2 days a No-Quarter 03/17/20 12:45:50 PM
#1060   Are you able to work from home and stiv 03/17/20 12:37:05 AM