Home > Boards > Free Zone > Industry Specific >

ETFs, Leveraged ETFs, Sector Funds

RSS Feed
      Hide Sticky   Hide Intro
Moderator: stiv Assistants: stiv, No-Quarter
Search This Board: 
Last Post: 2/28/2021 11:04:07 PM - Followers: 9 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 0

ETFs, Leveraged ETFs, Sector Funds

♦  The original version of this board was to focus on Mutual Sector Funds for the purpose of optimizing 401K accounts
♦  The scope has since expanded to include much more input and dialogue on ETFs, Sector ETFs and Leveraged ETFs


ETFdb Screener              https://etfdb.com/screener/
ETF Channel https://www.etfchannel.com/
Ichimoku Trading Strategy https://tradingstrategyguides.com/best-ichimoku-strategy/
ETF Strategy https://www.etfstrategy.com/
FX Empire https://www.fxempire.com/
Celsisu Energy http://www.celsiusenergy.net/
finviz Futures https://finviz.com/futures.ashx


ETF Heat Maps
Aug 21stth, 2020 Daily

Aug 21st, 2020 Weekly

Aug 21st, 2020 Monthly

Aug 21st, 2020 6 Months

Relative Rotation Graph S&P SPDR's 08/21/2020 


SPX 500 Daily 08/21/2020

SPX 500 Weekly 08/21/2020

SPX 500 Monthly 08/21/20

The Ichimoku Kinkou Hyo Cloud Indicator

Ichimoku = “One look, glance”.

Kinkou = “Balance, equilibrium”.

Hyo = “Chart, Graph.


Metals & Energy

"" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">;

Anatomy of a Cloud Trade

GUSH 3X Bull Oil & Gas

The Buy 

I had been watching oil recover right along with the general market since the Christmas '18 low.  It was ja nagging felling I couldn't shake that I had to be in oil/GUSH.  Was I tool late?  Where do I get in?  The paralysis of thinking I needed to catch the absolute bottom...or nothing.  Ichimoku cloud strategy has helped me to get more focused and methodical in trading.  This includes incoporating other indicators/strategies to deepen my trading plan.

I use four key elements
- Different Time Frames
- Ichimoku Cloud
- 5/10 MA avarage crossovers
- RSI(14) and a 20 MA crossover

I haven't had a clear view on where to trade on the GUSH daily chart.  I ended up buying based on the 30 min below.  It's clearer now on the daily my nagging feeling about needing to get in GUSH.  Here are my summary thoughts on the set up of the buy:
- The reversal at Christmas of the entire market became known in the last week of Dec and early Jan as every chart started showing it's V-shaped reversal
- Oil has been tracking the market generally pretty closely
- The first days of Jan showed all 3 of my indicators signalling an agressive buy.
- Jan 2nd price closedd above the Ichimoku blue conversion line - an agressive buy indicator
- The 20 MA of RSI(14) had already moved off it's bottom but the RSI(14) signal eased above the RSI itself - another early indicator
- the 5 MA of price was inching above the 10 MA
- This this was really good alignment of the three indicators...BUT I WASN"T WATCHING IT OR THINKING ABOUT IT IN THIS MANNER

Intuitivvely I knew that I had missed a signal.

The drop in the first week of Feb on the price of oil and GUSH paralled the markets drop.  In retrospect, if you look at the SPX daily chart above, the drop is cought and reversed at the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  I eventually looked more at the 30-min chart.  I didn't necessarily follow the steps below but I chased an entry once I saw what the chart was saying.  I still got in within a good buy zone.
- "A" on the chart was the first early signal pointing to a reversal of the downtrend - RSI(14) crossed definitively above the 20MA of RSI(14)
- "1" and "B" happend within a day of each other.  "1" - priced closed above the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  "B" - The 5 MA of price crossed aboe the 10 MA
- The first vertical line would have been a great point to buy (I wish), but...
- "2" is where the price candle closed above the 26-period red base line.  AND "3" is where the 9-period blue conversion line crossed above the 26- period red base line.
- Another go signal
- I knew on the 11th I wanted in the next day
- Then I saw the futures that night and crude was going to gap up the next day
- I still wanted in and ended up buying the first pull back of the day on the 12th
- I should have known it was likely that price would pull back to at least the 9-period blue line but I was anxious.  Price closed below my buy point on the 12th.
- According to Ichimoku, it wasn't until the 13th with another gap up and a candle close ("4") above the cloud that the best buy signal was given.  It could have been an opportunity to add to the position.
- Or when price pulled back to below the conversion line.

The Sell

I closed the trade on the 15th primarily because it hit a (fuzzzy in my mind) target of 10% or more AND I didn't want to hold over the 3 day weekend.
Simple, but much easire than where to buy!
#1519   Maybe you know all this already, but this No-Quarter 02/28/21 11:04:07 PM
#1518   That is an interesting observation. Just a No-Quarter 02/27/21 09:37:41 PM
#1517   Strange timing stiv 02/27/21 05:49:47 PM
#1516   Now that is a chart !! No-Quarter 02/22/21 09:41:53 PM
#1515   These run so fast...but I have scalped my stiv 02/22/21 08:01:04 PM
#1514   RIOT and BFARF pulling back too. No-Quarter 02/22/21 02:59:49 PM
#1513   FYI, No-Quarter 02/22/21 01:33:39 PM
#1512   Thank you! This helps. No-Quarter 02/18/21 07:16:11 PM
#1511   Looking at it differently. Back to your stiv 02/18/21 11:57:43 AM
#1510   Interesting...I think you can also look at market stiv 02/18/21 11:41:11 AM
#1509   Cathie Wood yesterday on CNBC. I listen No-Quarter 02/18/21 06:58:23 AM
#1508   You have good spreadsheet and evaluation skills. Maybe No-Quarter 02/17/21 11:26:30 PM
#1507   I don't blame you. NatGas is a No-Quarter 02/16/21 01:22:06 PM
#1506   I've sold out the position in BOIL. stiv 02/16/21 12:40:48 PM
#1505   ...further support for Apple to be on the No-Quarter 02/16/21 12:30:35 PM
#1504   Now Morgan Stanley leaning into Bitcoin... No-Quarter 02/16/21 12:14:07 PM
#1503   Watch for this to develop in the coming No-Quarter 02/16/21 07:36:55 AM
#1502   Fantastic and very good work. I benefited stiv 02/16/21 06:49:26 AM
#1501   In mid-December 2020, I put ~10% of my No-Quarter 02/15/21 06:59:41 PM
#1500   Price movement seems anything but natural in the stiv 02/15/21 05:32:56 PM
#1499   But NatGas futures prices have not moved today. Hummm... No-Quarter 02/15/21 05:18:06 PM
#1498   Thanks for the info! Blackouts are spreading stiv 02/15/21 03:37:48 PM
#1497   FYI - No-Quarter 02/14/21 09:55:05 PM
#1496   And of course...jumped back in BOIL premarket. stiv 02/01/21 09:31:08 AM
#1495   Well, that channel is done. I've thinned stiv 01/31/21 01:04:53 PM
#1494   This is going to be interesting... stiv 01/27/21 06:53:19 PM
#1493   Nice. The fast MACD is somewhat like stiv 01/24/21 12:12:44 PM
#1492   I agree here. Unfortunately, I think the stiv 01/24/21 10:12:19 AM
#1491   FYI, GLTY No-Quarter 01/23/21 12:43:31 PM
#1490   IF BOIL is going to make a run No-Quarter 01/23/21 10:53:42 AM
#1489   Here is a different charting approach for swing No-Quarter 01/23/21 09:40:01 AM
#1488   The likely reason bitcoin is down today; No-Quarter 01/11/21 08:07:51 AM
#1486   LABU and LABD stiv 01/10/21 02:59:29 PM
#1485   SOXL and SOXS stiv 01/10/21 02:56:48 PM
#1484   TECL and TECS stiv 01/10/21 02:16:23 PM
#1483   AGQ and ZSL stiv 01/10/21 02:04:53 PM
#1482   Ahh MARA...I was in for a few hours stiv 01/10/21 01:57:15 PM
#1481   Yes, I found this new 3x gold miners No-Quarter 01/10/21 01:09:03 PM
#1480   New 3X Gold ETFs GDXU and GDXD stiv 01/10/21 11:25:48 AM
#1479   I started looking to flip this by riding No-Quarter 01/02/21 08:11:40 AM
#1478   I like Barrick (GOLD) and building a long stiv 01/01/21 02:07:19 PM
#1477   Interesting perspective on 2021 from a gold enthusiast No-Quarter 01/01/21 01:36:30 PM
#1476   Well today ended up nicely...which makes me wonder stiv 12/31/20 06:24:35 PM
#1475   More of the same here - No-Quarter 12/31/20 06:33:48 AM
#1474   I am currently playing two 'lottery tickets'; NatGas, No-Quarter 12/31/20 01:38:25 AM
#1473   For more info - No-Quarter 12/31/20 01:31:14 AM
#1472   I agree. See link at bottom of post. No-Quarter 12/31/20 01:30:19 AM
#1471   Ugly day in the natural gas trade...ouch. stiv 12/28/20 08:55:34 AM
#1470   The Boom of 2021 stiv 12/27/20 10:17:18 PM
#1469   I took the leap... No-Quarter 12/17/20 04:06:08 PM
Consent Preferences