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Last Post: 10/16/2019 9:44:49 AM - Followers: 5 - Board type: Free - Posts Today: 1

ETFs, Leveraged ETFs, Sector Funds

♦  The original version of this board was to focus on Mutual Sector Funds for the purpose of optimizing 401K accounts
♦  The scope has since expanded to include much more input and dialogue on ETFs, Sector ETFs and Leveraged ETFs


ETFdb Screener              https://etfdb.com/screener/
ETF Channel https://www.etfchannel.com/
Ichimoku Trading Strategy https://tradingstrategyguides.com/best-ichimoku-strategy/
ETF Strategy https://www.etfstrategy.com/
FX Empire https://www.fxempire.com/
Celsisu Energy http://www.celsiusenergy.net/
finviz Futures https://finviz.com/futures.ashx


ETF Heat Maps
Oct 11th, 2019 Daily

Oct 11th, 2019 Weekly

Oct 11th, 2019 Monthly

Oct 11th, 2019 YTD

Relative Rotation Graph S&P SPDR's 10/11/19 


SPX 500 Daily 10/11/19

SPX 500 Weekly 10/11/19

SPX 500 Monthly 10/11/19

The Ichimoku Kinkou Hyo Cloud Indicator

Ichimoku = “One look, glance”.

Kinkou = “Balance, equilibrium”.

Hyo = “Chart, Graph.


Metals & Energy


Anatomy of a Cloud Trade

GUSH 3X Bull Oil & Gas

The Buy 

I had been watching oil recover right along with the general market since the Christmas '18 low.  It was ja nagging felling I couldn't shake that I had to be in oil/GUSH.  Was I tool late?  Where do I get in?  The paralysis of thinking I needed to catch the absolute bottom...or nothing.  Ichimoku cloud strategy has helped me to get more focused and methodical in trading.  This includes incoporating other indicators/strategies to deepen my trading plan.

I use four key elements
- Different Time Frames
- Ichimoku Cloud
- 5/10 MA avarage crossovers
- RSI(14) and a 20 MA crossover

I haven't had a clear view on where to trade on the GUSH daily chart.  I ended up buying based on the 30 min below.  It's clearer now on the daily my nagging feeling about needing to get in GUSH.  Here are my summary thoughts on the set up of the buy:
- The reversal at Christmas of the entire market became known in the last week of Dec and early Jan as every chart started showing it's V-shaped reversal
- Oil has been tracking the market generally pretty closely
- The first days of Jan showed all 3 of my indicators signalling an agressive buy.
- Jan 2nd price closedd above the Ichimoku blue conversion line - an agressive buy indicator
- The 20 MA of RSI(14) had already moved off it's bottom but the RSI(14) signal eased above the RSI itself - another early indicator
- the 5 MA of price was inching above the 10 MA
- This this was really good alignment of the three indicators...BUT I WASN"T WATCHING IT OR THINKING ABOUT IT IN THIS MANNER

Intuitivvely I knew that I had missed a signal.

The drop in the first week of Feb on the price of oil and GUSH paralled the markets drop.  In retrospect, if you look at the SPX daily chart above, the drop is cought and reversed at the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  I eventually looked more at the 30-min chart.  I didn't necessarily follow the steps below but I chased an entry once I saw what the chart was saying.  I still got in within a good buy zone.
- "A" on the chart was the first early signal pointing to a reversal of the downtrend - RSI(14) crossed definitively above the 20MA of RSI(14)
- "1" and "B" happend within a day of each other.  "1" - priced closed above the 9-period blue conversion line on the Ichimoku.  "B" - The 5 MA of price crossed aboe the 10 MA
- The first vertical line would have been a great point to buy (I wish), but...
- "2" is where the price candle closed above the 26-period red base line.  AND "3" is where the 9-period blue conversion line crossed above the 26- period red base line.
- Another go signal
- I knew on the 11th I wanted in the next day
- Then I saw the futures that night and crude was going to gap up the next day
- I still wanted in and ended up buying the first pull back of the day on the 12th
- I should have known it was likely that price would pull back to at least the 9-period blue line but I was anxious.  Price closed below my buy point on the 12th.
- According to Ichimoku, it wasn't until the 13th with another gap up and a candle close ("4") above the cloud that the best buy signal was given.  It could have been an opportunity to add to the position.
- Or when price pulled back to below the conversion line.

The Sell

I closed the trade on the 15th primarily because it hit a (fuzzzy in my mind) target of 10% or more AND I didn't want to hold over the 3 day weekend.
Simple, but much easire than where to buy!
#831   I will likely be flipping into UGAZ this No-Quarter 10/16/19 09:44:49 AM
#830   Took a small portion of UGAZ today. stiv 10/15/19 04:14:21 PM
#829   A few vix pics. That Friday fade stiv 10/13/19 09:47:51 AM
#828   Quite a bounce back last week and looks stiv 10/12/19 09:11:57 PM
#827   Looks like I will be doing some shuffling No-Quarter 10/11/19 06:09:04 PM
#826   Thanks...good one. It definitely fits my bottom stiv 10/11/19 01:55:09 PM
#825   An alternate crude oil play idea for you - No-Quarter 10/11/19 11:37:56 AM
#824   No-Quarter DNR I reposted it on the DHOT60 board dude iligence 10/11/19 11:05:12 AM
#823   The last two weeks have had ugly beginnings stiv 10/11/19 07:30:06 AM
#822   Thanks for the info. I also read stiv 10/11/19 07:08:17 AM
#821   I learned a new word this week - Contango No-Quarter 10/10/19 09:33:09 PM
#820   Silver price manipulation, FYI No-Quarter 10/09/19 11:17:05 PM
#819   $1.805 is likely wishful thinking, but could be No-Quarter 10/09/19 05:35:39 PM
#818   Its early, but it could be the Slope No-Quarter 10/09/19 03:01:24 PM
#817   Got into TVIX and silver yesterday. My stiv 10/08/19 11:21:05 AM
#816   Oil patch looking good. Bottoming patterns on stiv 10/06/19 12:57:02 PM
#815   DFEN 3X defense looks ripe for a nice stiv 10/06/19 10:29:13 AM
#814   Im still feel good about holding DGAZ over No-Quarter 10/05/19 05:40:41 PM
#813   Im feeling better about hold DGAZ over the weekend... No-Quarter 10/04/19 09:39:47 PM
#812   If I knew the answer to that question...I stiv 10/04/19 03:33:24 PM
#811   I was away from my desk for most No-Quarter 10/04/19 03:17:06 PM
#810   Winter will be here soon. No-Quarter 10/04/19 10:13:01 AM
#809   I think you are still on the right stiv 10/04/19 10:05:35 AM
#808   I am still holding DGAZ. Although it No-Quarter 10/04/19 09:25:37 AM
#807   Congrats. My day job gets in the No-Quarter 10/03/19 11:26:35 PM
#806   Cleared the deck of all shorts. Mainly stiv 10/03/19 04:04:50 PM
#805   I bought in at 13.11 and sold at stiv 10/03/19 01:44:45 PM
#804   What you have identified may be called a No-Quarter 10/02/19 10:42:21 PM
#803   Picking up on this again...checking the 30-min I stiv 10/02/19 06:18:56 PM
#802   Still holding SOXS, RUSS and TECS. Sold stiv 10/02/19 06:08:05 PM
#801   Just noticed $0 commission trades with TD Ameritrade No-Quarter 10/02/19 03:38:27 PM
#800   SOXS up ~10% in the past ~5 days. No-Quarter 10/02/19 12:44:50 PM
#799   There's the poke through on the SPX...it happened stiv 10/02/19 12:04:38 PM
#798   The drop in NatGas continues... No-Quarter 10/02/19 12:03:18 PM
#797   I drew a wedge on the PMO chart. No-Quarter 10/02/19 11:37:41 AM
#796   Yes that little uptick on the 30-min is stiv 10/01/19 09:52:13 PM
#795   You mean the slight tail whip up on No-Quarter 10/01/19 06:03:33 PM
#794   Great stuff NQ. There is certainly a stiv 10/01/19 05:18:35 PM
#793   Daily Forecast No-Quarter 10/01/19 06:38:50 AM
#792   One more - No-Quarter 09/30/19 11:10:26 PM
#791   Make of it what you wish - No-Quarter 09/30/19 10:39:07 PM
#790   I stumbled onto a new source of information No-Quarter 09/30/19 03:35:09 PM
#789   It was close enough for me on Thursday. No-Quarter 09/29/19 02:15:31 PM
#788   I had a good week this past week stiv 09/29/19 09:30:33 AM
#787   Looks like there was a microscopic cross on stiv 09/29/19 09:26:07 AM
#786   This is why DGAZ is up today - No-Quarter 09/26/19 12:07:01 PM
#785   Sold GUSH yesterday at $3.50 for a ~40 No-Quarter 09/26/19 10:52:06 AM
#784   Here is a 1 year view of SPX. No-Quarter 09/25/19 11:28:16 AM
#783   SPX histogram crossed the zero line today, and No-Quarter 09/24/19 09:41:47 PM
#782   Out of UWT this morning (ouch). Holding stiv 09/24/19 12:40:47 PM