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>>> Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Churchill Downs, Online Wagering, and Gaming. The company owns and operates Derby City Gaming, a historical racing machine in Louisville, Kentucky; online horse racing wagering platform, TwinSpires.com; and offers sports betting and iGaming through BetAmerica platform. It also operates 5 racetracks, including Churchill Downs Racetrack in Louisville, Kentucky; Arlington International Race Course in Arlington Heights with 12 off-track betting (OTB) facilities in Illinois; Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans along with 14 OTBs in Louisiana; and Calder Race Course in Miami Gardens, Florida. In addition, the company operates 8 casinos, which provides brick-and-mortar casino gaming services with approximately 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals and 200 table games; and operates hotels. Further, it offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. Additionally, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses; and provides totalizator services. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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>>> Philip Morris Raises Bottom of Earnings Estimate, Boosts Dividend
Philip Morris raises the bottom of its estimated earnings range for 2020 and increases its quarterly dividend.
The Street
by DAN WEIL
SEP 10, 2020
https://www.thestreet.com/investing/philip-morris-pm-stock-earnings-estimate-dividend?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo
Shares of Philip Morris International (PM) eased Thursday, even after the tobacco giant raised the bottom of its estimated earnings range for full-year 2020 and increased its quarterly dividend.
The company revised its GAAP earnings per share forecast to a range of $4.92 to $4.99, at prevailing exchange rates, compared to its prior forecast range of $4.84 to $4.99, which was provided on July 21.
“This primarily reflects the expectation of a stronger-than-anticipated performance in the third quarter,” the company said in a statement.
“Excluding an unfavorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of approximately $0.31 per share, asset impairment and exit costs of $0.04 per share, and a fair value adjustment for equity security investments of $0.04 per share, this forecast represents a projected increase of approximately 3.5% to 5.0% versus pro forma adjusted diluted EPS of $5.13 in 2019,” the company said.
In addition, “excluding an unfavorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of approximately 7 cents per share, PMI now expects third-quarter reported diluted EPS to be broadly in line with the company’s third-quarter 2019 adjusted diluted EPS of $1.43,” the company said.
As for the dividend, which will be paid Oct. 13, to shareholders of record as of Sept. 24, it was boosted 2.6% to $1.20 a share from $1.17.
Looking at second-quarter earnings, they were “fairly strong,” Morningstar analyst Philip Gorham wrote in July. He put fair value for the stock at $98.
Philip Morris recently traded at $80.12, down 0.43%. The stock has slipped 6% year to date, while the S&P 500 has risen 6%.
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>>> Lowe's and Home Depot Crushed Earnings: Can They Keep It Up Long-Term?
Here's why they performed so well during the pandemic and what it means for their future outlook.
by Jennifer Saibil
Sep 10, 2020
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/09/10/lowes-hd-crushed-earnings-can-they-keep-it-up/
The home improvement industry benefited over the past few months while people stayed home and spent their stimulus checks on home improvement projects. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, categories like home furnishings and gardening saw gains starting in May. Two of the winners here were Lowe's (NYSE:LOW) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD), rival home improvement chains that dot the American landscape.
Both of these companies have put tremendous amounts of resources into restructuring and becoming agile businesses that are in line with current digital trends. Both companies saw surging demand in the first half of 2020, and they delivered (physically and figuratively). But will these trends remain long term? And how will they affect the companies' stocks?
Ready for this moment
As difficult as the pandemic has been for so many businesses and individuals, technology has eased the pain. Customers don't have to leave their homes when Amazon's Prime packages arrive at their doorsteps, and most large U.S. businesses were prepared for the switch to online retail with a full digital smorgasbord.
Competition has heated up between the perennial leader in home improvement, Home Depot, and the No. 2 Lowe's. Both of these companies have invested in their digital platforms and made other changes to their operations that positioned them for growth during the pandemic.
Keeping up its lead
Home Depot initiated its "One Home Depot" strategy in 2017 to create interconnected offerings and meet customer demand in the digital age. That paid off over the past few months as Home Depot earnings jumped almost 25% in the second quarter ended Aug. 2, a period that included lockdowns across the U.S. Digital sales increased approximately 100% with customers picking up 60% of those orders in store. The home improvement project trend was obviously a sales driver as well, and the 23% revenue growth was well above the company's more typical single-digit quarterly increases.
The fiscal second quarter may prove to have been an outlier, but there are signs that growth will continue. CEO Craig Menear said, "Our recent customer survey work tells us that customers have a continued willingness to take on both indoor and outdoor projects in the near term." As ordering and purchasing becomes easier, and as customers become more comfortable with do-it-yourself home improvement, the company grows its loyal customer base.
The work Home Depot put into its channels across the board, including opening new regional fulfillment centers, positions it for additional growth even now that people are out of their homes and spending on other categories. With COVID-19 still uncontained and general uncertainty in the market, Home Depot declined to provide a business outlook. However, investors can expect sales to remain elevated, though the rate of growth will likely come down.
Closing the gap
Lowe's has gone through a similar transformation over the past few years. After playing second fiddle to Home Depot for decades, the company hired Marvin Ellison in 2018 to preside over the company's move into digital. Lowe's has more than 2,200 stores, up from 1,977 at the beginning of fiscal 2020, and the retailer is catching up to the footprint enjoyed by its rival. Lowe's revamped its entire digital portfolio in 2019 and moved its website to Google Cloud, and it's in the process of investing $1.7 billion in its supply chain over a five-year period. Another innovation -- and there are many -- is a new labor scheduling system that better aligns store associate hours with high-traffic times.
U.S. comps grew a tremendous 35% in the fiscal second quarter ended July 31, fueled by a 135% increase in digital sales. There were substantial increases in DIY, Pro, and millennial shoppers, which is another strong sign that sales will continue to rise going forward. While the growth will moderate -- analysts expect revenue to increase 16% year over year in the fiscal third quarter -- these trends will fuel results at the home improvement chain for a long time.
Are they both good investments?
Shares of Lowe's and Home Depot have put up comparable gains in 2020 year to date, but the former still boasts the cheaper valuation at 21 times trailing earnings. Home Depot trades a slight premium of 25 times.
Regardless of these minor differences, both companies have a tremendous opportunity ahead of them. Investors just need to remember that even these leading retailers will see growth gradually return to normal levels.
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>>> Philip Morris Ramps Up Dividend By 2.6% As Jefferies Sees Headwinds
SmarterAnalyst
September 10, 2020
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/philip-morris-ramps-dividend-2-110456353.html
Philip Morris International announced that it is raising its regular quarterly dividend by 2.6% to an annualized rate of $4.80 per share.
Shares closed 1.8% higher at $80.47 on Wednesday after Philip Morris (PM) said that its board of directors increased its quarterly dividend to $1.20 per share, up from $1.17 per share. The dividend is payable on October 13, 2020, to shareholders of record as of September 24, 2020. The ex-dividend date is September 23, 2020.
Tobacco giants including Philip Morris have been under pressure as health awareness, a stricter regulatory environment and the emergence of alternatives like e-cigarettes over recent months have led to a decline in cigarette volumes. Yet, some investors prefer these companies for their high dividend yields. Philip Morris has increased its annual dividend every year since becoming a public company in 2008, representing a total increase of 160.9%, or a compound annual growth rate of 8.3%.
Furthermore, the company has been focusing on capturing the demand for heated tobacco products and its IQOS tobacco heating device to offset a decline in cigarette shipments.
Shares in PM are currently trading down 5.5% year-to-date after recouping a chunk of this year’s earlier losses, and analysts have a cautiously optimistic Moderate Buy consensus on the stock’s outlook. This is with a $88.43 average analyst price target (9.9% upside potential).
Jefferies analyst Owen Bennett last month raised the stock’s price target to $73 from $70 due to FX gains but maintained a Hold rating noting that an expected volume miss and multiple headwinds in 2021 could be overlooked by investors. (See Philip Morris stock analysis on TipRanks).
"The bigger risk for us on PM (vs. cigs), and the reason we remain cautious near term, is possible heated slowdown,” Bennett wrote in a note to investors. “While we increase our estimates for the current year, we do think the pace of growth could slow into FY21.”
Bennett expects heated volumes for FY21 at 86 billion vs the target of 90-100 billion.
“Likely a bigger risk over volumes is to sales, and the threat of heated taxes. We think as we enter a recession, increased taxes are likely. The best indicator of this is Italy, the largest EU heated market, where a widely supported amendment to hike taxes was proposed in July" he said.
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Home Depot - >>> If You're Retired, Consider Buying These 3 Stocks
Not only do these companies have stable businesses with growing dividend payouts, they can also beat the market.
Motley Fool
by Jon Quast
Aug 31, 2020
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/08/31/if-youre-retired-consider-buying-these-3-stocks/
Investors assign labels to companies at the risk of creating false dichotomies. For example, "growth stocks" and "value stocks" are two prevalent categories, but these ideals aren't necessarily opposed.
Another misleading label is "retirement stock." On the surface, it typically suggests a company with a stable business paying a healthy dividend. And that's a great goal. But a retirement investment doesn't have to come at the expense of giving up any chance of beating the market average. Instead, there are stocks that offer the complete package of income and growth.
For three companies fitting this description, consider Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), and Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX). All three have stable businesses, growing dividend payouts yielding at least 2%, and long histories of market-beating performance.
Lockheed Martin
Under President Trump, government contractor Lockheed Martin has benefited from increased military spending. The company had $46 billion in net sales in 2015. In 2019, that figure was $60 billion, up around 30%. It used its record-setting results to continue rewarding shareholders by buying back stock and paying a growing dividend that currently yields 2.4%.
Even though Lockheed Martin has benefited under the current administration, investors don't need to fret about the upcoming election. Every president brings an agenda to the national budget, but the implementation can take years. Furthermore, the company can endure Pentagon budget cuts because it provides certain products and services that aren't in danger of being cut. And the contractor had a record backlog of $150 billion as of the second quarter of 2020. This is already under contract and will be realized over the course of years.
Besides that existing backlog, Lockheed Martin has inked a $62 billion deal to manufacture F-16 fighter jets for U.S. allies. This decade-long tailwind isn't reliant on domestic budget decisions. Additionally, new CEO James Taiclet believes the company has something to offer in the development of 5G technology, which could even provide an unforeseen growth avenue.
In short, Lockheed Martin's core business is safe, it has new avenues for growth, and I expect it will keep rewarding shareholders over the next five years as it's done over the previous five.
Home Depot
I consider Home Depot's business safe because it sells products for something virtually everyone has: a home. We all live somewhere, and whether it's regular maintenance or cosmetic upgrades, we incur costs somewhere. The company has a broad application, equally appealing to the professional contractor and the do-it-yourself customer. And as this stable business keeps humming, management has systematically reduced the outstanding share count (boosting per-share profits) and regularly increased the dividend.
We may be in a global pandemic, but Home Depot is thriving like never before. In the quarter ending Aug. 2, the company had record quarterly sales of $38 billion, up 23% year over year. And in the first half of 2020, net sales are up 16%, as people stuck at home decide to tackle their to-do lists.
It's not realistic to expect the good times to keep rolling like this for Home Depot. As to-do items get checked off, customers are likely to decrease these spending levels in coming quarters. Furthermore, the company benefited from inflation in items like lumber, which are probably only temporary spikes resulting from the coronavirus disruption to supply chains. These are headwinds facing Home Depot's year-over-year comparisons.
But it's also not realistic to expect Home Depot's business to fall off a cliff -- only return to normal. And under normal conditions, Home Depot grows revenue, grows profits, and grows its dividend. While I think both Lowe's and Home Depot are winners, I acknowledge Home Depot's dividend yield is superior at 2%, versus 1.4% for Lowe's.
Starbucks
As a global food-service company, Starbucks was hit particularly hard by the coronavirus. Through the first three quarters of its fiscal 2020, net revenue is down 12.4% from the comparable period in fiscal 2019. The impact was most acute in the third quarter, with net revenue down 38%. But despite the challenge of limited cafe seating, Starbucks didn't pause or reduce its dividend.
The worst is hopefully over for Starbucks. It started Q3 with 56% of U.S. locations closed, but ended the quarter with 96% open. That led to a steady improvement in sales. In fact, comparable sales at U.S. locations that were open for the entire quarter were actually up 2% year over year in July, suggesting business will return to normal soon after everything's back open.
Starbucks has been a massive winner over the long haul, a 100-bagger since 1994. But of the three stocks here, Starbucks is the one that has underperformed the market over the last five years. Buying today gives retirees a stock still down 15% from highs set in 2019, with great growth prospects. The company looks like a buy as it opens new locations in China again after a brief pause, and as it pursues better profits in the U.S. by closing low-volume locations and replacing them with operations that are to-go only.
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>>> Church & Dwight Gains 30% in 3 Months on Pandemic-Led Demand
Zacks
August 13, 2020
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/church-dwight-gains-30-3-151303245.html
Amid all the coronavirus disruptions, a number of consumer staple companies appear to be on safe grounds. These companies are benefiting from the rising demand for essential items amid the pandemic-led increased at-home consumption and pantry-loading trends. One such player gaining from these trends is Church & Dwight Co., Inc. CHD, which has returned 30.3% in the past three months, outpacing the industry’s growth of 16.8%. Also, the company has comfortably outperformed the S&P 500 and the Zacks Consumer Staples sector’s respective gains of 16.5% and 12.5%.
Notably, Church & Dwight had earlier announced that all its products have been categorized as essential commodities, per the requirements and guidance of the government. Hence, the company has been witnessing significant increases in demand for its products, especially household cleaning products as consumers are focusing on increased cleanliness. Also, the demand for brands like FLAWLESS is benefiting from elevated at-home grooming sessions.
Other than Church & Dwight, other consumer staple stocks gaining from the increased demand trends include Clorox CLX, Colgate-Palmolive CL and Procter & Gamble PG, to name a few.
Robust Q2 Results & Guidance
Robust demand drove Church & Dwight in second-quarter 2020, wherein the top and bottom lines rose year over year and beat the consensus mark. Earnings were backed by solid sales, improved gross margin and reduced marketing costs. Results gained from the strong household and personal care businesses owing to consumers’ shifted preference for essential products amid the coronavirus outbreak. In this regard, the company witnessed double-digit growth in the consumption of products like gummy vitamins, women’s hair removal, cleaners and baking soda. Markedly, online sales also remained sturdy.
The solid results encouraged management to raise its sales and earnings guidance for 2020. The company now anticipates sales growth of 9-10% compared with 6.5% growth expected earlier. For 2020, adjusted earnings per share are expected to grow 13%, higher than the previously mentioned 7-9% increase. The robust outcome and guidance have been boosting investors’ sentiments as Church & Dwight’s shares have gained 5.3% since the earnings release on Jul 31.
Growth Drivers
Church & Dwight has been benefiting from a robust brand portfolio, thanks to its focus on innovation and buyouts. Notably, the company earlier said that it looks forward to having 20 power brands in its portfolio, over time. Additionally, the company’s regular innovation helps improve brand positions and market share in the consumer categories. During its first-quarter conference call, management stated that it is focused on innovation and R&D spending for product development even amid the pandemic.
Talking of buyouts, we note that FLAWLESS has been a prudent addition to Church & Dwight’s portfolio. Sales in the FLAWLESS brand contributed to its Consumer Domestic segment’s results in the second quarter of 2020. The brand witnessed robust consumption growth from May to July due to customers’ reduced access to salons. The brand is poised to keep gaining from rising at-home grooming trends and management has solid advertising plans in place for FLAWLESS for the second half of 2020. Some of the previous noteworthy acquisitions of the company include WATERPIK, Agro BioSciences and VIVISCAL business.
Can Margin Concerns be Offset?
The company is grappling with a rise in expenses, such as SG&A costs. Notably, adjusted SG&A expenses increased 30 bps in the second quarter of 2020 due to impacts of acquisitions, elevated incentive compensation and R&D investments. Additionally, the company witnessed escalated manufacturing costs due to COVID-19 supply-chain expenses. Management expects gross margin to fall in the second half due to new product promotional support, FLAWLESS accounting effect, increased tariffs on WATERPIK and additional investments in manufacturing and distribution capacity. Incidentally, management plans to make additional investments to boost manufacturing, R&D, consumer research, digital advertising, new product development and predictive analytics in the second half of 2020, which is likely to spike up costs.
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>>> Church & Dwight Jumps 7% on 2Q Earnings; Analyst Sees More Upside Ahead
SmarterAnalyst
August 2, 2020
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/church-dwight-jumps-7-2q-065243989.html
Shares of Church & Dwight (CHD) soared nearly 7% on Friday, thanks to its better-than-expected 2Q earnings and upbeat guidance. It's adjusted EPS increased by 35.1% to $0.77 year-over-year and beat analysts’ estimates of $0.63.
Revenues grew 10.6% to $1.19 billion year-over-year and surpassed Street estimates of $1.15 billion. Robust demand for household and personal care products amid the COVID-19 pandemic supported its 2Q sales.
Buoyed by strong quarterly results, the company raised its 2020 adjusted EPS growth outlook to 13% from the previous projection of a 7%-9% increase. CHD’s anticipated revenue growth guidance range of 9%-10% also exceeded Street estimates of an 8% increase.
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh raised the price target on the stock to $105 (9% upside potential) from $100 and reiterated a Buy rating. Parikh said, "We still see double-digit upside from here, even following the recent rally. Broad-based organic sales momentum coupled with defensive characteristics of the CHD model continue to setup shares for further outperformance, in our view"
Overall, CHD has a Moderate Buy analyst consensus. The average analyst price target stands at $92.20, implying 4.3% downside potential. (See CHD stock analysis on TipRanks).
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>>> YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) designs, markets, retails, and distributes products for the outdoor and recreation market under the YETI brand in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Japan. The company offers hard and soft coolers, as well as storage, transport, outdoor living, and associated accessories. It also provides drinkware products, including colsters, lowballs, stackable pints, mugs, tumblers, bottles, and jugs, as well as accessories comprising bottle straw caps, tumbler handles, and jug mounts under the Rambler brand. In addition, the company offers YETI-branded gear products, such as hats, shirts, bottle openers, ice substitutes, and dog bowls. The company sells its products through independent retailers, including outdoor specialty, hardware, sporting goods, and farm and ranch supply stores, as well as through Website. YETI Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
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>>> Brown-Forman Creates Two International Units to Unlock Value
Zacks
June 11, 2020
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brown-forman-creates-two-international-124112242.html
Brown-Forman Corporation BF.B revealed some changes to its organizational structure with an aim to unlock the growth potential of markets, brands and people. The changes will mainly relate to its international business, which will be split into two parts — Europe and Emerging International. The changes will be effective from Aug 1, 2020.
The Europe division will primarily comprise the UK/Ireland; Germany/Czechia; France/Spain/Portugal; Poland; and the greater Europe markets that make up for the Developing Europe markets. Meanwhile, markets in the Emerging International division will mainly include — Global Travel Retail (GTR); Asia; Australia/New Zealand; Latin America; and Russia/CIS/Turkey/India/Middle East and Africa.
To oversee the operations, the company appointed Marshall Farrer as the president of the Europe division and Thomas Hinrichs as the president of Emerging International.
The move is also in sync with Brown-Forman’s goal to deliver balanced growth across geographies by establishing competitive routes to consumers. The company notes that this calls for a more agile and simplified organizational structure.
Earlier this week, Brown-Forman reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal 2020 results, wherein earnings missed estimates and revenues beat the same. Results were marred by the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on its on-premise channel — representing 20% of its global business — and the Travel Retail business. Meanwhile, strong growth in the off-premise and e-premise channels in most of the developed markets supported the top line.
The nationwide lockdowns and government restrictions imposed to curtail the spread of coronavirus led to increased at-home consumption and pantry loading, which mainly resulted in accelerated growth in the channels.
In the United States, the company witnessed a significant acceleration in the off-premise takeaway trends for alcoholic beverages since the pandemic spread. While the off-premise channel benefited initially from the robust pantry-loading trends in March, the company notes that consumption trends have gradually shifted from on-premise due to increased at-home consumption occasions. Further, it witnessed impressive growth for its brands in the e-premise channel, as consumers made fewer shopping trips. The company benefited from quickly shifting focus and resources based on consumer demand trends. This also led Brown-Forman to report strong underlying sales growth in the United States.
Driven by the robust trends despite the ongoing impacts of the pandemic, shares of this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company gained 36.8% in the past three months compared with the industry’s growth of 22.3%.
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>>> Celsius Holdings (CELH) -
https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/small-cap-stocks/601067/10-splendid-small-cap-growth-stocks-to-buy
Market value: $928.4 million
YTD total return: 177.0%
3-year annualized revenue growth: 48.9%
Morningstar classifies Celsius Holdings (CELH, $13.38) as a "speculative growth" stock, which isn't surprising given that it participates in the ultra-competitive world of beverage sales.
Operating under the Celsius brand, the Florida-based company sells healthy carbonated and non-carbonated energy drinks that contain no sugar, aspartame, high-fructose corn syrup, artificial preservatives, etc. Instead, it focuses on healthy ingredients such as ginger, guarana, green tea and essential vitamins.
When Celsius first launched its products in 2009, it marketed its drinks to the weight-loss crowd and found limited traction. It burned through $15 million in IPO money within a year. Current CEO John Fieldly came on board as CFO in 2012, just as it was headed to bankruptcy.
After its setback, Celsius changed its focus from fat-burning to energy and fitness. Fieldly took over as interim CEO in 2017, then took the role on a permanent basis a year later. CELH has been off to the races since then.
CELH's arguably biggest break came in 2018, when 7-Eleven brought Celsius into all of its U.S. convenience stores. It also doesn't hurt to have large investors such as Kimora Lee Simmons (5.7%), ex-wife of record executive Russell Simmons, and Li Ka Shing, one of Hong Kong's wealthiest persons (13.1%).
Celsius's revenues have more than doubled, to $75.2 million, over the past three years. During the first quarter of 2020, sales rocketed 95% higher to $28.2 million; international revenues were up 186%, while U.S. sales climbed 70%. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) of $2.8 million more than tripled year-over-year.
If you're going to speculate in small-cap growth stocks, CELH offers the kind of growth you want to be a part of.
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Pool - >>> 19 of the Best Stocks You've Never Heard Of
Kiplinger
by Jeff Reeves
6-23-20
https://www.kiplinger.com/slideshow/investing/t052-s001-19-of-the-best-stocks-youve-never-heard-of/index.html
Pool Corp.
Sector: Consumer discretionary
Market value: $10.6 billion
Dividend yield: 0.9%
Even if you've never heard of Pool Corp. (POOL, $265.15), you probably still can guess what this company is peddling.
POOL distributes swimming pool chemicals, equipment and related leisure products. But despite being incredibly specialized, this stock is no small fry. It operates in North America, Europe, South America, and Australia and boasts a market capitalization on par with oil giant Halliburton (HAL) or investment broker E*Trade (ETFC).
Pool Corp. is among the best lesser-known stocks to buy, given the analyst community's rave reviews on it. POOL is among just a handful of stocks to earn the vaunted A+ rating from S&P Capital IQ. And research firm CFRA notes that beyond the obvious benefit of higher sales this summer as coronavirus squashes beach vacations and keeps more folks in their home pools, POOL is one of its favorite defensive plays.
Analysts credit its dominant market share of regular maintenance spending and "a strong balance sheet and liquidity position" to weather any downturn.
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>>> Pool Corporation (POOL) distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products in North America, Europe, South America, and Australia. The company offers maintenance products, including chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights; packaged pool kits comprising walls, liners, braces, and coping for in-ground and above-ground pools; pool equipment and components for new pool construction and the remodeling of existing pools; and irrigation and landscape products consisting of irrigation system components, and professional lawn care equipment and supplies. It also provides building materials, such as concrete, plumbing and electrical components, functional and decorative pool surfaces, decking materials, tiles, hardscapes, and natural stones for use in pool installations and remodeling; and commercial products, such as ASME heaters, safety equipment, and commercial pumps and filters. In addition, the company offers discretionary recreational and related outdoor lifestyle products that enhance consumers' use and enjoyment of outdoor living spaces, such as spas, grills, and components for outdoor kitchens. It serves swimming pool remodelers and builders; specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies; swimming pool repair and service businesses; irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors; golf courses; and commercial customers that serve hotels, universities, and community recreational facilities. As of December 31, 2018, the company operated 364 sales centers. Pool Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.
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>>> Doug Baker Positions Ecolab for Post-Pandemic Future
Corporation boosts its cash reserves by $1.25 billion to ride out virus threat and keeps employees on its payroll to serve customers in hopes of emerging strong in recovery.
Twin Cities Business
APRIL 18, 2020
LIZ FEDOR
http://tcbmag.com/news/articles/2020/april/doug-baker-positions-ecolab-for-post-pandemic-future
Ecolab employees are being spared the financial carnage of layoffs, large-scale furloughs and pay cuts that have rolled across many American companies, which CEO Doug Baker contends is the right response to the Covid-19 pandemic.
The St. Paul-based corporation, which employs 24,000 in the United States, makes an array of disinfecting and cleaning products that are in high demand among its global customers. It also has a long history of serving schools, restaurants and hotels, many of which are closed.
“The way we are thinking about the company is we want to manage through this in a way that basically enables us to come through healthy,” Baker says.
“I need my team intact,” Baker says, referring to his global workforce of 50,200 that includes 3,200 based in Minnesota. Baker, who became CEO in 2004, says the company did not immediately start slashing employee jobs to save money in response to the spread of the coronavirus.
At Ecolab, Baker has told employees: “We are living through history, and we want to look back and be proud of how we did it.”
In a wide-ranging interview with Twin Cities Business on Wednesday, Baker acknowledged that he needed to quickly address the economic and health-related fears of his employees.
Consequently, Ecolab’s management crafted a strategy to keep workers on the payroll to serve customers in the short-term, but also to be well-positioned to take advantage of market opportunities after a vaccine is developed.
Because Ecolab is providing job security, Baker says employees can focus on their work that includes aiding customers on the front lines of the pandemic. “We’ve basically said, ‘We are not going to cast you off adrift in this mess,’ ‘’ Baker explains.
Protecting pay and health
Nearly all of Ecolab’s office-based employees are working from home and Ecolab is providing masks and other equipment to increase the safety of employees in its manufacturing plants. The company operates 130 plants globally, including 32 in the United States.
?Baker says the company has extended sick pay and expanded health care benefits for employees, so they will not be harmed by health care costs if they contract Covid-19.
While Ecolab may be best-known for its cleaning products, it’s a huge corporation that reached $14.9 billion in sales in 2019. It offers water, hygiene and energy products and services, and has a large number of sales employees.
Ecolab has traditionally compensated its sales staff through salaries and commissions, including those whose customers include hotels, cruise lines and restaurants. “Their commissions are going to be terrible,” Baker says. In response, Ecolab changed its compensation approach under its “pay protection” policy. “We basically said, ‘We will give you your average pay for the last 12 months pre-Covid, or whatever you earn, whichever is highest,” Baker says. “They can be comfortable that they can continue to pay their bills. [Their customer sales declines] are not their fault.”
Ecolab has stopped making new hires, and Baker says leaders should not expect to be paid bonuses. “Our goal is really to minimize team damage,” he says, which means preserving jobs and pay checks.
To prevent plant employees from contracting the virus, Ecolab has separated production lines to reduce contact among workers and also regulates when they can use common areas, such as lunchrooms and break areas.
In its manufacturing plants, Baker says, “We mask everybody. If everybody is masked, everybody is more protected.”
Cash for worst-case scenario
Baker, in a call with Wall Street analysts in late March, characterized the destruction caused by Covid-19 as the biggest global event since World War II.
To calculate the potential damage to Ecolab’s business, the company ran models for several scenarios—including a base model, one that’s severe and one that’s catastrophic.
The company then moved to safeguard the business by increasing its cash reserves by $1.25 billion. Ecolab raised $750 million by issuing bonds and another $500 million through a bank facility, which has not been drawn upon.
“You need to understand where your business cash flow break points are,” Baker says in the interview. He also wanted to be able to withstand the catastrophic scenario. “We secured more than enough cash to cover that [catastrophic] eventuality,” he says, which he argues has less than a 1 percent probability of occurring.
Citing the economics metaphor about companies “burning the furniture” to stay alive when they run out of cash, Baker says Ecolab is following a path in 2020 that it took during the Great Recession. “We went and made sure we had plenty of cash,” he says. “We were able to manage 2009 more for the long-term than having to do a bunch of disruptive things if we didn’t have a cushion.”
In good times, Baker says, Ecolab often has met the short-term expectations of Wall Street investors as well as made strategic expenditures to support the business for the long haul. 2020 will not be a good year. That’s clear when scanning a chart of Ecolab’s customer markets, which shows that 41 percent of its sales markets are expected to experience declines in demand.
Food and beverage, which comprises 20 percent of Ecolab sales, is a bright spot. Ecolab provides products for food businesses ranging from dairy farms to soft drink bottlers to breweries. “There is a huge demand shift going on everywhere, but it’s particularly acute in the United States from food service to food retailers,” Baker says. “They are also upping hygiene standards with the facilities.” Since the coronavirus pandemic emerged, demand for Ecolab’s hand care and hand sanitizer products has increased by five to 15 times normal sales.
On the “depressed” end of Ecolab’s business, full-service restaurants, lodging, textile care, and cruise lines are among the companies hardest hit by Covid-19 fallout. Full-service restaurants and lodging provide 22 percent of Ecolab sales in a regular year.
In 2020, Baker says, “Our sales, as a consequence of Covid, will net be lower than they would have been otherwise.” But it’s difficult to estimate how much sales will drop. “I’ve told [Wall] Street, I don’t care about my Q2 or Q3 results,” Baker says. “We are going to manage for the long term on this.”
Helping Minnesota acquire PPE
In addition to leading Ecolab during the Covid-19 crisis, Baker has been working with Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and the Minnesota Business Partnership on joint efforts to battle the virus and its effects.
The Minnesota Business Partnership, which consists of top executives from the state’s largest employers, has been holding twice weekly conference calls to facilitate communication among its members. One of the weekly calls also involves dialogue among the business leaders and members of the Walz administration.
Charlie Weaver, Partnership executive director, enlisted Baker’s help to secure personal protective equipment (PPE) for health care workers and other key employees. Baker said he was drafted by Weaver after the governor’s staff contacted Weaver. “Literally the next day, I met with people on the governor’s staff to hear what the challenges were,” Baker recalls.
He asked Jill Wyant, Ecolab’s executive vice president and president of global regions, to help the administration source PPE. He also wrote a letter to other Partnership companies and asked for their assistance. Baker notes that Mayo Clinic, Donaldson, C.H. Robinson, 3M and Toro are among the Partnership members working with the state of Minnesota on securing personal protective equipment.
Wyant, one of Ecolab’s top five executives, is leveraging her overseas experience in sourcing PPE, which is led at the state level by Administration Commissioner Alice Roberts-Davis.
“The governor has reached out for assistance where they want it and they think the business sector can help,” Baker says. He anticipates another Ecolab employee will soon join a state committee on office social distancing and related issues.
“This isn’t what deals can we do for the business community,” Baker says. “There has been zero of that. It’s basically, how can we help?”
Reopening the economy
Gov. Walz and other governors have come under increasing criticism from people who want more segments of the economy to be reopened for commerce.
“This is a very fair debate,” Baker says. “You do need ultimately to open it.” He’s concluded that it makes sense to allow more activity in phases.
“If you are going to make a mistake, you’d rather open up days late than days early,” Baker notes. “Gov. Walz is science based and he understands. He is struggling with the decisions because they are hard. If he wasn’t struggling, I would be nervous.”
Baker is pragmatic and candid in how he views the balancing act between public health and economic activity. “I don’t think you are going to see a return to normal behavior until, at a minimum, people are confident they’re not going to die, and better yet there’s a vaccine so they’re not going to get sick at all,” he says.
Lacking a major decline in the infection rate and the availability of widespread testing, right now Baker says many states simply have “this big blunt instrument called everybody go home to prevent a spread.”
Within Ecolab, a team of employees is working on criteria for when and how to open some of Ecolab’s offices. “We’ve done hygiene protocol standards and social distancing standards,” he says.
One of the big considerations for Ecolab employees is when and whether schools will be closed during the duration of the pandemic. “If schools continue to be closed, then I don’t think you have any choice but making it optional” to work from home instead of an office, he says.
Rethinking the business
The damage from Covid-19 “is going to be more severe economically” than the Great Recession, Baker says. “This is not going to be a snap back V-shaped recovery.”
Fear of the virus will persist, so Baker says economic sectors that rely on discretionary consumer spending will continue to see challenges.
In some ways, he says, the economic risks are easier to diagnose with Covid-19. During the Great Recession of 2008-2009, Baker was CEO of Ecolab and served on the U.S. Bank board.
“If the financial system imploded, you don’t know how to put Humpty Dumpty back together again,” he recalls. “So I would say the unknowns were even larger then. And then as ’09 went on, the ground shaking slowed and stopped.”
In the current crisis, Baker says, it’s hard to gauge how long the recession will last. He’s focused on what he can control, and he acknowledges that Ecolab is in a much better position than other companies that were forced to close for several weeks.
Based on the coronavirus experience, Baker says, “We are going to have to reshape the business like everybody else, in one way or another. I don’t have enough information about how to reshape it intelligently right now.”
But he’s launched an Ecolab planning approach with four steps—respond, rethink, retool, reignite. The response stage consisted of retaining employees and securing a cash cushion.
Before he gets to the execution or reignite phase, Baker says he will want to narrow the exploration of what questions the company needs to answer and what possible outcomes it should address. He calls his employees his “intellectual idea generators,” and will look to them for conceiving of future strategies.
However, he won’t send the Ecolab employees off to simply think big. “You’ve got to be clear on what you are trying to achieve,” Baker says. “Get a way of communicating to your audience or your team on how to think about it.”
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