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Price Estimates based On revenue projections and P/E

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mave_rick Member Level  Saturday, 07/20/13 04:33:22 PM
Re: dtdsmd05 post# 27658
Post # of 169879 
Price Estimates based On revenue projections and P/E Ratios. Totally subjective and Rough Estimates

DTS When it comes to Price Predictions even the best analysts on wall street are dead wrong most times. I worked for Merrill Lynch as a Financial Consultant 11 years and have been in the Financial services industry 22 years, But Honestly no one can accurately guess Highs and lows or sometimes even remotely close Price targets for a stock or company Let alone be able to factor all the variables that can change at anytime since more and more we are now a Globally Interdependent market and someone sneezes in Japan or China or Iran and the US market can fall or rise hundreds of points before the average investor knows absolutely anything.

Remember not only are the Variables totally Unpredictable, we also need some basis for Valuation and there are also several Valuation Models in the marketplace. We also are never able to Factor in the emotions of Fear, Greed, and Hope Globally that all play a part in the price levels of any given stock my friend.

To Give you a recent example on NT*K, Nothing changed Fundamentally in the company ( and actually if it did it was all positive fundamental changes and credibility of management and investor awareness and belief level actually all went UP ) and still the stock price went from 13-14 cents High Peak down to intraday low of .046 in a matter of days. So here this was way beyond just Buy the Expectancy and Rumor etc and sell the news. It was just Mad Frantic Crazy selling Frenzy caused by Raw emotions of Fear for example.

Now having said that I would say specifically for MYEC if we can ASSUME that at the end of this year Platforms are set and revenues are flowing in then say we pick a Number that expected revenues are say 10 million for 2014 and we count the float as 791 million and not count the 3 billion that are in Ed's hands and if we take a P/E multiple of 15-20 then the PPS expected on assumptive 2014 revenues is going to be 17-25 cents. Totally rough way to do it since we have no real clue of what the actual revs will be 2014.

I would lastly say we would need to add a Multiple Increase for the Buyout rumors if they continue to persist. Buyout rumors naturally carry a premium.

In the meantime the revs numbers can change as so much is fluid in this situation with Ed signing new agreements and announcing new relationships Potentially in the near future....supposedly paypal and dell integration specialists are hovering over linked in profiles of Ed Starrs :):) and on and on...so this is essentially a High risk high return scenario But at these prices , the risk return ratio Favors Longs who can Hold over time and not in a position where they want this as a short term trade or a flip:):)

I hope I didnt confuse you and hope this helped you understand the dynamics and variables a little more

IMO

Good luck Sir:):)






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