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Re: xe2dy post# 537

Monday, 09/24/2012 7:03:26 PM

Monday, September 24, 2012 7:03:26 PM

Post# of 601
Words of Wisdom from TT members.

The following is from an article provided by sluxbenick1. In the past I have had my experiences with 'revenge trading' too. Even today after making two winning trades I had to fight the emotion of greed and stop trading. A good thing too as I would have lost my profit IF I had continued to trade. Trading IS NOT an 8 hour a day job where one is expected to be active all the time.

"I just made my daily goal before lunch, but things are going well today so I’m going to try to make a little more. Shoot! I just lost $200. No big deal, I can just make it back. I will get into a bigger position and make back what I lost, and then some. Damn! Another losing trade, this time in more share size. Now I’m negative on the day. How did I let this happen!?

The above scenario, while hypothetical, is an example of revenge trading, one of the most dangerous things you can do as a trader. Trying to make back lost money because you are either angry, or “know you are right”, can drive you right out of the business. While it happens to all of us at one point or another, the difference between the professional and the amateur is the ability to recognize those emotions and exercise restraint. Each trade must be judged independent of the others. If you let previous trades affect your mindset and decision making, you will always be trading on tilt."

http://www.t3live.com/articles/market-analysis/3289-the-perils-of-revenge-trading.html

NAV's "Don't fight the Fed"

"Well, in my early years of trading, i belonged to the school "Fed is pushing on a string". Trading taught me the hard way "Don't fight the Fed". When the Fed announces some policy decision, which floods the system with liquidity, and the market responds with a range expansion, i have learn't to go with the flow. The power of central banks should not be underestimated IMO. Yes Bernanke will fail someday, the Fed will fail someday, the U.S Govt. will fail someday - the natural forces will overwhelm them. I have realized that it's not something that can be measured in years, but in decades. It's a futile intellectual effort to time that day of reckoning. It's monetarily disastrous to trade with such a perspective."

http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?showtopic=142058

SemiBizz thought's on when to go short...

"Or... why not wait for a sign of strength in the VIX ETFs?

Or... a sign of weakness in the Indices?

Then get short on a retest?

We like ODDS, and the odds for shorting are best when a high is made and then retested on lighter volume... followed by a stronger volume decline and break of the candle lows from the highs of the daily/hourly candles.

We don't have to have the top tick."

http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?s=95dc04740b3c00407c549b77af969a19&showtopic=141937

NAV's trading method, 75% price...

"As for the technical aspects of trading systems, i have experimented on pretty much all kinds of momentum indicators, price based strategies and internals( for about 6 years using Tradestation and Amibroker). For my style of trading (hourly timeframe and less), i did not find much success with internals like A/D line, NYMO, NAMO, Breadth oscillators, VIX, TRIN etc. Too much of conflicts and too many good trades missed because of non-confirmations from them. My success came when i started trading momentum indicators. But trading momentum without due respect to context (or trend) cost me in terms of overall win/loss ratio. Traders-talk helped me a big way in understanding the importance of underlying trend. Watching folks fight the trend in traders-talk was an eye-opener, not to mention i was also a part of that crowd at some point. I then incorporated trend rules in my system using momentum methods. My success rate went higher. But i still missed some great trades because of non-confirmation of trend using my momo indicators. When a high amplitude move occurs and the pivots get wide apart, momo indicators take a lot of time to confirm sharp reversals in trend. There are many other situations where momo indicators fails to confirm trends. Finally to me the holy grail was defining the trend purely using price with my own rules, based on my observation of the price over a decade. Now my definition of trend is based on pure price, Entry trigger is based on one indicator, Stop is based on pure price, Exit is based on pure price. In other words 75% of my system is purely based on price. Only for the entry, i use a indicator based trigger. I am happy with my current system and have now pretty much stopped developing systems and focussing on trading and execution. It took me 8 solid years to settle with a system that i could fully trust and become consistent. It's one of the toughest professions in the world without a question."

http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?showtopic=141562

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