Followers | 62 |
Posts | 12258 |
Boards Moderated | 0 |
Alias Born | 07/18/2005 |
Wednesday, February 22, 2012 12:36:07 PM
By Barry Stuppler
Feb 21 2012 4:28PM
I believe that all the elements are now in place for a Gold break-out move from the current $1700/$1760 trading range. This move will happen very soon. There will be a short pause when it breaks into the $1,800 level, and then we are heading for new highs before the summer.
What are the key elements to the coming gold move?
1) More Global Quantitative Easing (monetary stimulus) is on the way
Both Great Britain and Japan have recently announced massive increases in monetary stimulus programs. The Eurozone countries have currently given problem banks that are holding sovereign debt massive injections of euros, and are also preparing massive amounts of monetary assistance for Greece, Spain, Italy, and Portugal. While in the U.S., more than a majority of Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Governors favor another round of monetary stimulus (QE3) to keep our economic recovery on course within the United States.
Over the weekend, China cut its required bank reserve ratios, joining a number of central banks in relaxing monetary policies to promote economic growth. Greece’s current debt crisis was dealt with on Tuesday morning as Euro zone finance ministers agreed to the 130-billion-euro ($172 billion) Greek rescue package.
Governments are loosening bank reserve requirements to make lending easier, as well as printing trillions of Dollars, Euros, and Yen to pay down debt and stimulate economies, driving down the value of paper money versus gold.
2) Investment demand for Gold is increasing from Central Banks and the public.
2011 was a record year for physical demand for gold investment products and that demand escalated more and more as we approached year end.
Global demand for gold in 2011 rose to 4,067.1 tonnes, worth an estimated US$205.5 billion - the first time that global demand exceeded US$200 billion and the highest tonnage level since 1997, according to the World Gold Council's Gold Demand Trends. Of the total 4,067 tonnes 2011 world gold demand, 1,703 tonnes (41.8%) came from China and India. Last week the World Gold Council (WGC) provided details on the 2011 World’s demand from Central Banks Gold purchases. In their report, the WGC disclosed that the World’s Central Banks purchased 440 tonnes of Gold in 2011, a 471% increase from a record high of 77 metric tonnes in 2010.
Physical demand for coins is now outpacing jewelry demand and many countries are seeing dramatic growth in public buying of gold sovereigns and popular European and U.S. gold coins.
3) The perception of Gold as a mainstream investment has changed.
10 years ago, investors would buy gold as a potential inflation hedge or for asset diversification. Only a small group of U.S. financial planners and money managers (less than 5%) would even consider gold as part of an investment strategy, as it was called a non-productive assets class. The few financial advisors that did allow gold into an investment portfolio would limit it to only 5-10%.
Now, high profile investment advisors (Soros, Paulson, and others) proudly share their gold investments. Gold is now in the mainstream media,with its daily price broadcast on major radio and T.V. stations.
Gold is now considered as a hedge against debasing currencies.More and more financial advisors and money managers that I work with are recommending gold and silver as part of a balanced investment portfolio with a range from 15 to 25% commitment. Many financial professionals now feel that with a consistent 10 year track record of appreciation, the risk element for gold investments has been minimized.
Fourteen out of our fifty States have passed (or have pending) legislation that allows gold and silver coins to be used as currency in commerce transactions. Both houses of Congress have proposed legislation that would re-introduce a gold standard.
4) Low global interest rates on bank CD’s, Corporate, and Government Debt
Global interest rates have fallen to 20 year lows in Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Earning a fixed return of less than 2% on a multi-year AA government debt, versus an average return on gold over the past 10 year of 20%, gives gold the advantage for income focused investors. Plus, the U.S. Federal Reserve has virtually guaranteed that interest rates will remain low for the next two years.
By Barry Stuppler
Feb. 21st 2012
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Stuppler/feb212012.html
Recent GOLD News
- Barrick On Track to Achieve 2024 Targets • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/16/2024 11:00:00 AM
- Notice of Release of Barrick’s First Quarter 2024 Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/09/2024 11:00:00 AM
- Strategy-Driven Barrick Builds on Value Foundation • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/28/2024 09:20:38 PM
- Barrick Hunts New Gold and Copper Prospects in DRC From Kibali Base • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/20/2024 02:00:00 PM
- Barrick Opens Academy at Closed Buzwagi Mine • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/18/2024 08:00:00 AM
- Barrick to Grow Production and Value on Global Asset Foundation • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/15/2024 11:53:01 AM
- Loulo-Gounkoto Delivers Another Value-Creating Performance • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/10/2024 10:00:00 AM
- Passing of the Right Honorable Brian Mulroney • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/02/2024 01:17:35 AM
- Kibali and DRC Partner to Promote Local Content • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/01/2024 02:22:43 PM
- Tanzanian Parliamentary Committee Lauds Barrick’s Work at North Mara • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/23/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Form 6-K - Report of foreign issuer [Rules 13a-16 and 15d-16] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/14/2024 10:28:08 PM
- Form 6-K - Report of foreign issuer [Rules 13a-16 and 15d-16] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/14/2024 08:05:25 PM
- Clear Strategies and Strong Partnerships Set Barrick Up to Outperform, Says Bristow • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/14/2024 11:00:00 AM
- Barrick Announces New Share Buyback Program • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/14/2024 10:59:00 AM
- Barrick Declares Q4 Dividend • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/14/2024 10:58:00 AM
- NGM Strongly Positioned for Growth • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/10/2024 01:00:16 AM
- Form SC 13G - Statement of acquisition of beneficial ownership by individuals • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/08/2024 03:03:08 PM
- Form 6-K - Report of foreign issuer [Rules 13a-16 and 15d-16] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/08/2024 12:46:55 PM
- Geologically Driven Asset Management Delivers Barrick’s Third Successive Year of Reserve Growth at Sustained Quality, While Unlocking Embedded Growth Portfolio • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/08/2024 12:00:00 PM
- Form SC 13G/A - Statement of acquisition of beneficial ownership by individuals: [Amend] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/01/2024 06:04:56 PM
- Africa’s Largest Gold Mine Now Also One of Its Greenest • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/29/2024 04:00:00 PM
- Barrick Continues to be a Major Value Creator for Mali • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/27/2024 09:00:00 AM
- Barrick’s Lumwana Super Pit Project On Track for First Production in 2028 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/23/2024 03:35:00 PM
- Barrick’s Tanzanian Mines on Tier One Track With Potential for Extending Lives, Growing Production • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/21/2024 12:00:00 PM
- New Airport Terminal at Kahama Airstrip to Leave Lasting Legacy at Barrick’s Buzwagi Gold Mine • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/21/2024 08:00:00 AM
Axis Technologies Group and Carbonis Forge Ahead with New Digital Carbon Credit Technology • AXTG • Apr 24, 2024 3:00 AM
North Bay Resources Announces Successful Equipment Test at Bishop Gold Mill, Inyo County, California • NBRI • Apr 23, 2024 9:41 AM
Epazz, Inc.: CryObo, Inc. solar Bitcoin operations will issue tokens • EPAZ • Apr 23, 2024 9:20 AM
Avant Technologies Launches Advanced AI Supercomputing Network and Expansive Data Solutions • AVAI • Apr 23, 2024 8:00 AM
BestGrowthStocks.com Issues Comprehensive Analysis of Triller Merger with AGBA Group Holding Limited • AGBA • Apr 22, 2024 1:00 PM
Cannabix Technologies to Present Marijuana Breathalyzer Technology at International Association for Chemical Testing (IACT) Conference in California • BLO • Apr 22, 2024 8:49 AM