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Ziyang Ceramics Corporation (ZYCI)
A Potential Ground Floor Opportunity With China America
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011 9:27:54 AM
A Potential Ground Floor Opportunity With China America Holdings, Inc. (OTC.BB: CAAH)
POINT ROBERTS, WA, Dec 19, 2011 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX) -- www.InvestorIdeas.com, a global investor research portal for independent investors, publishes an industry overview and growth opportunities for China America Holdings (OTCBB: CAAH), a company positioned in the interior tile industry in China for both residential and commercial markets.
A Potential Ground Floor Opportunity with China America Holdings, Inc By: Patrick J. Murphy, Murphy Analytics LLC, a provider of sponsored research coverage on small cap stocks.
China America Holdings, Inc. (OTCBB: CAAH) is a holding company which owns a 100% stake in Ziyang Ceramics Co., Ltd. based in Zhucheng city of Shandong Province in China. Ziyang Ceramics Co., Ltd. manufactures porcelain tiles used for interior residential and commercial flooring and sells through a distribution network of more than 150 distributors across 10 provinces concentrating on major second and third tier cities located primarily in Eastern and Central China.
As an indication of the CAAH growth opportunity, following are comments and forecasts on the key markets and trends for Chinese real estate in general and for ceramic tiles in particular.
Cushman & Wakefield(i) estimates 35% Commercial Real Estate Development Growth for Q1 2011: "Chinese real estate market has gone through a year of stringent controls in 2010. In the first quarter of 2011, the commercial property market in China witnessed new highs in the office, retail, industrial and investment markets. In the first two months of 2011, total volume of investment in real estate development grew by 35% year-on-year. Despite the government's tightening control of the property market, the pace of the real estate development in China is still accelerating."
SouFun Holdings Limited America reports record revenue for Q3 2011: As another indicator of the growth of the Chinese real estate market, SouFun, which operates the leading real estate internet portal and home furnishing and improvement website in China, continues to report substantial growth. For Q3 11(ii), SFUN reported that quarterly revenue of $109 million nearly doubled over Q3 10. The Company also reported that revenue grew 116% from 2008 - 2010(iii). Marketing generated 75% of SFUN 2010 revenue, and includes traditional Internet advertisements such as banners, links, logos and floating signs, as well as featured promotions. As an illustration of the types of operators that are active in the real estate sector, SFUN reports that its customers consist of the types of customers also likely to be tile purchasers, including:
-- real estate developers
-- real estate professionals, such as agents and brokers
-- retailers and other suppliers of home furnishing and improvement
products and services
-- home design, decoration and re-modeling companies
-- banks offering residential mortgage loan products
Growth in China's Tile Market: Mohawk Industries , a leading U.S. flooring company, estimates(iv) that China's tile market grew 15.6% annually from 2005 to 2009, when annual sales reached 59,200 sq. ft. in sales in China.
China Ceramics Co. Ltd. Forecasts Net Increase in Urban Residential Building Stock in 10 Chinese Cities as Equal to or Greater than the Existing Residential Building Stock of Some European Countries: While the degree of growth cited by Cushman & Wakefield leads some to believe that the Chinese real market is strong and growing, this rapid growth has caused others to ask whether the Chinese real estate market is a bubble. This question was the subject a recent Time magazine article(v) in which the possibility of a Chinese real estate bubble was argued to be as important an economic question as the future of the Euro and whether the U.S. re-enters a recession.
While the growth of the Chinese real estate market may be unprecedented, the massive rural to urban migration continues as some estimates forecast that 400 million more Chinese citizens will urbanize over the coming decades. While the market's ability to address this massive historical and current growth may be uncertain in the near term, and the impact of PRC monetary and fiscal policy on the market also is uncertain, the longer term trend towards a massive continuing wave of urbanization seems clear.
As one example of the potential for companies whose products supply this urbanization, the following data from China Ceramics Co. Ltd. illustrates the magnitude of the opportunity. Citing sources(vi) including the Economist Intelligence Unit, National Bureau of Statistics (China), and UNECE, CCCL's September 2011 Investor Presentation provides the following comparison for growth in Chinese cities relative to ten European nations:
Forecast of Net Increase Existing Residential
2011 - 2020 Building Stock
Chongqing 1,109 Poland 807
Chengdu 447 Greece 494
Zhengzhou 396 Portugal 424
Tianjin 389 Sweden 411
Beijing 350 Czech Rep. 369
Xi'an 279 Romania 366
Changsha 272 Switzerland 352
Shanghai 271 Hungary 319
Shenzhen 265 Austria 318
Dongguan 234 Denmark 282
a. all data in mm sq. meters
b. Figures are for urban areas within referenced prefecture/municipality.
c. Chongqing municipality's unusually large increase partly reflects its
large size compared with other prefectures.
Although it may or may not be the case that China's real estate market has grown too much too fast, a longer term view seems to support the argument that a massive wave of urbanization is likely to continue, and this creates a broad range of commercial opportunity. With a reported $12 million in revenue for Q3 11 representing a 39% year over year increase, and a network of 150 distributors in 10 Chinese provinces, China America seems to be in position to take advantage of the long-term Chinese real estate and tile market trends.
Patrick Murphy Bio:
Patrick J. Murphy is the owner of Murphy Analytics LLC, a provider of sponsored research coverage on smallcap stocks. Mr. Murphy has nearly 20 years of capital markets experience providing institutional investment and transaction analysis across a range of asset classes including microcap equities, commercial real estate debt and equity, municipal derivatives and public finance, venture capital, fixed income, CMBS and mortgage REIT's. In addition to his work with Murphy Analytics, Mr. Murphy also serves as a consultant to a municipal derivatives advisory firm. Mr. Murphy is an alumnus of the University of Notre Dame (1991), with an undergraduate degree in Economics, and earned a Masters Degree in Finance from St. Louis University in 1997. Mr. Murphy is a CFA Charterholder and a member of the CFA Society of St. Louis.
China America Holdings, Inc. (OTCBB: CAAH) is a holding company which owns 100% stake in Ziyang Ceramics Co., Ltd. based in Zhucheng city of Shandong Province in China. Ziyang Ceramics Co., Ltd. manufactures porcelain tiles used for interior residential and commercial flooring and sells through a distribution network of more than 150 distributors across 10 provinces concentrating on major second and third tier cities located primarily in Eastern and Central China
Recent Stock Price: $0.0090
Shares Outstanding: 436.7 million
Recent Market Cap: $3.9 million
52 Week Range: $0.0025 - $0.0299
Patrick Murphy Disclaimer:
Readers are advised that the above article is solely for information purposes and should not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The views expressed herein are based upon the author's analysis of the issuer's public disclosures, and assumes both their accuracy and completeness. The opinions and statements included herein are based on sources (including the companies discussed and public sources) believed to be reliable and in good faith, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. The author has not independently verified the information contained herein. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. You should review a complete information package on all companies, which should include, but not be limited to, the Company's annual report, quarterly reports, press releases and all regulatory filings. The foregoing discussion contains statements which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections, and differences from such expectations, estimates and projections can be expected. The author, Patrick Murphy, was compensated $500 by InvestorIdeas.com for writing this article. Murphy does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this article. Mr. Murphy's research firm, Murphy Analytics, may be engaged for the provision of a research report on the Company in the future.
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Disclosure/ disclaimer: Our sites do not make recommendations, but offer information portals to research news, articles, stock lists and recent research. Nothing on our sites should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell products or securities. All information published is from public filings, news, SEC filings and or company comments and quotes. China America Holdings, Inc. (OTCBB: CAAH): One month online marketing paid for by third party Pearl Group; twelve thousand five hundred, to include CFA Commentary, email distribution with other Investorideas.com partners and network of online media which are also compensated as part of this overall marketing (please read their disclosures)
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800 665 0411
Pearl Group Advisors, Inc
China America Holdings, Inc.
954-363-7333 ext. 317
SOURCE: China America Holdings, Inc.
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SUBJECT CODE: Chemicals:Commodity Chemicals
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