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Saturday, 07/15/2017 8:48:09 PM

Saturday, July 15, 2017 8:48:09 PM

Post# of 8738
2010, a dataset of Futures, Commodities, Currencies was shown. I quickly realized that success here really means infinite money. Visual aesthetic showed the obvious, that a lot of predictive value is here. I began plotting everything. 7 years and 154,000 data points later, I have a 200mb Microsoft Excel program with all 32 Futures, Commodities, Currencies, and many time periods. This is separated by backtesting (does Wheat analogs work for Gold like it does for Wheat?). I find, first, that all markets all times have a probability of the next day move (up/down) being the same as the previous day >51.0%. Separate them by more specific variables, which I call moving average plots using High-Low;Open-Close,and the accuracy increases to >53% in more than half of cases. Include multiple timelines for the same future (1D+2D+3D+WK+MO) and the accuracy moves >55% in more than half of cases. So I began practice trading this on November 18, 2016 with $100,000 in TDAmeritrade account, practice money. 8 months later, the account is worth $650,000 with a nice linear upward movement. An average daily move of +6%, this is Top 12% Standard Deviation. Flip a coin 169 times, and the results of 96-73 is top 9.2%. 169 Sample. So top 9-12% so far. Visual is pretty as well. http://imageshack.com/a/img924/8954/PXR1PB.png
I can predict Futures and have been waiting for enough history to start. Let's go. It's really simple what I propose: A dataset of the entire Futures/Commodities/Currency market, going back 10-25 years depending on which Future plotting multiple variables and many timeframes. This has high predictive value, and multiple ideas easily tested, and is ready for use. thumbsup.

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