Thursday, March 16, 2017 10:04:37 PM
Few things that stood out to me:
1.
Non-dilutive captial, as in research grants?
Wall Street validation - are they finally going to disclose the "healthcare dedicated fund" that has been funding them $10M+ a year since 2014? It wouldn't be validation if they raised the next round without mentioning again who the fund(s) is (are). Btw I expect the next dilution to take place sometime in Q3'17. It could be fewer shares if the share price gains some ground after drug supply partnership and validation from big pharma. Let's see. Anyway, a few more million shares to the 19.7M outstanding will be nothing if the registration trial meets endpoints and they are able to secure a commercial deal.
2. They had $20.5M in cash & equivalents a/o January 2017. Focusing only on melanoma seems to have helped in conserving cash.
3. This is new - besides Australia, the registration trial will recruit patients in Europe as well. Is a new subsidiary in the works in Europe?
4. Preliminary data as early as Q4 2017 - Is this the basis for the 2017 milestones list that has a bullet point for licensing / collaboration? Will the data from the first cohort, if good, be enough to strike a commercial deal with MRK?
5. Looks like they are planning to (maybe already have) apply for Orphan Drug Designation or BTD.
I was looking for ODDs involving IL-12 and found out that Celsion received ODD for their DNA plasmid IL-12 therapy in ovarian cancer in 2005. The treatment didn't get FDA approval eventually though.
http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/opdlisting/oopd/detailedIndex.cfm?cfgridkey=198304
What's the benefit of getting ODD followed by FDA approval? (Extract from a Celsion 10-Q below)
"receives the first FDA approval for the indication" - Does treating anti-pd-1 refractory patients meet the definition if no one else has obtained approval in treating this subset of patients?
More details on ODD in below link. Not really sure if melanoma fits the bill for ODD but I wouldn't mind a surprise PR in the coming months.
https://www.fda.gov/ForIndustry/DevelopingProductsforRareDiseasesConditions/ucm2005525.htm
Another IL-12 related ODD:
http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/opdlisting/oopd/detailedIndex.cfm?cfgridkey=377012
CC Transcript: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4055990-oncosec-medicals-oncs-ceo-punit-dhillon-q2-2017-results-earnings-call-transcript?part=single
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