YaSheng Group (HERB)

[RealDutch]

$5 if they go private. $15 if they can get a listing in Shanghai for the new assets.

I see our chances like this
- Listing 40%
- Private 20%
- Nothing 40%

If we assume that the stock is worth $0 if we get nothing, then expected value = 0.40 x 15 + 0.20 x 5 + 0.40 x 0 = $7. That's a 2500% return on investment.