'then' presumably being 2040. Bit of an unlikely scenario IMNSHO since that number would require ~74% reduction in 23 yrs.
as for Jessica Shankleman. She is a single topic writer whose only credentials are in English literature and journalism. Consequently, she relies on lots of "ifs', 'coulds', and 'unsubstantiated 'projections'.
my somewhat better informed counter-revelation is that with all of the projections of increases in 'green technology break-throughs' that oil and nat gas consumption will continue to follow the historical trends well past 2040.
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