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Thursday, 09/22/2016 10:16:19 AM

Thursday, September 22, 2016 10:16:19 AM

Post# of 40611
Still Report #1203 - Fox News Polls - Trump Widens Leads

Published on Sep 21, 2016


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Good evening, I’m still reporting on
Fox News Polls -

Trump Widens Leads
New Fox News polls out tonight shows Donald Trump pulling away from Hillary Clinton in 3 key battleground states, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio.

In Nevada, Trump now has a 3-point lead over Clinton, 43-40 in a 3-way race, with 8 for Johnson and 9% undecided. Green Party candidate Jill Stein is not on the ballot in Nevada.

When the race is reduced to a 2-way race, Trump gains a point and leads by a 46 to 42 margin. This is important because as the race nears the end, the supposition is that the third-party candidates will not do as well as their current polling, so the question is who will gain from that. So far, all indications are that Trump benefits.

Our first prediction for the Nov. 8 outcome in Nevada? Trump 50%, Clinton 45% and Johnson 5%. If Johnson slides lower than this, Trump will get the vast majority of those abandoning him.
In North Carolina, Trump has bounded upwards and now leads Clinton by a 45 to 40 margin.

Whites back Trump by a whopping 58-27 margin. Blacks support Clinton by a super whopping 85-3% margin, but blacks make up only 30% of voters.

Stein also is not on the North Carolina ballot. Johnson has 6% with 9% undecided. Best guess is that in the end, Trump will pick off 2 from Johnson and Clinton 1 – and that’s generous. Also being generous to Clinton, Trump takes 6 of the undecided 9%.

So our first prediction on the final count in North Carolina is Trump 53, Clinton 44, Johnson 3.

In Ohio, Trump now leads by an impressive 5 points – 42 to 37 with Johnson getting 6 and Stein 2, with a whopping 13% undecided.
The big news is that Clinton is now leading among women by only 3% and declining. Obama won Ohio’s women by 11% in 2012.

Considering the coal issue and the jobs issues, I’m giving Trump 8% of the undecided, Clinton 3 and Johnson 2, but then Johnson loses another 2 to don’t waste your vote fears.

So, our prediction in the end the final vote for Ohio – not counting voting machine fraud – is Trump 51, Clinton 41, Johnson 6 and Stein 2. A 10-point victory in US presidential politics is officially called a landslide.

So, the bottom line in our predictions is:
Nevada: Trump by 5
North Carolina: Trump by 9
Ohio: Trump by 10

And one more reminder, this is not counting the unmeasurable Monster vote, which could add as much as an additional 10% to Trump and subtracting the same from Clinton.

How about the electoral college map? For the time being we are sticking with 279 Trump and 259 Clinton, but states currently leaning Clinton that are on the endangered species list are Michigan, Maine, Connecticut and Virginia.

The next wind that blows from the north will bring to our ears the sound of another state turning red on this map.

Finally, I’ve been getting some professional advice on how to improve our financial footing. Surprisingly, it helps us out a lot if you simply be sure to click on the like checkbox and even supply a comment – even if it’s only one word – that helps us.

I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.

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