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Thursday, February 11, 2016 1:50:47 PM
There is no reason to predict a stock price for HEMP because there are too many unknowables, such as when we might see a paid pump like the one a couple of weeks ago (Trader's Choice), a PR from Perlowin that implies much more is going on than actually is, or share selling to raise cash that also increases the number of outstanding shares.
That's why I generally discuss over/undervaluation for HEMP with regards to the market cap relative to the reported & possible number of outstanding shares.
I wrote the following on Oct 1, 2015, 3Q/15 had ended and the OS was thought to be 320M shares (based on the 2Q/15 filing).
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=117410282
On Oct 1, 2015, HEMP was selling for about $0.05. When the 3Q/15 report was filed, we found that HEMP again had a big loss and that the OS had increased to 398M shares, up 24%. Since then, HEMP's stock price has fallen about 22%, and the market cap based on the 398M OS is around $15.5M, so maybe it's a little undervalued compared to the $17M cap of Oct 1, 2015.
OTOH, I'm quite sure that the OS has continued to increase, and HEMP will be showing another unprofitable quarter in 4Q/15.
The 1Q/16 results will be pumped by today's announced deal with FUTL (which I call FUTiLe,) but I think that the street will see through that.
HEMP won't justify a higher market cap until it begins to process Kenaf and shows that it can profitably sell the finished products.
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