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Free Zone | A.I.M. | A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board (AIMUSERS)

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Posted by: Tom Veale Member Level  Date: Wednesday, June 14, 2006 12:58:32 PM
In reply to: kaviyarasu who wrote msg# 20168 Post # of 32349  Send a link via email Share on Facebook Tweet this post
Hi Kavi, Re: Candidates...............

Yes, JBL is currently on Value Line's 100 Highest Growth Stocks list. However it only gets a #2 Timeliness rank. Yesterday's bashing should help to get that Timeliness level down to PIC territory a lot more quickly!

I, too, am looking forward to seeing the IW manage at least the middle of the Average Risk range. I have a graphic which shows the cumulative effects of the IW being over, at or under the long term average. It shows long term buildup of "pressure", sort of like a lava dome in a volcanic crater long overdue for eruption. Here's the period leading up to and into the worst of the Bear market:



Risk was "above average" almost nonstop from '97 through early '00. Only a brief period of time in '98 did the IW drop below average risk and draw down the cumulative score. Also note that the IW maintained essentially average risk (zero slope) from March of 2000 through Sept. of 2001 when, because of reaction to the 9/11 attacks, the risk started to drop.



Late in 2002 the markets finally started to show good reason to celebrate as the slope of our Cumulative i-Wave went down. From then through the beginning of 2005 we had sustained below average risk times. Note that we started yet another positive slope line in late 2005 which has continued right through the current value. This period of above average risk looks like it is finally letting off some steam.

Will it be a Mt. St. Helens event this time? or will it be more of an "aftershock" of the 2000 to 2003 eruption? Well, this lava dome doesn't seem very big compared to the one building from 1997 to 2000.

I would like to see the IW Cumulative value level off or start back down. Only time will tell.

Best regards, Tom



Port Washington, WI 53074
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