IHUB Posting Milestones

[Porgie Tirebiter]

Yesterday at around noon my short term model was predicting I-Hub would be 14,800 short when my guess expired. That's why I was lobbying admin on the Q&A board for an extended Happy Hour yesterday! But it seemed to have come up short of that.

It's been predicting 8 or 9 PM on July 3 for a week now. The fact that the market is closed today is factored in. If the markets had been open today, it would have hit around noon.

What's astounded me is how highly consistent the posting rates are when smoothed over consistent time intervals. That sentence sounds redundant, but what I mean is that even though the posting rate varies quite wildly within a 24 hour period and even from day to day it varies almost not at all in the time it takes for a set number of posts to go by. Very much like extending out a stock's moving average to predict future pricing, only seemingly even more accurate.