Monday, January 26, 2015 7:20:59 PM
source :Seekin alpha
Jan. 26, 2015 2:28 PM ET | About: Titan Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TTNP)
By Sarah Roden
Titan Pharmaceuticals (OTCQB:TTNP) is a biomedical pharmaceutical company most known for its flagship drug, Probuphine, used to treat opioid addiction. Probuphine has proved to be effective in two clinical studies and one safety study. Titan is in the process of completing one more clinical study before receiving FDA approval, which is expected to be completed by mid-2015.
On January 20th, Roth Capital's Scott Henry released a note launching coverage on Titan Pharmaceuticals with a Buy rating and a $1.25 price target. The analyst gave four driving reasons for the rating:
Probuphine is superior to other treatments. Opioid addiction is a "large and growing" problem in the United States. Scott Henry estimates that the market for opioid addiction generates $1.5 billion annually. Currently opioid deterring medications, such as Suboxone, require daily patient compliance. This decreases the patient's chance of successfully completing the regime. However, Probuphine is a six-month implant that eliminates the possibility of patients terminating treatment on their own.
The belief that Probuphine will be approved. A study completed in November 2014 was successful in comparing Probuphine to oral treatment, indicating "high potential for the next trial to work." There is an ongoing pivotal trial as well, and Scott Henry has "high confidence in a positive clinical trial readout."
Large revenue potential for Probuphine. The current market for opioid addiction treatments is approximately $1.5 billion per year, but Scott Henry "[expects] this market to grow in coming months [because] prescription limits are increase[ing] for high volume prescribers." With this information, Henry targets "Probuphine as a ~$250 million peak revenue generator," noting that this figure may be conservative. Henry assigns a 4% market share to the drug, but notes that other published targets are as high as 20%. This estimate is a "key risk" in the investment.
Attractive valuation. Scott Henry believes that all the attractive characteristics of Probuphine are not "fully reflected in the current market cap of ~$50 million." Probuphine has the potential to drive $250 million in revenue, and an estimated 17% of the royalties will go to Titan.
Recent TTNP News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/25/2024 09:33:11 PM
- Titan Pharmaceuticals Fully Compliant With NASDAQ Listing Criteria • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/25/2024 09:29:23 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/18/2024 09:59:05 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/08/2024 10:13:45 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 12/28/2023 09:30:20 PM
- Titan Pharmaceuticals Announces Reverse Stock Split and Ratio • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 12/28/2023 09:15:00 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/28/2023 09:47:46 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/17/2023 09:03:19 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/15/2023 09:05:15 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/26/2023 08:33:07 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/26/2023 08:31:25 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/26/2023 08:29:31 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/26/2023 08:25:57 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/26/2023 08:23:37 PM
- Form S-8 - Securities to be offered to employees in employee benefit plans • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/24/2023 09:26:34 PM
- Form 3 - Initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/23/2023 07:07:26 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/16/2023 09:08:35 PM
- Titan Pharmaceuticals Announces Appointment of Dato' Seow Gim Shen and Brynner Chaim to the Company's Board of Directors • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/16/2023 08:37:23 PM
- Form SC 13D - General statement of acquisition of beneficial ownership • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/04/2023 09:30:18 PM
- Form 8-K/A - Current report: [Amend] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/19/2023 08:41:40 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/18/2023 08:45:22 PM
- Titan Pharmaceuticals Announces $9.5 Million Private Placement of Convertible Preferred Stock • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/18/2023 11:30:00 AM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/08/2023 09:30:03 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/30/2023 08:28:25 PM
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