Anyone heard of "Darkest Hour"? Long term things will sort themselves out. With lots of things in the works and people cooperating to make things better, it's entirely more likely they'll succeed in the end, simply because they have more resources and more diversity. The road to success is not a straight one, it often involves mistakes, errors and missteps being made that reveal new ways forward. Sit tight and wait, "Rome wasn't built in a day", as you well know.
All the pundits and others can do is use today's figures to fashion the metrics they use to evaluate performance, by weighing those figures against the data they have from other sources. There's no way to guarantee that any of that data means anything at all. Because it provides only a view of comparisons that may or may not be applicable to what is really happening, about which they can know nothing. In short, they're all doing nothing but guessing. My guess is that a valuable technology that lightens expenses and workloads is going to be a big winner in the end, just the same as other labor saving devices/inventions were before.
Whether 3DS is going to be the leader or turn out to be just another player, either way as the industry grows it's going to get so large that, even as a "just another player" company the potential is still huge for all involved. Bringing the dreams to earth is always a task fraught with problems, fits and starts and stalls. Do not be fooled by the trivial analysis of each foul shot, whose off the bench and who's on it. Because win, lose or draw, the final score will be big enough to make all the fans happy.
